Best Trump Prop Bets: Odds, Analysis, and Betting Predictions

The Country the USA Attacks Next

If you missed out on betting on Trump to attack Iran, fear not. BetOnline is offering odds on which country Trump will attack next.

Cuba is the -165 favorite, and for good reason. The President himself said that “Cuba is next.” In addition to verbally threatening to launch attacks against Cuba, Trump has also used his “Maximum Pressure” campaign to place additional restraints on the country.

Trump to Rubio: "Your next one is gonna be Cuba. He's waiting but he says, 'Let's get this one finished first.' We could do them all at the same time, but bad things happen." pic.twitter.com/kaM63CsmZS

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) March 5, 2026

Other top candidates in this wager include Mexico (+225), Colombia (+650), and Syria (+1000).

Panama (+1600) and Greenland (+3300) are also available. In 2025, Trump stressed the importance of the US controlling the Panama Canal and owning Greenland. However, since invading Venezuela and attacking Iran, Greenland and Panama have taken a back seat.

Much like Iran, Cuba is a familiar nemesis for Republicans, especially the aging parts of Trump’s MAGA base. Attacking the country would help solidify Trump’s support among those loyal to his him.

Donald Trump’s Approval Rating on April 1st

Trump’s war with Iran has been widely unpopular with American Voters. According to Reuters, only 27% of American adults approved of Trump’s attack on Iran.

Attacking Iran has not helped Trump’s approval rating, which was already underwater. BetUS has odds on what Trump’s approval rating will be on April 1st, 2026.

Pollster: We have reached a milestone when it comes to Trump's approval rating. We have now reached the 1-year mark in which he has a negative net approval rating. Every day since March 12, 2025, Trump has been underwater. pic.twitter.com/lZSToHcSBm

— FactPost (@factpostnews) March 11, 2026

For this wager, the approval rating will be based on the Silver Bulletin. At the time of writing, the Silver Bulletin lists Trump’s approval rating at 40.7%, down approximately 14.0 points since he took office last year.

The longer the war with Iran lasts, the lower Trump’s approval rating will sink. It will drop even further if he follows through on his threats to go to war with Cuba.

However, there are only a few weeks left in this bet before the April 1st cutoff. With that in mind, I like the 39.00% to 39.99% (+250) option.

Next to Leave the Trump Administration

Trump is not the only member of his administration damaged by his attacks on Iran. Tulsi Gabbard is still the +225 favorite to be the next member of the Trump administration to leave. However, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is now tied for the second-best odds at +250.

Frustration !!

US President Donald Trump now blames Pete Hegseth, Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff, and Marco Rubio for prompting him to starting a war on Iran.

Lessons : Advisors should never be stupid. pic.twitter.com/GZJTmhohf9

— Dr Tariq Tramboo (@tariqtramboo) March 11, 2026

Hegseth and Trump seem to be on different pages regarding the Iran War. While Trump has said the war is essentially over, Hegseth has remarked on multiple occasions that it is “just the beginning.”

Contradicting the President is never a good idea for any member of his cabinet. Also, given how unpopular the war is with voters, Trump will need a scapegoat to pin the blame on. Unfortunately for Hegseth, he fits the bill perfectly.

Will Trump Pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2026?

• • Ghislaine Maxwell pardoned by Trump in 2026 (+500)

Despite his best efforts, Trump has not been able to fully distract from the Epstein Files with his war in Iran. In addition to being mentioned thousands of times in the files, Trump has also been criticized for his handling of Ghislaine Maxwell.

Reporter: Is the president going to rule out a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell?

Leavitt: This is not something I've discussed with the president recently because, frankly, it's not a priority. pic.twitter.com/gBsR7TiyMq

— Acyn (@Acyn) February 10, 2026

Maxwell, who is serving 20 years for sex trafficking, has attempted to use her testimony to earn a pardon from Trump. According to reports, Maxwell will testify that neither Trump nor Bill Clinton engaged in any wrongdoing with Epstein in exchange for her freedom.

BetUS has Maxwell listed at +500 odds to be pardoned by Trump in 2026.

Trump has not pardoned Maxwell, yet, but she was moved to a low-security prison camp in Texas in August 2025. It would be a risky move, but Trump could pardon Maxwell in exchange for her testimony to help distract from Iran. It would also “clear” him of the Epstein accusations that have plagued his second term as president.

Will the US Acquire Part of Greenland in 2026?

• • Yes (+600)
  • No (-1200)

As mentioned above, Trump has made pursuing Greenland one of the hallmarks of his second term. While the odds are low that he will invade Greenland next, that does not mean the President will give up on obtaining the island nation.

According to Lucky Rebel, Trump and the US are listed at +600 odds to own part of Greenland by the end of 2026. The “no” option in this bet is listed at -1200 odds.

President Trump on Friday continued to press for U.S. control of Greenland, telling reporters: "We are going to do something on Greenland whether they like it or not." https://t.co/YzHa5LJYeg pic.twitter.com/8M8Y5KsgAx

— ABC News (@ABC) January 10, 2026

Trump renewed his efforts to acquire Greenland at the start of the new year. However, his invasions of Venezuela and Iran took precedence over the purchase of Greenland. If Trump is able to resolve the ongoing war in Iran before the end of the year, he might focus again on Greenland.

On the other hand, it is hard to see a scenario where Trump accepts owning only part of Greenland. Also, with a potential war with Cuba on the horizon, the President may not have time to legally acquire part of Greenland and a war there would be unthinkable.

There are still over nine months left in the year, but that may not be enough time for this bet to hit before the end of 2026.