As teams take a breather during the summer break, the F1 Championship odds have undergone a drastic shift. While Red Bull continues to struggle with the RB21, McLaren has pulled away from the grid and shows no signs of slowing down.
The drivers’ championship is down to the two McLarens, as Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri duel down the stretch. Who will prevail in that heated battle? Check out the latest winner odds, analysis, and F1 Championship predictions!
F1 2025 Driver Championship Odds
Formula One Drivers’ Championship odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| DRIVER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri (McLaren) | -175 |
| Lando Norris (McLaren) | +130 |
| Max Verstappen (Red Bull) | +6600 |
| George Russell (Mercedes) | +25000 |
| Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) | +50000 |
| Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) | +100000 |
| Alex Albon (Williams) | +300000 |
| Carlos Sainz (Williams) | +300000 |
| Esteban Ocon (Haas) | +300000 |
| Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin) | +300000 |
McLaren’s Oscar Piastri (-175) is the odds-on favorite to win the 2025 F1 Drivers’ Championship. With a price of -175 at the best F1 betting sites, the Australian holds the advantage over his teammate at McLaren to finish the season on top.
Currently, Piastri has a 63.6% implied probability to hold off Norris in the home stretch. The 24-year-old Aussie was not expected to give Norris this much of a fight, but we’re in for a treat, possibly right to the final event in Abu Dhabi in November.
Aside from McLaren, there isn’t another driver within sight. The four-time defending champion from Red Bull, Max Verstappen (+6600), has effectively given up the fight in his RB21. Verstappen has done nothing but complain about the drivability of his car, and for a good reason.
At +6600, Verstappen has a 1.5% chance to five-peat, but you can effectively remove everyone but Piastri and Norris. If you are feeling a bit crazy, there are 2025 F1 Drivers’ Championship odds on Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, and even Lance Stroll at +300000!
You can find up-to-date F1 Championship betting odds at Bovada by navigating to All Sports > Motor Sports > F1 > Futures.
Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship Betting Favorites
Before delving into our F1 2025 Championship predictions, let’s analyze the top favorites after the pre-season testing sessions were completed:
Oscar Piastri (-175)
Piastri entered this season as a +1000 long shot to win the driver’s title behind Lewis Hamilton, Charles Leclerc, Verstappen, and Norris. However, with 10 races remaining in the 2025 season, Piastri has the lead with 284 points over Norris’ 275 points in the F1 standings.
I don’t think Piastri has always felt the love from team principal Zak Brown and his team at McLaren. That includes the British media, which overwhelmingly favors Norris.
The 25-year-old Brit entered the season as the No. 1 driver, but those lines are blurred now with Piastri’s sudden rise. The Australian has five wins on his resume, with his latest win on July 27 in the Belgian Grand Prix at Spa.
Oscar Piastri wastes no time in seizing control of this race 🤩#F1 #BelgianGP pic.twitter.com/DaRxFSDtCt
— Formula 1 (@F1) July 27, 2025
Additionally, Piastri has landed on the podium in 10 races, which is only one shy of his total from last season! Armed with the best car on the grid in a McLaren, Piastri has certainly made his presence felt in a way not many people anticipated so quickly.
It could have been even better for Piastri, with a chance for a win squandered at Silverstone in the British GP. He was penalized 10 seconds for erratic braking in an incident with Verstappen on a restart and ultimately lost the race by 6.8 seconds to Norris.
Piastri had the race pace, but the penalty was his undoing. In any event, the Australian has been the more consistent driver at McLaren. He’s avoided major errors and has been cleaner in qualifying. However, Piastri’s still only nine points ahead, so the race for the title is wide open.
Lando Norris (+130)
Despite a few hiccups before the summer break, Norris is right on Piastri’s heels. He’s had a few head-scratching moments when you wonder whether Norris’ head is in the race or if his confidence is wavering.
For instance, in Q3 for the Canadian GP, Norris made multiple errors, including hitting the wall on Turn 7. He had to settle for P7 on the starting grid behind Piastri. Those are mistakes that shouldn’t be happening for a driver of Norris’ caliber.
Into the wall and out of the race! 😱
Lando Norris apologised for this collision with his teammate Oscar Piastri #F1 #CanadianGP pic.twitter.com/4FiNVm1hiI
— Formula 1 (@F1) June 15, 2025
Perhaps the most glaring mistake this season is when Norris attempted to overtake Piastri on race day in the same race. He tried to get past his teammate on the straight with no room to spare and crashed into the Aussies’ back. Piastri finished the race in P4, but Norris received a DNF.
Since then, Norris has been more conservative and has avoided getting into a clash on the circuit with Piastri. The results are starting to show for Norris as well. He’s won three of the last four races, including the Austrian GP immediately following the mishap in Montreal.
Norris impressed in the Hungarian GP before the grid went on vacation. He fended off Piastri on the last lap to secure the win by 0.698 seconds. Norris started P3 after a mediocre qualifying session, but his strengths were rewarded in Budapest on race day after gambling on a one-stop strategy.
Lando Norris fights back in the title race with a hard-earned victory 💪#F1 #HungarianGP pic.twitter.com/TywrFkKGf0
— Formula 1 (@F1) August 3, 2025
Piastri had a fantastic opportunity to pull well ahead of Norris by now. Norris bottled several moments and even had a DNF, but trails Piastri by only nine points.
While the Brit doesn’t have the advantage at the online bookies, according to the latest F1 Championship betting odds, he is a dangerous threat to surpass Piastri!
F1 2025 Championship Sleeper Bets
Now, let’s have some fun and try to work out a highly unlikely scenario for our best longshot F1 Championship betting picks! What happens if McLaren has a historic collapse or Piastri and Norris are effectively banned for the year?
There is only one driver who could capitalize:
F1 2025 Championship Prediction and Betting Pick
Okay, now back to reality. Who will win the duel between Piastri and Norris? I will preface this by saying we likely won’t have an answer until the final race of the year in Abu Dhabi on December 7.
It’s going to go down to the wire. Piastri and Norris are going to trade jabs, with a possible scenario where they both take each other in a race. There is going to be serious tension between these two, despite Brown stating they won’t fall out.
I wanted to see Piastri have a larger lead going into the summer break in August. Don’t expect Norris to have as many mental mistakes as he did in the earlier stages of the season. Following the Canadian GP, Norris started to gain confidence in himself and won three of four events as a result. That form should carry over to the next 10 races with Norris excelling at the right time. In what should be a tight battle into December, the best value for your F1 Championship picks is on Norris at +130!
Where to Bet on the F1 2025 Championship?
You can bet on the F1 Championship at a variety of online bookies. We recommend selecting a sportsbook that caters to F1 bettors, and Bovada fits the bill.
With F1 odds for the Drivers’ Championship, Bovada also offers F1 Constructors’ Championship odds for 2025. Additionally, prices for every race, including prop bets, and qualifying markets will be available this season at Bovada.
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