2025 Masters Odds and Predictions – Favorites & Longshots

2025 Masters Odds and Predictions – Favorites & Longshots

The Masters odds for 2025 suggest that defending champion Scottie Scheffler is once again the man to beat. Can he join legends Nick Faldo, Jack Nicklaus, and Tigers Woods as the only back-to-back winners of the tournament?

In this article, I’ll break down the latest 2025 Masters winner odds, analyze the top contenders, and highlight some of the best longshot bets worth considering. If you read until the end, you’ll also find my Masters 2025 prediction and betting pick. Let’s dive in!

2025 Masters Winner Odds

Betting odds for the 2025 Masters as of 8th April 2025, courtesy of BetUS:

PLAYERODDS
Scottie Scheffler+450
Rory McIlroy+650
Collin Morikawa+1300
Jon Rahm+1400
Bryson DeChambeau+1500
Xander Schauffele+1950
Ludvig Aberg+2200
Justin Thomas+2200
Hideki Matsuyama+2800
Joaquin Niemann+2800

Scottie Scheffler (+450) returns to Augusta as the heavy favorite to claim another green jacket at the 2025 Masters. Scheffler’s odds to win the Masters have regressed slightly over the last month, though. He was a +425 favorite in mid-March and has since moved up to +450. In short, Scheffler holds an 18.2% implied probability to win.

After a brief setback—thanks to an unfortunate Christmas Day cooking injury—Scottie is back in form. With his elite ball-striking and composure under pressure, he’s undoubtedly the man to beat, and the best golf betting sites agree.

Right behind him in the odds to win the Masters is Rory McIlroy (+650), still chasing that elusive fifth major and the green jacket that would complete his career Grand Slam. With a win at Pebble Beach and the Players Championship already this season, could 2025 be the year he finally conquers Augusta?

The Masters odds following the top two favorites have witnessed a shake-up recently. Ludvid Aberg (+2200), who had the second-best price last month, is now seventh on the board.

Collin Morikawa (+1300) has seen a nice boost recently, as he’s shifted from +1600 to +1300. Additionally, 2023 Masters winner Bryson DeChambeau’s Masters 2025 odds are on the move from +1900 to +1500!

With a stacked field and multiple compelling storylines, our Masters tournament predictions which follow suggest an unmissable battle at Augusta. We’ve listed the top 10 contenders here, but you can find full Masters betting odds for 2025 and even more potential winners at BetUS.

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Masters 2025 Favorites

Let’s dive into analyzing the players at the top of the odds to win the Masters. Form is always crucial at Augusta—10 of the last 11 champions had already recorded a top-22 finish at the Masters before winning.

Keep that in mind as we break down the top contenders for the 2025 Masters.

Scottie Scheffler (+450)

Scottie has had a special run in recent years on the PGA Tour, with some even calling it Tiger-like. He’s held the world No. 1 ranking for 132 weeks straight, racked up 13 wins over the past three seasons, including two Masters titles (2022 & 2024), and even added an Olympic gold medal to his résumé in 2024.

It’s no surprise that sportsbooks have him as the favorite to shine once again at Augusta.


Recent Form

DATETOURNAMENTFINISHSCORES
2/6 – 2/9WM Phoenix OpenT2569-66-68-72 (-9)
2/13 – 2/16The Genesis InvitationalT370-67-76-66 (-9)
3/6 – 3/9Arnold Palmer InvitationalT1171-72-71-70 (-4)
3/13 – 3/17THE PLAYERS ChampionshipT2069-70-72-73 (-4)
3/27 – 3/30Houston OpenT267-62-69-63 (-19)

Scottie capped off 2024 with his ninth win of the year, claiming victory at the Tiger Woods-hosted Hero World Challenge in December. After a brief injury layoff, he’s returned with top-25 finishes in all five starts this season. He tied for 11th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, despite ranking 49th in putting among the 51 players who made the cut.

The 28-year-old Texas native is coming off a strong effort in the Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course. He finished a shot shy of Min Woo Lee to force a playoff. It was a solid T2 showing nonetheless, and proof that Scheffler is in form for the Masters.

His tee-to-green game remains unmatched, and if he starts sinking putts, the rest of the field could be in serious trouble.


Scottie Scheffler Stats: 2024 vs. 2025

STAT2024RANK2025RANK
SG: Total2.4961st2.0013rd
SG: Tee-to-Green2.4011st1.6813rd
SG: Off-the-Tee0.8162nd0.6186th
SG: Approach the Green1.2691st0.8697th
SG: Around-the-Green0.31617th0.19453rd
SG: Putting0.09577th0.32042nd

Scheffler was on another level in 2024, ranking first in SG: Total, SG: Tee-to-Green, and SG: Approach and dominating the tour with just average putting. As we enter the 2025 major, his ball-striking isn’t quite where it was, but is still at elite levels.

He struggled with the driver early in the season, but led the field in SG: Off-the-Tee at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, finishing T-11 despite ranking 49th in putting out of the 51 players that made the cut.

Now, his biggest challenge is sharpening his short game—an essential skill at Augusta, where precision around the greens is crucial. If he pairs his elite tee-to-green play with a more reliable touch on the greens, he’ll be a major threat on Sunday.

At +450, his odds suggest an 18.2% win probability—steep in such a loaded Masters field. While it would be a shock if he doesn’t secure a major in 2025, his current form, particularly with the putter, raises doubts about whether Augusta will be the one.

Rory McIlroy (+650)

Few players in golf history have been as consistently elite as Rory McIlroy, yet the Masters remains the one that got away. He’s had seven career top-10 finishes at Augusta, including a runner-up finish in 2022, but that elusive green jacket has continued to slip through his fingers.


Recent Form

DATETOURNAMENTFINISHSCORES
1/30 – 2/2AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am1st66-70-65-66 (-21)
2/13 – 2/16The Genesis InvitationalT1772-67-74-72 (-3)
3/6 – 3/9Arnold Palmer InvitationalT1570-70-73-72 (-3)
3/13 – 3/17THE PLAYERS Championship1st67-68-73-68 (-12)
3/27 – 3/30Houston OpenT570-66-65-64 (-15)

The start of McIlroy’s 2025 season has been one of the strongest of his career, headlined by a statement playoff victory at THE PLAYERS and a commanding win at Pebble Beach earlier in the year.

Even on his off weeks, he rarely finishes outside the top 15, showcasing his ability to stay in contention regardless of form. His T17 at The Genesis Invitational and T15 at Bay Hill weren’t his best, but once again, he was right in the mix.

After winning THE PLAYERS, McIlroy didn’t suffer any kind of regression in the Houston Open. He returned to the golf course at the Houston Open and was in the hunt for a T5 performance! Nevertheless, McIlroy’s form in majors is certainly worth questioning.

Right now, there’s a strong case for him being the best golfer in the world. The lingering question, however, is whether he can handle the pressure. His infamous final-round collapse at Augusta in 2011 is revisited every year, and with an 11-year major drought, the weight of expectation only continues to grow.


Rory McIlroy’s Stats: 2024 vs. 2025

STAT2024RANK2025RANK
SG: Total1.4123rd2.3191st
SG: Tee-to-Green1.2396th1.7252nd
SG: Off-the-Tee0.7304th0.8571st
SG: Approach the Green0.26052nd0.59219th
SG: Around-the-Green0.24828th0.27631st
SG: Putting0.17359th0.59310th

McIlroy’s long game has been dominant in 2025, leading the PGA Tour in SG: Total and SG: Off-the-Tee. He also ranks in the top three for SG: Tee-to-Green through the first quarter of the season. His ball-striking remains as sharp as ever, and he’s hitting greens in regulation at a career-best rate.

This season, his focus has been on becoming a more “complete player,” prioritizing greater control over his golf ball. He has openly admitted drawing inspiration from Scheffler’s recent success, integrating key strategic elements of Scottie’s game that have contributed to his dominance.

That evolution was on full display at TPC Sawgrass, where McIlroy gained 7.78 strokes on the field with his approach play and 4.96 strokes on the greens—an uncharacteristic but significant shift. It’s a departure from the McIlroy of old, signaling a more well-rounded and adaptable game.

Currently ranked 10th in SG: Putting for 2025, McIlroy is enjoying his best season on the greens since 2019. Back then, he ranked 16th in SG: Putting, won the FedEx Cup, claimed the Vardon Trophy for the lowest scoring average on tour, and was named PGA Tour Player of the Year.

At +650 odds to win the Masters, McIlroy is one of the strongest picks in the field. The question is no longer about his talent or form; it’s about whether he can rise to the occasion on golf’s biggest stage when it matters most.

Collin Morikawa (+1300)

Morikawa’s 2025 Masters betting odds have risen considerably over the last two weeks. He is all the way up to the third shortest price to overtake Aberg as one of the top favorites. Public money is flowing in on the 28-year-old California native after stellar performances in the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS.

Morikawa has won two major championships in his career but still doesn’t have a green jacket for his closet. He most recently captured a major at the 2021 Open Championship and could be due for another at Augusta National this year.


Recent Form

DATETOURNAMENTFINISHSCORES
1/2 – 1/5The Sentry2nd66-65-62-67 (-32)
1/30 – 2/2Pebble Beach Pro-AmT1769-67-71-70 (-11)
2/13 – 2/16The Genesis InvitationalT1773-72-73-67 (-3)
3/6 – 3/9Arnold Palmer Invitational2nd71-68-67-72 (-10)
3/13 – 3/17THE PLAYERST1070-65-77-69 (-7)

After back-to-back T17 finishes, Morikawa has been in top form with the Masters approaching. He finished 2nd against a tough field in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and then followed up with another top 10 performance in THE PLAYERS.

Dating back to the TOUR Championship at the end of the 2024 season, Morikawa has four top 10 finishes in four of his previous seven tournaments. With Morikawa playing confident golf, it’s no wonder that his Masters’ odds continue to shorten as the first round approaches!


Collin Morikawa’s Stats: 2024 vs. 2025

STAT2024RANK2025RANK
SG: Total1.2035th2.1802nd
SG: Tee-to-Green1.08211th1.9991st
SG: Off-the-Tee0.41719th0.54012th
SG: Approach the Green0.29242nd1.1901st
SG: Around-the-Green0.37410th0.26834th
SG: Putting0.12173rd0.18259th

Looking at some of Morikawa’s stats this season, it’s easy to see how his odds to win the Masters are the third-best on the board. Morikawa ranks 1st in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG” Approach the Green in 2025.

Additionally, Morikawa is just behind McIlroy in SG: Total and ahead of Scheffler, who is favored to win the 2025 Masters! In five of the six major metrics, Morikawa has improved from his numbers in 2024.

As Morikawa continues to show gains, the money is backing at betting windows. However, most of the value appears to already be sucked out of betting on Morikawa to win the Masters this year. At +1300 odds, it’s not the best price you should consider at Augusta National in 2025!

Other Favorites to Watch

  1. Jon Rahm (+1400)

    The 2023 Masters champion has been in strong form on LIV Golf, finishing top 6 in all four events this year. Despite missing the cut in his only DP World Tour start of the year in Dubai, Rahm remains one of the best players in the world and is always a popular bet at Augusta, where his powerful game suits the course perfectly. +1400 odds to win the Masters for Jon feels a fair price given his talent and track record.

  2. Bryson DeChambeau (+1500)

    Bryson DeChambeau’s Masters 2025 odds are on the move recently! His price has shifted from +1900 to +1500, as bettors gravitate to the 2024 U.S. Open winner.

    Few players generate more intrigue than Bryson. The two-time major winner famously claimed Augusta was a “par 67” for him, but he’s yet to back up that bold statement with a serious Masters run. By his standards he’s been average on LIV Golf this year but showed his clutch gene last year by winning the 2024 U.S. Open with an unbelievable up-and-down on the 18th hole.

    His creativity was on full display again recently with a viral hole-in-one over his house. If he can strike the right balance between aggression and creative control, he’s a real contender for his first green jacket. Bryson is unpredictable and can catch fire quickly, but with his lack of quality form recently, +1900 to win the 2025 Masters feels like fair value.

  3. Justin Thomas (+2500)

    A two-time major champion, JT is one of the most talented players of his generation. 2024 was a struggle, but he closed strong with a T2 at The ZOZO in Japan and has shown signs of his old self in 2025, including an eye-catching second round 62 at THE PLAYERS.

    As a streaky, confidence-based player, he’s dangerous when hot. Thomas has finished in the top 12 three times at Augusta, and if his form continues trending upward, this could be the year he makes a serious Masters run. At +2500 odds to win the Masters, he offers good value for a player of his caliber.

  4. Joaquin Niemann (+2800)

    With back-to-back top-22 finishes at Augusta over the past two years and recent wins on the LIV Tour in Singapore (mid-March) and Adelaide (mid-February), he’s building momentum at the right time.

    Two LIV victories and a DP World Tour win last year, he’s starting to win more consistently—an essential ingredient for major championship success. His career trajectory suggests it’s only a matter of time before he breaks through on golf’s biggest stage. +2800 is good value for a player in the form of his life.

Best Longshots for the 2025 Masters

Finding the right longshot picks can be the key to a big payday at the Masters. Every year, Augusta has a way of producing surprise contenders, and with the depth of talent in today’s game, overlooking the right sleeper could be costly.

Let’s take a look at some underrated names in the 2025 Masters odds who have the potential to make a serious run at the green jacket. For even more options, check out our full breakdown of Masters sleepers.

1. Tyrrell Hatton (+4500)

Tyrrell Hatton has thrived on the DP World Tour, shined in Ryder Cups, and checked nearly every career box—except a major win. Augusta could be where he breaks through. He finished T-9 at the 2024 Masters, proving he can handle the course, and opened 2025 with a clutch victory at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic. If he’s in the hunt on Sunday, his mindset and form make him a real contender. At +4500 odds, he offers solid value.


2. Robert MacIntyre (+4500)

The left-hander trend at Augusta is impossible to ignore—Phil Mickelson (3x champion), Bubba Watson (2x champion), and Mike Weir have all won the green jacket this century.

MacIntyre could be the next to follow in their footsteps. Now firmly established on tour after winning two national opens last year—the Canadian and his own, the Scottish—he’s showing impressive recent form with a T-11 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and a 9th-place finish at THE PLAYERS.

Augusta rewards creativity and shot-shaping, and MacIntyre’s Scottish roots have instilled both in his game. Twice inside the top-25 at Augusta, at +4500 odds, he’s a compelling longshot to watch in the Masters betting markets.


3. Corey Conners (+5000)

Rarely in the spotlight, he flies under the radar with his unassuming personality but is widely regarded as one of the elite ball-strikers on tour. A PGA Tour winner as recently as April 2023, he’s rounding into serious form with a 3rd-place finish at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T-6 at THE PLAYERS. His track record at Augusta is equally compelling, with three consecutive top-10 finishes from 2020 to 2022.

At +5000, he offers incredible value—without a doubt, my standout sleeper pick for the 2025 Masters.


4. Sergio Garcia (+6000)

At 45 years old, Garcia is certainly in the later stages of his career, but the 2017 Masters champion has proven he can still compete at a high level. His recent LIV Golf win in Hong Kong silenced critics who question whether he is simply there to collect a paycheck. With decades of Augusta experience and solid form, Garcia is a sneaky longshot who could surprise—and at +10000, why not add him to your Masters predictions?


5. Keegan Bradley (+9000)

The 2025 U.S. Ryder Cup captain is playing so well, he might just make his own team. Bradley has been in outstanding form, racking up 5 top-20 finishes already this season, and he’s no stranger to Augusta, with two career top-25 finishes at the Masters. At +9000 odds, he offers huge value for your Masters predictions, especially for a highly driven player in this kind of form.

Masters 2025 Prediction and Betting Picks

We’ve broken down the latest 2025 Masters odds, analyzed the top contenders, and highlighted some underrated longshots who could make a serious run at Augusta.

With Scottie Scheffler leading the betting, Rory McIlroy chasing his long-awaited green jacket, and a deep field of elite players and emerging stars, this year’s tournament promises to deliver plenty of drama.

Now, with all the key factors considered, here’s my pick to win the 2025 Masters.

If you’ve followed golf for a while, you’ve heard this prediction year after year after year, but here it is. My prediction for the Masters is Rory McIlroy silencing the naysayers and donning the green jacket.

Rory’s early-season form has been outstanding—he’s striking the ball as well as ever and has clearly added more dimensions to his already elite game. If there was ever a moment for him to finally break through and complete the career Grand Slam, this feels like it.

I have another bet, with my top sleeper pick Corey Conners. With strong recent form and an impressive track record at Augusta, +5000 is outstanding value. I’d be surprised if he isn’t right in the mix and on the first page of the leaderboard come Sunday evening.

The Bet
Bet 1: Rory McIlroy
The Bet
Bet 2: Corey Conners
+5000
About the Author
Jacob Kirkham profile picture
Jacob Kirkham
Content Writer
Jacob is a content writer at The Sports Geek with a focus on golf, table tennis and rugby. With a commercial background and an MBA, Jacob may also be found writing about other events such as the Financial Modelling World Cup. A lifelong golf enthusiast, Jacob brings his passion for sports to his writing. Outside of work, he can probably be found running, or predictably, on the golf course.
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