How To Bet the Total for Super Bowl 57: Will it Be Over or Under?

Super Bowl 57 Over Under Betting

Super Bowl prop bets have rapidly gained popularity at online sportsbooks, which is evident by the thousands available. However, there are still conventional Super Bowl bets for the Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles that are highly appealing to veteran sports bettors like the Over/Under.

The Over/Under, commonly referred to as Total, is a traditional NFL wager that could provide plenty of value for this year’s Super Bowl matchup. 

Let’s dive deeper into the Super Bowl 57 Total, analyze the two teams, and examine past Super Bowl trends to see if we can make a winning prediction.

How To Bet On The Super Bowl 57 Over Under Odds

Before doing anything on Super Bowl Sunday, it’s imperative to learn how to bet on the Super Bowl.

For the Super Bowl 57 Total, bettors wager on whether there will be more or less points scored than the number set by your preferred online sports betting site.

The Over in “over/under” represents more points being scored than the posted Super Bowl 57 total. Meanwhile, the Super Bowl 57 Under represents a total of fewer points being scored than the posted number. Let’s take a look at the latest Super Bowl 57 odds from Bovada.

Latest Super Bowl 57 Betting Odds Provided by Bovada:

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Kansas City Chiefs+100+1.5 (-110)Over 51 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles-120-1.5 (-110)Under 51 (-110)

The Total for the 2023 Super Bowl is currently at 51 points. In other words, the combined number of Super Bowl points scored by the Chiefs and Eagles. A correct pick with odds of -110 will win $100.00 for a $110.00 bet.

For a winning bet on the Under, the total points scored in the Super Bowl must be less than 51 points. Conversely, a winning bet on the Over must see a score combine to surpass 51 points.

Alternate Super Bowl 57 Over Under Odds

Most reputable Super Bowl online betting sites offer alternate over/under lines. Many sports bettors know this as ‘buying points.’ Alternate Super Bowl totals enable bettors to change the over/under.

However, this can come at a cost if you want to move the Total in your direction.

For instance, the alternate Super Bowl 57 Over for 49 points at Bovada includes a price of -190. If you want 45 points on the Over, it will require paying -250.

The same can be done in the opposite direction on the Super Bowl Under. The larger the difference from 51 points, the higher the price is going to be on the odds.

For ultra-confident bettors, there is also the option of ‘selling points.’ Improve the return on your bet by selecting an alternate over/under line that makes it more difficult to win.

Assume you really like the Super Bowl 57 Over on Sunday. You are so confident that you see more than 60 points being scored. The alternate Over 60.5 at Bovada pays a cool +240.

More than 63.5 total points scored in Super Bowl 57? That bet pays an impressive +330.

Past Super Bowl Over Under Results

Super Bowl Total data since 20041.

Super BowlFinal ScoreTotal Result
Super Bowl 56Rams 26 – Bengals 23Under 49.5
Super Bowl 55Buccaneers 31 – Chiefs 9Under 56
Super Bowl 54Chiefs 31 – 49ers 20Under 53
Super Bowl 53Patriots 13 – Rams 3Under 55.5
Super Bowl 52Eagles 41 – Patriots 33Over 49
Super Bowl 51Patriots 34 – Falcons 28Over 57.5
Super Bowl 50Broncos 24 – Panthers 10Under 43
Super Bowl 49Patriots 28 – Seahawks 24Over 47.5
Super Bowl 48Seahawks 43 – Broncos 8Over 47.5
Super Bowl 47Ravens 34 – 49ers 31Over 48
Super Bowl 46Giants 21 – Patriots 17Under 53
Super Bowl 45Packers 31 – Steelers 25Over 45
Super Bowl 44Saints 31 – Colts 17Under 57
Super Bowl 43Steelers 27 – Cardinals 23Over 46
Super Bowl 42Giants 17 – Patriots 14Under 55
Super Bowl 41Colts 29 – Bears 17Under 47
Super Bowl 40Steelers 21 – Seahawks 10Under 47
Super Bowl 39Patriots 24 – Eagles 21Under 46.5
Super Bowl 38Patriots 32 – Panthers 29Over 37.5

Since Super Bowl 38 in 2004, the Over has won only eight times. That is a 42.1% success rate to the Over. The Super Bowl Under is on a four-game winning streak.

The latest Super Bowl to eclipse the posted total was between the Eagles and Patriots in 2018. It wasn’t even close for the 49-point Super Bowl total. Nick Foles led the Eagles to a 41-33 victory and bettors to an easy win on the Over2.

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Highest Total Score and Average Total Score In The Super Bowl

The highest total score in the Super Bowl happened on January 29, 1995, at Joe Robbie Stadium in Miami. Super Bowl 29 between the San Francisco 49ers and San Diego Chargers resulted in a final score of 49-263.

The 75 points scored in Super Bowl 29 is a point more than the 74 points scored between the Eagles and Patriots. Following four low-scoring Super Bowls, Philadelphia is back in the Big Game and possibly looking at another high-scoring contest.

There has been a total of 2584 points scored since Super Bowl 1 in 1967. Therefore, the average Super Bowl total points in 56 Super Bowl games is 46 points.

Overall, the Over has hit in 27 Super Bowls, while the Under has cashed in 28 games4. If the Chiefs and Eagles go Over, we will be even at 28 going into Super Bowl 58. It should be noted that the first Super Bowl did not have an Over/Under line.

Super Bowl 57 Over Under Predictions

Super Bowl 57 features two high-octane offenses at State Farm Stadium on Sunday, along with the Eagles defense which was considered one of the best in the league all year long. Let’s take a closer look at both teams before making our prediction.

Kansas City Chiefs Offense Super Bowl 57 Preview

Chiefs Offensive Rankings5:

Yards Per GamePassing Yards Per GameRushing Yards Per GameYards Per PlayAverage Time of PossessionPoints Per Game
1st1st21st1st11th1st

The Chiefs return to the Super Bowl despite losing one of the most dynamic wide receivers in Tyreek Hill, who was traded to the Dolphins last offseason.

Despite losing Hill, the Chiefs still put-up incredible numbers as Patrick Mahomes had an MVP season without Tyreek. Mahomes passed for 5,250 yards, 41 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. The favorite to win the 2023 NFL MVP also completed 67.1% of his passes6.

The former Texas Tech Red Raiders was able to spread the ball around in the absence of a true No. 1 wide receiver. Tight end Travis Kelce functioned as the primary receiver for Mahomes. Kelce finished the regular season with 110 receptions, 1,338 yards, and 12 touchdowns7.

The TE’s 110 receptions are a career-high, signaling his importance in the offense following Hill’s departure. Kelce continued to play well in the playoffs and enters Super Bowl 57 after tallying 176 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Jaguars and Bengals8.

Overall, the Chiefs are first in the NFL offensively. They’ve averaged 407.9 yards per game9 and 6.3 yards per play10. There is only one team that matches the Chiefs in points per game, which happens to be the Eagles at 28.7 ppg11.

There has been concern regarding Mahomes’ ankle injury. However, head coach Andy Reid stated to the media that Mahomes is healthy and capable of doing everything12.

The health of wide receivers JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney has also been discussed. Both players are scheduled to play despite nagging ailments.

For an x-factor on the Kansas City offense, we suggest watching out for running back Isiah Pacheco. The Rutgers product has seen his workload increase steadily this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense Super Bowl 57 Preview

Chiefs Defensive Rankings13:

Yards Allowed Per GamePassing Yards Allowed Per GameRushing Yards Allowed Per GameYards Allowed Per PlayAverage Opponent Time of PossessionPoints Allowed Per Game
10th19th8th9th11th15th

Do the Chiefs have a severe disadvantage on defense in this Super Bowl matchup? A lot has been said about how the Chiefs’ defense does not compare to the Eagles.

While the Eagles statistically have the better defense, the Chiefs have some workhorses in their locker room that can make this a tough game for the Eagles’ talented offensive line.

Slowing the Eagles down on the ground is imperative to having success. But, pressure from Frank Clark and Chris Jones is how the Chiefs can win Super Bowl 57.

Jones leads the Chiefs in sacks this season with 15.514. The disruptive defensive tackle has a decent chance of taking this game over. If he can get to Jalen Hurts enough, Jones would have to be considered a candidate for the MVP of Super Bowl 57.

Clark is heating up at the right time for the Chiefs. The native of Bakersfield, California, is coming off a big performance in the AFC Championship.

He was instrumental in the win, as he sacked Joe Burrow 1.5 times. This came after bringing down Trevor Lawrence behind the line of scrimmage against the Jaguars in the Divisional Round15.

The Eagles will want to run the ball up the middle and win the time of possession. However, the Chiefs have been tough to beat at the point of attack. KC is eighth in the NFL against the run as they’ve yielded an average of 107.3 yards per game on the ground16.

The secondary has not been up to par with the top teams in the NFL. However, the Chiefs’ secondary is not as bad as advertised. They get a sizable boost with defensive back L’Jarius Sneed out of concussion protocol17.

Sneed has been one of the most productive members of the Chiefs’ defense. Heading into Super Bowl 57, Sneed has notched 75 solo tackles, 3 forced fumbles, 3.5 sacks, and 3 interceptions18.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense Super Bowl 57 Preview

Eagles Offensive Rankings19:

Yards Per GamePassing Yards Per GameRushing Yards Per GameYards Per PlayAverage Time of PossessionPoints Per Game
3rd12th4th6th8th1st

Jalen Hurts is making what he hopes to be the first of several Super Bowl appearances in his career.

As the betting favorite to win the Super Bowl 57 MVP, there is pressure on Hurts to lead the Eagles to victory.

However, Hurts is every bit as deserving of being named the regular season MVP. The three-year quarterback out of Oklahoma reached his full potential this season.

Hurts passed for 3,701 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. The threat of escaping trouble and running downhill makes Hurts an especially tough quarterback to slow down.

Along with his strong passing numbers, Hurts gained 760 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns as a runner20. The Chiefs cannot afford to allow Hurts to escape pressure, extend plays or run for first downs.

The addition of A.J. Brown and the development of DeVonta Smith took the Eagles to the next level offensively. Along with the offensive line, everything aligned perfectly for the Eagles this season.

Smith improved on his rookie campaign and eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving for the first time in his career. Hurts’ former teammate at Alabama hauled in 95 receptions for 1,196 yards and 7 touchdowns this past season.21

Opposite Smith, Brown immediately felt comfortable in his first season with the Eagles. The former Titan recorded a career-high with 1,496 yards and 11 touchdowns22.

Tight end Dallas Goedert’s presence across the middle of the field can’t be understated, too. He allows for the field to open up deep for Smith and Brown.

However, what really makes this offense run so efficiently is the offensive line. According to Pro Football Focus, the Eagles have the best offensive line in the NFL23. It is hard to disagree.

Running back Miles Sanders figures to get involved early and often. He ran behind the best offensive line in football for 1,269 yards on 4.9 yards per carry24.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense Super Bowl 57 Preview

Eagles Defensive Rankings25:

Yards Allowed Per GamePassing Yards Allowed Per GameRushing Yards Allowed Per GameYards Allowed Per PlayAverage Opponent Time of PossessionPoints Allowed Per Game
1st1st15th1st8th3rd

The Eagles’ defense has one more assignment in front of them before being crowned Super Bowl champs. This is their biggest test of the season as they face Mahomes and the Chiefs.

Regarded as having the most depth in the NFL, there aren’t any exploitable weaknesses on the Eagles’ defense. Teams that get pressure tend to have success, and there isn’t another team in the NFL that gets as much pressure as the Eagles.

The Eagles were credited with 70 sacks this season. That is 15 sacks more than the team with the second-most sacks, Kansas City26. Both teams employ a dangerous pass rush, but there is no squad in the NFL better than the Eagles on the edge.

The Eagles can break the NFL record for most sacks in a year on Super Bowl Sunday. If the Eagles record 5 sacks, they will stand alone at the top of the NFL. Through the regular season and playoffs, the Eagles currently have the third-most27.

The Eagles are also the first team to have four players with at least 10 sacks in a season28. The pass rush is led by Haason Reddick on the edge.

Reddick notched 35 solo tackles, 16 sacks, and 5 forced fumbles in the regular season29. The playoffs did not serve as a deterrent for Reddick, as he stayed hot with 6 solo tackles and 3.5 sacks against the Giants and 49ers30.

There isn’t a defensive back in the league that wouldn’t like playing on the Eagles. The pass rush has allowed the secondary to have an easier time against quarterbacks. With 171 passing yards allowed per game, there isn’t another defense that compares31.

Super Bowl 57 Total Pick

There is no denying that the Chiefs and Eagles have offensive playmakers that can terrorize a defense. That said, this game could very well turn into a defensive struggle between two capable defenses.

While everyone is focusing on the matchup between Mahomes and Hurts, the game will be won in the trenches. We give the edge to the Eagles’ offensive and defensive lines.

TheSportsGeek anticipates the Eagles trying to turn this game into a grind-it-out fest. Chewing up the clock and keeping the ball away from Mahomes is imperative for Philly.

If the Eagles have success, which we believe they will for at least the first half, the pace should be slow. The game could open up in the second half, but Super Bowl 57 likely comes down to which defensive line creates some big plays in the 4th quarter. And, we like the Eagles to do that as well.

The public will most likely bet on the Over for this matchup due to the high scoring offenses that feature some of the league’s top stars. However, there is a strong case to be made for the Under.

We are fading the public and locking in the Under at 51 points. For our Super Bowl 57 prediction, a final score of 28-21 or 24-23 looks accurate. Take the Under this weekend.  

SUPER BOWL 57 OVER UNDER BEST BET:
UNDER 51

Sources

1.  NFL odds: A historical look at Super Bowl Over/Unders. Retrieved From https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/2023-super-bowl-odds-over-under-betting-history

2.  Super Bowl LII – Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots. Retrieved From https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/201802040nwe.htm

3.  Super Bowl XXIX – San Francisco 49ers vs. San Diego Chargers. Retrieved From https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/199501290sdg.htm

4.  NFL odds: A historical look at Super Bowl Over/Unders. Retrieved From https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/2023-super-bowl-odds-over-under-betting-history

5.  NFL Football Team Stats. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/team-stats/

6.  Patrick Mahomes Career Stats. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/players/patrick-mahomes/stats/career 

7.  Travis Kelce Career Stats. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/players/travis-kelce/stats/career

8.  Travis Kelce Game by Game Stats and Performance. Retrieved From https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/15847/travis-kelce

9.  NFL Team Yards per Game. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/yards-per-game

10.  NFL Team Yards per Play. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/yards-per-play

11.  NFL Team Points per Game. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/points-per-game

12.  Andy Reid: Patrick Mahomes (ankle) ‘can really do just about everything’ in Super Bowl game plan. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/news/andy-reid-patrick-mahomes-ankle-can-really-do-just-about-everything-in-super-bow

13.  NFL Football Team Stats. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/team-stats/

14.  Chiefs Sack Leaders 2022. Retrieved From https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/chiefs-sack-leaders-2022

15.  Frank Clark Game by Game Stats and Performance. Retrieved From https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/2576242/frank-clark

16.  NFL Team Opponent Rushing Yards per Game. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-rushing-yards-per-game

17.  Steve Spangnuolo: CB L’Jarius Sneed clearing concussion protocol ‘huge’ for Chiefs defense. Retrieve From https://www.nfl.com/news/steve-spagnuolo-cb-l-jarius-sneed-clearing-concussion-protocol-huge-for-chiefs-d

18.  L’Jarius Sneed Stats. Retrieved From https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/stats/_/id/4040432/ljarius-sneed

19.  NFL Football Team Stats. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/team-stats/

20.  Jalen Hurts Career Stats. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/players/jalen-hurts/stats/career

21.  DeVonta Smith Stats Summary. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/players/devonta-smith/stats/

22.  A.J. Brown Career Stats. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/players/a-j-brown/stats/career

23.  Final 2022 NFL offensive line rankings. Retrieved From https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-final-2022-nfl-offensive-line-rankings

24.  Miles Sanders Stats Summary. Retrieved From https://www.nfl.com/players/miles-sanders/stats/

25.  NFL Football Team Stats. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/team-stats/

26.  Most Teams Sacks 2022 Season. Retrieved From https://www.statmuse.com/nfl/ask/most-team-sacks-2022-season

27.  Eagles defense is on a historic sack pace entering Super Bowl 57. Retrieved From https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2023/02/08/eagles-defense-historic-sack-pace-slogan-super-bowl-57/11215176002/

28.  Brandon Graham’s career-best sack record allows Eagles to make history. Retrieved From https://www.iggles.com/eagles-make-nfl-history-as-four-players-now-have-10-sacks/

29.  Haason Reddick Stats, News, Bio. Retrieved From https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/_/id/2980504/haason-reddick

30.  Haason Reddick Game by Game Stats and Performance. Retrieved From https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/2980504/haason-reddick

31.  NFL Team Opponent Passing Yards per Game. Retrieved From https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-passing-yards-per-game

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About the Author
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Rick Rockwell
Sports/Casino Writer
Blog and News
Rick has been a professional writer for over 14 years with an extensive resume spanning projects and clients from around the world. But, his passions have always been sports and sports betting. Whether it’s being a credentialed media member to major sporting events, climbing into a racecar or a pro wrestling ring, Rick’s sports and sports betting knowledge, passion and versatility is on display with each article he writes for TSG.

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