San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners - August 26, 2025

The Seattle Mariners will beat the San Diego Padres. The San Diego Padres will cover the spread, and the total will go under.

When analyzing the teams’ offensive capabilities, I see Seattle averaging about 4.5 runs per game, which is slightly better than San Diego’s 4.2 runs. However, the Mariners have a lower batting average at 0.234 compared to the Padres’ 0.245. Despite this discrepancy in average, the Mariners capitalize on their opportunities better, scoring efficiently. Seattle’s relatively high hit count (8.2) suggests a consistent approach at the plate, which could yield more scoring chances against the Padres’ pitching staff.

On the pitching side, Seattle holds a 4.07 ERA, which is less impressive than San Diego’s 3.6 ERA. Though the Padres have an edge in ERA, they are facing a Mariners lineup that has shown the ability to produce hits consistently. San Diego’s pitchers may struggle against this lineup, making it likely that Seattle will outscore them in this matchup. The overall stats suggest a low-scoring game, supported by both teams’ recent outputs. Therefore, while I expect the Mariners to secure the win, I lean toward the total runs going under, as both sides may not exceed their average run production significantly today.