The 2025-26 NFL MVP odds feature familiar names at the top, but there’s no clear favorite for the award. After Buffalo Bills’ QB Josh Allen won his first MVP, is he primed to repeat this year?
I explore the latest winner odds, analyze the betting favorites, highlight a few good sleepers, and make my NFL MVP predictions.
NFL MVP 2025-26 Betting Odds
The following NFL MVP odds for 2025-26 are courtesy of Bovada:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | +500 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | +600 |
| Josh Allen (BUF) | +600 |
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | +650 |
| Jayden Daniels (WSH) | +1000 |
| Jordan Love (GB) | +1800 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +2000 |
| Jared Goff (DET) | +2000 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | +2000 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | +2500 |
Baltimore Ravens’ (+500) QB Lamar Jackson is favored to win his third MVP award in 2025-26. The 28-year-old Jackson has a 16.7% implied probability, so he is far from a convincing betting favorite to win MVP.
Allen (+600) is tied with Joe Burrow (+600) in his MVP defense bid this season. Both star quarterbacks share a 14.3% chance to finish as the MVP for the 2025-26 campaign. Also, three-time Super Bowl and two-time MVP Patrick Mahomes (+650) is in the running.
I’m not so sure Mahomes deserves such short odds to win NFL MVP. The Chiefs are more of a defensive team that feasts on field position now. I don’t know if the numbers are going to be there for Mahomes, but naturally, he’ll have another productive season.
You can find updated NFL MVP betting odds at Bovada by navigating to Sports > Football > NFL Awards > Regular Season MVP.
NFL MVP Betting Favorites for 2025-26
The MVP race is expected to be a tight and go deep into the 2025-26 schedule. Let’s break down the leading favorites, according to the best NFL betting sites:
Lamar Jackson (+500)
Jackson enters the 2025-26 season with his eyes set on capturing MVP honors for a third time in his career. He won the award in 2019, 2023, and could have easily repeated last year.
The dynamic Ravens’ QB put on a show with his arm and legs. While for much of his career, Jackson’s critics have noted he isn’t the best passer, he certainly put them to rest last year.
In 2024-25, Jackson passed for 4,172 yards, 41 touchdowns, and four interceptions on 66.7% completions! That looks like an elite passer to me.
Jackson added 915 yards and four touchdowns rushing on 6.6 yards per carry. If there was any blemish on his resume, the 10 fumbles with five lost were problematic.
Lamar Jackson is the first player in NFL history to have:
more passing yards
more passing TDs
fewer interceptions
a higher completion pct
more rushing yards
a higher rushing average…than the MVP that season. pic.twitter.com/O7pBNMLuyH
— OptaSTATS (@OptaSTATS) February 7, 2025
Note that Jackson’s numbers were more impressive on paper than when he won the MVP in 2023-24. Back then, he finished with 3,678 yards, 24 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. #8 also ran for 821 yards and five scores on the ground.
Jackson’s stats really accelerated when RB Derrick Henry joined the Ravens last season. The running back’s presence in the backfield helped elevate Jackson as a runner and passer.
With Henry on the field, defenses haven’t had a fun time, especially in the secondary, where they’re leaving room for Jackson to throw over the top.
Expect another sensational campaign for Jackson, and the numbers should reflect that on a team I expect to compete for Super Bowl 60.
Joe Burrow (+600)
Burrow is the one quarterback amongst the top favorites that doesn’t exactly fit into the same mold. He isn’t on a championship-contending team. In fact, currently, the Bengals’ Super Bowl odds are +2000 for the eighth best in the league.
So, what’s going on here? Can Burrow win MVP on a team that isn’t a perennial favorite? The argument for Bengals star is that he is going to pass for a massive amount of yardage. The touchdowns should follow, so expect Burrow’s stat line to be one of the best by the end of the season.
Joe Burrow's confidence is on 💯😤 pic.twitter.com/r5Qf8ZZ10n
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) August 22, 2025
This is going to largely be due to the Bengals having such an inept defense. They are projected to have one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Burrow must throw for monster yards for the Bengals to have a chance. And, if Burrow puts his team in contention, he’s going to be in the MVP hunt.
Last season, Burrow passed for 4,918 yards, 43 touchdowns, and nine interceptions on 70.6% completions. Along with a career-high in touchdowns and passing yards, Burrow recorded a career-high QB rating of 108.5.
Look for similar numbers, but do you trust the Bengals to be in playoff contention? If so, he’s a sharp 2025-26 NFL MVP pick!
Josh Allen (+650)
In a first for Allen, the Bills’ signal caller collected the MVP award last season. Allen didn’t have the stats on Jackson or Burrow, but the Bills had the better record and were viewed as the most serious contender.
Additionally, Allen did it without WR Stefon Diggs and proved that he doesn’t need an elite No. 1 target to have success. It was a close call against Jackson, but Allen made more plays down the stretch to lead the Bills into the playoffs.
The 29-year-old from Firebaugh, CA, passed for 3,731 yards, 28 touchdowns, and six interceptions on 63.6% completions. He also scampered for 531 yards and 12 touchdowns on 5.2 yards per attempt.
JOSH. ALLEN. WOW. 🚀
🎥 NFL, CBS
pic.twitter.com/p95EgbDXPF— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 27, 2025
When the Bills needed a play, Allen was always there to answer the call. That was the deciding factor in the end for voters, who sided with Allen’s arm and legs. The Bills are once again going to have a strong team aided by their QB’s decision-making.
Allen is going to be in the running, but will there be too much voter fatigue for him to win again?
Best NFL MVP Sleepers in 2025-26
If Eagles’ RB Saquon Barkley being left out of the MVP conversation last year is any indication, the award is essentially a quarterback award.
Based on that, there are two longshot quarterbacks who deserve a look for your NFL MVP betting picks:
2025-26 NFL MVP Prediction and Betting Pick
After being denied a second consecutive MVP in 2024-25, I expect Jackson to come out with something to prove. He had a fantastic campaign but lost out in a toss-up against Allen.
If a similar scenario plays out to last season, and Jackson cuts down on fumbling, he should be the MVP. The way I see it, the Ravens should be a superior team to last year’s squad. They made some adjustments and improved a shaky pass defense, which should result in a couple of more wins.
That is likely to help push Jackson into the MVP lead among voters. Allen had the clutch DNA last season, but there is no reason that Jackson can’t do the same on this team in 205-26.
I’m high on the Ravens winning the Super Bowl, and equally as confident in Jackson having an MVP campaign!
Where to Bet on the NFL MVP Odds?
The best betting odds to win NFL MVP can be located at Bovada for the 2025-26 campaign. With prices on hundreds of players at excellent odds, Bovada is our top recommendation to bet on the league MVP.
For a limited time, new customers can claim a 100% match bonus of up to $1,000 at Bovada with promo code BV1000!
Welcome Bonus
100% up to $1,000
- Wide-ranging sportsbook and live betting platform
- Top-notch poker room with numerous tournaments
Click to Contact Kyle
You must be logged in to comment. Don't have an account? Sign up today.