The 2025 NBA Western Conference Finals odds show a clear favorite: the Thunder are expected to beat the Timberwolves! I’m sure that Minnesota will relish the “underdogs” label and put up a fight, but can they stop a historical team like the OKC?
I explore the latest lines and dissect both teams, before sharing my 2025 NBA Western Conference Finals predictions and best bets below.
2025 NBA Western Conference Finals Betting Odds
The NBA West Finals odds below are available at Bovada:
TEAM | SERIES WINNER | SERIES SPREAD | SERIES TOTAL GAMES |
---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Timberwolves | +275 | +1.5 (+120) | Over 5.5 (-145) |
OKC Thunder | -350 | -1.5 (-160) | Under 5.5 (+110) |
The best NBA betting sites expect the Thunder to win in 5 or 6 games, if we trust the Western Conference Finals odds. OKS is a -350 favorite to win the series, which equals an implied probability of almost 78%.
The number looks for a Conference Finals series, but OKC have been amazing this season and just went through a tough test against the Nuggets. The Timberwolves were lucky to face a Warriors team that struggled with injuries, so it’s hard to judge how good they truly are.
You can find the latest NBA Western Conference Finals 2025 odds by going to Bovada and then Sports > Basketball > NBA Playoff Series Prices > Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder.
Western Conference Finals MVP Odds
PLAYER | MVP ODDS |
---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | -310 |
Anthony Edwards | +300 |
Jalen Williams | +2500 |
Julius Randle | +2500 |
Chet Holmgren | +4500 |
SGA is the clear favorite here, which is only natural. He is the best player on the team expected to win, so the oddsmakers see him as the obvious choice for MVP of the West Finals. Anthony Edwards is the next most likely candidate, with everyone else far behind these two.
I don’t think an underdog can win this award, but if you disagree with me, Bovada offers odds on all starters in this series, so check them out.
Minnesota Timberwolves – How Good Is This Team Really?
- Head Coach: Chris Finch
- Regular Season Record: 49-33
- NBA Conference Titles: 0
- Key Players: Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels
The Minnesota Timberwolves might be the hardest team to evaluate in the NBA Conference Finals this year. They traded Karl-Anthony Towns for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo despite reaching the same stage last season, and this looked like a bad trade initially.
The new boys struggled for good chunks of the regular season, and the team was in danger of missing the playoffs. The Timberwolves improved to almost win 50 games in the stacked West, though, entering the postseason with some momentum.
The team abused the Lakers in the first round, taking full advantage of LA’s lack of a proper center. The next challenge was supposed to be much tougher, but Minnesota got a lucky break when Steph Curry got injured.
The Timberwolves took full advantage of the situation to eliminate the Golden State Warriors in five games. They should be fresh and ready for the Thunder, but how good are the Timberwolves really?
Julius Randle and Anthony Edwards have averaged a combined 50 points per game in the playoffs so far, with solid contributions coming from the likes of Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, and Rudy Gobert. The team essentially uses 8 players in the rotation, which is just enough depth.
The problem is that you don’t really know if you’ll get consistent contributions from enough players. Julius Randle has been inefficient in the past, and the Thunder have the defensive weapons to slow him down.
Mike Conley doesn’t have the energy to compete with the OKC perimeter defenders and his age, Rudy Gobert and Jayden McDaniels are more or less limited offensively, and you never know what you’re going to get from Donte DiVincenzo.
Even Anthony Davis is prone to inconsistencies, so I’m not quite sure if the Timberwolves can win a 7-game series against a team like the Thunder.
OKC Thunder – True Potential Unlocked after the Dogfight Against the Nuggets?
- Head Coach: Mark Daigneault
- Regular Season Record: 68-14
- NBA Conference Titles: 4
- Key Players: Shai-Gilgeous Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Isiah Hartenstein
The Oklahoma City Thunder enjoyed a historic regular season, winning 68 games and leading the NBA. They were exceptional on both ends of the floor and are by far the deepest team in the entire league.
The biggest concern entering the playoffs was the lack of experience. This wasn’t an issue in the opening round when OKC swept the Grizzlies, but we saw it on full display against the Nuggets in the second round.
The Thunder lost the opening game of the series and had to dig deep to beat a team that was nowhere near the same level in terms of rosters. While Denver made this matchup much closer than it should’ve been with their heart and experience, this actually worked out great for the Thunder.
They survived the trial by fire and I expect them to be better for it. OKC demolished the Nuggets in game 7, looking unstoppable in the process.
The experience gained from this series might be the last ingredient the Thunder needed to become true championship contenders. They have the talent and depth to beat anyone, but they needed that extra experience that helps you get over the line when the going gets tough.
They now have it, in addition to one of the best players in the world, an amazing defense, the best bench in the NBA, and the best depth overall. The OKC have too many weapons, so if they are healthy, I expect them to not only win the Western Conference but the NBA Championship as well.
NBA West Finals 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick
I deeply respect the Timberwolves and expect to make a few games in the series competitive, but I can’t see them winning this one. The Thunder are too good, too deep, and have too much momentum after the series against the Nuggets.
They also have home-court advantage, so I expect a fast start and a comfortable victory for the favorites. The odds for them to win the series are a bit on the short side, but I like the -160 available for OKC to cover the -1.5 games spread.
This should be a 5 or 6-game series at most, so my best betting pick for the Western Conference Finals is for the Thunder to cover the spread. I also expect SGA to win the West Finals MVP award, but the odds are too short for my taste and I don’t recommend betting on that one.
Where to Bet on the NBA Western Conference Finals?
If you’re looking for a bookie to bet on the NBA Western Conference Finals, I strongly recommend Bovada. The site offers multiple markets, including series winner, totals, handicaps, MVP, and a ton of props and specials.
New customers can also claim a rewarding 100% welcome bonus of up to $1,000 on their first deposit with promo code BV1000!
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