2025 Academy Awards Odds: Who’s Winning an Oscar?

2025 Academy Awards Odds: Who’s Winning an Oscar?

The early 2025 Oscars betting odds are already available, since the entertainment betting sites never sleep! Many oddsmakers have released a brand-new set of lines for the 2025 Academy Awards, so I couldn’t resist the temptation!

This is the perfect time to get ahead of most bettors and lock in some early betting value. While the Oscar nominations for 2025 are a long way out, these odds will give you a good idea of which movies project to be the most successful for the rest of the year.

Who is set to be the next Oppenheimer and dominate the Academy Awards? Below, I have listed every wager currently available to bet on the Oscars online. Additionally, you can find my early 2025 Oscars predictions and best bets.


2025 Oscars Odds and Quick Predictions

The following Academy Awards 2025 betting odds are courtesy of BetUS:

AWARDOSCAR FAVORITEOSCAR PREDICTION
Best PictureMaria (+120)Blitz (+800)
Best ActorColman Domingo
– Sing Sing (+240)
Colman Domingo
– Sing Sing (+240)
Best Supporting ActorKieran Culkin
– Blitz (+170)
Samuel L. Jackson
– The Piano Lesson (+450)
Best ActressEmma Stone
– Kinds of Kindness (+230)
Saoirse Ronan
– Blitz (+280)
Best Supporting ActressDanielle Deadwyler
– The Piano Lesson (+230)
Jennifer Grey
– A Real Pain (+230)
Danielle Deadwyler
– The Piano Lesson (+230)
Best DirectorDenis Villeneuve
– Dune: Part Two (+160)
Denis Villeneuve
– Dune: Part Two (+160)

According to the latest Oscars 2025 odds, Maria is expected to be the big winner for Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards. With +130 odds, the movie has an implied probability of 45.5% to win the Oscar for Best Picture in 2025.

You should also watch out for Kieran Culkin and Emma Stone in the individual acting categories. Stone has the shortest Best Actress odds for her role in Kinds of Kindness. At +230, the 35-year-old has an implied chance of 30.3% to follow up her success in Poor Things with another big victory.

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2025 Oscar Best Bets by Category

Now that you’ve seen the odds and my quick predictions, let’s delve into our Academy Awards best bets for 2025 by category.

Best Picture Odds and Pick

PICTUREODDS
Maria+120
Dune: Part Two+230
Megalopolis+550
Joker: Folie à deux+550
Mickey 17+650
Blitz+800
Gladiator 2+1200
Kinds of Kindness+1300
The Apprentice+1300
A Real Pain+1500

Joker: Folie à deux with better Oscar Best Picture odds than Blitz? While this could be a fantastic film, Blitz is not garnering any respect in the opening Oscar betting markets.

The movie has faced some delays, but it should work in its favor. The late release dates tend to do better in the Oscars largely due to recency bias. The London-based World War II flick is likely to receive positive reviews from critics and moviegoers alike.

The highly anticipated drama is the best bet on the board to win Best Picture at +800 odds. It’s unlikely that you’ll get this price later this year.

The Bet
Blitz

Best Actor Odds and Betting Pick

ACTORODDS
Colman Domingo
– Sing Sing
+240
Daniel Craig
– Queer
+350
Ralph Fiennes
– Conclave
+400
Jesse Eisenberg
– A Real Pain
+450
Sebastian Stan
– The Apprentice
+1100
Barry Keoghan
– Bird
+1200

Is it finally Daniel Craig’s time to win Best Actor at the Oscars? It will be a tight race, but Colman Domingo in Sing Sing will likely make it difficult for him.

Debuting at TIFF, Domingo is reportedly tremendous in Sing Sing, a movie about a wrongfully convicted inmate who finds solace in a theater group behind bars.

This sounds exactly like a movie that will do well at the Oscars, so I encourage you to place an early Oscars bet on Domingo at +240 odds. I expect the price to be much shorter later this year.

The Bet
Colman Domingo

Best Supporting Actor Odds and Pick

ACTORODDS
Kieran Culkin
– Blitz
+170
Stanley Tucci
– Conclave
+280
Samuel L. Jackson
– The Piano Lesson
+450
Clarence Maclin
– Sing Sing
+550
Jeremy Strong
– The Apprentice
+850
Jesse Plemons
– Kinds of Kindness
+1100

There are three actors on my shortlist for Best Support Actor: Kieran Culkin (+170), Samuel L. Jackson (+450), and Clarence Maclin (+550). All three should gain nominations and have some momentum going into awards season.

Already starring on Broadway in The Piano Lesson, Jackson is great in that role on stage. Will it translate to the silver screen?

At +450, I certainly feel confident in Jackson outperforming those Oscars 2025 odds and winning the award.

The Bet
Samuel L. Jackson

Best Actress Odds and Pick

ACTRESSODDS
Emma Stone
– Kinds of Kindness
+230
Saoirse Ronan
– Blitz
+280
Lady Gaga
– Joker: Folie à deux
+350
Jessica Lange
– Long Day’s Journey Into Night
+450
Angelina Jolie
– Maria
+650

Emma Stone has a chance to make it back-to-back Best Actress wins for her role in Poor Things and Kinds of Kindness. However, there are only two women to win Best Actress in consecutive years: Louise Rainer and Katherine Hepburn in the 1930s and 1960s, respectively.

Although Stone has the best Oscars odds to win in 2025, she is up against history. This opens the door for Blitz to scoop up another Oscar in this category.

Saoirse Ronan is expected to be fantastic in the lead role, so The Hobbit star has to be in strong consideration at this generous price of +280.

The Bet
Saoirse Ronan

Best Supporting Actress Odds and Pick

ACTRESSv
Danielle Deadwyler
– The Piano Lesson
+230
Jennifer Grey
– A Real Pain
+230
Toni Collette
– Juror No. 2
+450
Maria Bakalova
– The Apprentice
+550
Lesley Manville
– Queer
+650

I have two actresses on my shortlist for Best Supporting Actress. In 2021, 27-year-old Bulgarian actress Maria Bakalova was nominated for Best Supporting Actress in Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.

The unknown artist rose to prominence for her effort in the comedy. There is a chance that four years later she turns a nomination into a win in The Apprentice. That said, Danielle Deadwyler is going to be tough to beat.

She and Jackson are a formidable combination in The Piano Lesson. If Jackson doesn’t win for Best Supporting Actor, Deadwyler could very well pull it off. I view both as having pretty good chances.

The Bet
Danielle Deadwyler

Best Director Odds and Pick

DIRECTORODDS
Denis Villeneuve
– Dune: Part Two
+160
Yorgos Lanthimos
– Kinds of Kindness
+170
Steve McQueen
– Blitz
+270
Pablo Larrain
– Maria
+850

With lofty expectations for Dune: Part Two after the first edition was a smash hit, Canadian Denis Villeneuve seemingly pulled it off. Dune: Part Two is a visual masterpiece that will likely receive recognition during awards season.

The early release and the fact that the Academy doesn’t like sequels for Best Picture is working against Dune: Part Two for that award. However, they can’t deny Villeneuve’s undeniable talent in this film.

Dune: Part Two won’t go away empty-handed, with Villeneuve a strong early front-runner for Best Director. I expect the odds to drop below +100 in the build-up to the 2025 Oscars, so grabbing that early price of +160 makes a lot of sense.

The Bet
Denis Villeneuve


2025 Oscar Winners: Who Wins At The 97th Academy Awards?

Are there any early Oscars betting odds that you like initially for 2025? After the clear favorites are established, the value is largely gone from the board.

So, if there’s an Oscar bet that you like now, I recommend registering at BetUS and placing your bets before the odds shift significantly. Check back here in the future for updated odds and potentially new 2025 Oscars picks.


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About the Author
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Kyle Eve
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Kyle Eve is a seasoned pro of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada

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