The Great British Baking Show is back for Season 16, and the winner odds are already heating up in the tent! With a fresh batch of talented bakers, stunning creations, and the occasional soggy bottom, fans are tuning in and placing their bets on who will rise to the challenge and claim the coveted cake stand crown.
In this guide, I break down the latest Great British Baking Show odds, highlight the current favorites, and share my predictions for the eventual winner!
The Great British Baking Show Winner Odds
Here are the latest BetOnline odds for Season 16:
Aaron remains the frontrunner after a series of polished, technically sound performances. His composure and attention to detail have made him the most reliable baker in the tent, which explains his position at the top of the market.
However, Jasmine and Tom are closing in fast. Jasmine’s blend of precision and flair has earned her several Star Baker titles, while Tom’s creativity and recent improvement in consistency suggest he could challenge for the crown if that upward trend continues.
Toby’s Meringue Week breakthrough and Iain’s flashes of inventiveness make them intriguing outsiders, but both need near-perfect runs from here to stay in contention. As it stands, the odds point to a tight three-way battle between Aaron, Tom, and Jasmine, with the final few episodes likely to decide who takes home the cake stand.
You can find the Great British Baking Show odds at BetOnline by going to Sports > Entertainment > The Great British Baking Show.
The Great British Baking Show 2025 Updated Prediction
With Season 16 nearing its finale, the remaining bakers are separated by fine margins. Technical skill will always matter in the tent, but at this stage, creativity, composure, and timing are what define the eventual winner.
Aaron has been the model of precision all season. His technicals are consistently strong, and he rarely falters under pressure. However, his more cautious approach might hold him back if others push boundaries in the final rounds. The judges often reward those who take bold risks, and that could tilt the competition away from him if his bakes feel too safe.
Jasmine looks to have the momentum. She’s built a strong record of Star Baker wins and continues to impress with a mix of flavor innovation and flawless presentation. Her ability to balance ambition with execution has earned her glowing feedback, and her recent form suggests she’s peaking at the perfect moment.
Tom, meanwhile, is the quiet climber. After a mixed start, he’s tightened up his technique and grown in confidence week by week. His creativity gives him a natural advantage in showstoppers, and if he maintains that trajectory, he could easily challenge the front-runners.
Toby and Iain remain capable, but inconsistent. Toby’s Meringue Week win proved he can rise to the occasion, while Iain’s inventive streak occasionally shines through, yet both need faultless performances to turn their seasons around.
Taking it all together, Jasmine feels like the value pick heading into the final stretch — the baker combining flair, confidence, and steady improvement. Aaron remains the safe choice, but Great British Bake Off history favors those who finish strong, and Jasmine’s recent surge suggests she might just deliver the upset.
The Great British Baking Show 2025 Contestants
With just a handful of bakers left, each brings a distinct personality and professional background that shapes how they perform under pressure. Here’s a closer look at who’s still in the running, and how their real-world experience translates into baking success.
Aaron (+100)
A 38-year-old senior systems architect from London, Aaron combines structure with creativity in everything he bakes. His style fuses French patisserie with Caribbean flair and, more recently, Asian influences like miso and yuzu. Technically, he’s one of the strongest bakers in the tent, but his cautious approach can sometimes limit his creativity. If he finds the confidence to take bigger risks, he could turn precision into a winning edge.
Tom (+125)
A 31-year-old creative entrepreneur from London, Tom brings a natural sense of artistry to the competition. His showstoppers are imaginative and ambitious, and after a shaky start, he’s found a rhythm that matches flair with control. If he maintains that balance, his late-season form could make him one of the biggest threats to win.c
Jasmine (+200)
A medical student originally from Edinburgh, Jasmine’s calm precision and methodical mindset have made her a standout throughout the competition. She favors fresh, seasonal ingredients and pairs them with a confident sense of flavor. With multiple Star Baker wins and growing momentum, she’s peaking at just the right time and looks every bit the all-rounder to beat
Toby (+1400)
A business development executive from Warwickshire, Toby takes a structured, strategic approach to baking. His Meringue Week triumph proved he can rise to the challenge when the pressure’s on, but inconsistency is his greatest obstacle. If he can string together a few more confident performances, he could still surprise in the final stretch.
Iain (+1600)
A software engineer from Belfast, Iain — nicknamed the “Yeastie Boy” — channels his technical mind into creative, bread-led bakes. He’s known for experimenting with fermented flavors and bold designs, though that inventive streak can sometimes come at the expense of refinement. If he can steady his execution, his originality could make him the season’s dark horse.
Where to Bet on The Great British Baking Show?
If you’re ready to back your favorite baker, you can find The Great British Baking Show odds now at BetOnline, one of the leading entertainment betting sites. The markets move quickly as each episode airs, so monitoring how performances shift week to week is essential, especially as we approach the semifinals and the all-important final bakes.
While Aaron remains the favorite on paper, Jasmine’s momentum and Tom’s late-season form have tightened the race, setting up an exciting finish. Betting on The Great British Bake Off isn’t just about picking a winner; it’s about spotting trends, reading confidence under pressure, and predicting who will stay composed when the heat rises in the tent.
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