SC Freiburg @ 1. FC Köln - August 31, 2025

The 1. FC Köln will beat the SC Freiburg. The total will go under.

Analyzing the current state of both teams, it’s evident that 1. FC Köln exhibits a stronger offensive capability paired with a more disciplined defensive strategy. Köln’s goals scored average sits at approximately 1.3 per match, considerably higher than Freiburg’s paltry average of about 0.9. Furthermore, Köln manages to direct an average of 5.2 shots on target, compared to Freiburg’s mere 3.4. This stark difference will likely culminate in Köln capitalizing on their chances, thereby sealing a tight victory.

In terms of team discipline and ball control, Köln boasts a passing percentage of around 82%, which showcases their ability to maintain possession and effectively build plays. On the other hand, Freiburg’s passing efficiency is slightly lower—hovering around 78%—which could hinder their efforts to challenge Köln’s defense consistently. Additionally, Köln averages 13 fouls committed per match while Freiburg commits around 12. This minimal variance suggests both teams are closely matched in terms of aggression, furthering my expectation of a low-scoring affair, given that recent matches tend to see less than three total goals scored. Thus, the combination of Köln’s offensive edge and a tightly contested match will likely push this game towards an under result.