2025-26 UCL Winner Odds and Predictions – Can PSG Repeat?

2025-26 UCL Winner Odds and Predictions – Can PSG Repeat?

The UEFA Champions League winner odds are stacked with the best teams in Europe, including the defending champions, Paris Saint-Germain. Can the French juggernaut go back-to-back after coming just short for so many years?

Let’s examine the favorites and sleepers in the 2025-206 UCL winner odds before I share my Champions League winner prediction at the end of this article!

2025-26 Champions League Winner Odds

TEAM ODDS
Barcelona +600
Paris Saint-Germain +650
Arsenal +700
Liverpool +700
Real Madrid +800
Manchester City +900
Bayern Munich +1200
Chelsea +1200
Inter Milan +2500
Napoli +2500
Tottenham +2500
Atletico Madrid +3300
Juventus +4000
Newcastle +4000

Barcelona enters the season with the best odds of winning the UEFA Champions League at soccer betting sites! The five-time winners (+600) have an implied probability of 14.3% to win the competition, just ahead of Paris Saint-Germain (+650).

Next is a group of Arsenal (+700), Liverpool (+700), Real Madrid (+800), and Manchester City (+900). These teams have an implied probability of 10% (Man City) to 12.5% (Arsenal and Liverpool) to win the competition, ahead of Bayern Munich (+1200) and Chelsea (+1200).

You can find these 2025-26 UCL winner odds at Lucky Rebel, an excellent site for soccer betting.

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UEFA Champions League Winner Betting Favorites

Here is a look at the four teams I would consider favorites in the odds of winning the UEFA Champions League, with all due respect to Arsenal and Manchester City.

Barcelona (+600)

  • Manager: Hansi Flick
  • 2024-25 UCL Progress: Lost in Semifinals
  • UCL Titles: 5
  • Key Players: Lamine Yamal, Raphinha, Robert Lewandowski, Pedri, Joan Garcia

Barcelona has high hopes for this season after winning La Liga, but they came up short against Inter Milan in a thrilling semifinal, losing 7-6 on aggregate.

Raphinha scored 13 goals in the UEFA Champions League last season, while Robert Lewandowski had 11. However, their most important player is Lamine Yamal. The 18-year-old winger is second in the 2025 Ballon d’Or odds to PSG’s Ousmane Dembele, a former Barca player.

The five-time champs are loaded up front and in the midfield. I do have concerns at the back about Barca as their best defender might be 18-year-old Pau Cubarsi, although there is plenty of experience around him. It also looks like 24-year-old Joan Garcia is Barca’s #1 in goal ahead of Wojchech Szczesny.

But Barcelona has so much attacking talent, their defensive deficiencies might not matter! If Yamal continues to improve, Barca might have the best player in the world, and at +600, their 2025-26 Champions League odds to win are actually excellent!

Paris Saint-Germain (+650)

  • Manager: Luis Enrique
  • 2024-25 UCL Progress: Won UEFA Champions League
  • UCL Titles: 1
  • Key Players: Ousmane Dembele, Joao Neves, Vitinha, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Lucas Chevalier

PSG rolled through the Champions League last season, beating Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Arsenal before demolishing Inter Milan 5-0 in the final. It was the biggest margin of victory in the history of the UCL final!

Dembele led the squad with eight goals, but it was a team victory, particularly the midfield of Joao Neves, Vitinha, and Fabian Ruiz. The UEFA Champions League win was one of four trophies for PSG last year.

Now, can they do it again? Dembele had the season of his life, but PSG does have young players like Desire Doue to step up. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia was outstanding after coming over from Napoli. The midfield is back and intact. The defense is also returning.

The big worry comes in goal, as Gianluigi Donnarumma was allowed to go to Manchester City after Lucas Chevalier was bought from Lille.

Their Champions League winner betting price of +650 is great value for a team that only lost their starting goalkeeper. It also helps that PSG plays in Ligue 1, where they don’t have to exert as much energy as the other top teams. I would keep a really close eye on PSG’s 2025-26 UCL winner odds!

Liverpool (+700)

  • Manager: Arne Slot
  • 2024-25 UCL Progress: Lost in Round of 16
  • UCL Titles: 6
  • Key Players: Mohamed Salah, Alexander Isak, Virgil van Dijk, Florian Wirtz, Allison

Liverpool finished at the top of the league phase with seven wins and one loss last year, and their total of 21 points was two more than Barcelona, Arsenal, and Inter Milan. But after receiving a bye to the Round of 16, the English Premier League champions ran into PSG, where they lost on penalties.

The Reds splashed the cash to improve even more this season. The Alexander Isak saga ended with the striker leaving Newcastle for Liverpool, while Hugo Ekitike is also up front. Florian Wirtz will be pulling the strings from the middle of the park, while Milos Kerkez and Jeremie Frimpong are the new fullbacks.

Liverpool also returns Mohamed Salah, the EPL Player of the Year, while Virgil van Dijk and keeper Allison form a solid spine at the back. But there is a lot of pressure on Liverpool to win on multiple fronts.

Moreover, Ibrahima Konate has had a tough start to the season so far. On the bright side, I do think Wirtz will be better in Europe than he will be in England, which is very physical.

The Reds have the tools to win it all, but they’ll need their new signings to deliver. I would be cautiously optimistic about Liverpool’s odds of winning the Champions League.

Real Madrid (+800)

  • Manager: Xabi Alonso
  • 2024-25 UCL Progress: Lost in Quarterfinals
  • UCL Titles: 15
  • Key Players: Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Thibaut Courtois

Any time you’re talking about UEFA Champions League odds to win, you have to include Real Madrid. The 15-time champions are always going to be in the mix, although last season was disappointing. The team didn’t win a trophy at all in 2024-25, and were bounced 5-1 in the quarterfinals by Arsenal.

Manager Carlo Ancelotti has been replaced by Xabi Alonso, who won the Champions League with both Real Madrid and Liverpool as a player. Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior took some time to get on the same page, but the duo is as dangerous as ever.

They did miss out on Wirtz, who would have been a suitable replacement for Luka Modric, who is now at AC Milan. Jude Bellingham starts the season on the sidelines with a shoulder injury, but if he is close to his form of two years ago, that’ll help Real Madrid.

But like many of the other teams in these UCL winner’s odds, I have questions about their defense. Antonio Rudiger is their best defender, and Trent Alexander-Arnold isn’t a great defensive fullback, although he is brilliant going forward.

It’s Real Madrid, so you have to consider their odds of winning the UEFA Champions League. But given their defensive issues, the Spanish giants might be overpriced in this spot.

UEFA Champions League Winner Betting Sleepers

Now, let’s look at two sleepers that offer a better return for you!

Bayern Munich (+1200)

  • Manager: Vincent Kompany
  • 2024-25 UCL Progress: Lost in Quarterfinals
  • UCL Titles: 6
  • Key Players: Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Joshua Kimmich, Daot Upamecano, Manuel Neuer

Bayern Munich crashed out in the UCL quarterfinals to Inter Milan, but are hoping for a better 2025-26 UEFA Champions League campaign! As usual, the German champions reloaded, getting Luis Diaz from Liverpool, and Jonathan Tah from Bayer Leverkusen.

The key man for Bayern is Harry Kane, who finally won a trophy as Bayern reclaimed the Bundesliga last season. He has been brilliant since joining the club two years ago, and he has plenty of help from Michael Olise and Joshua Kimmich. Bayern will also get Jamal Musiala back at some point as the midfield maestro is recovering from a leg injury.

But you guessed it: there are questions about the defense. Dayot Upamecano has been inconsistent since joining Bayern, who got Tah to shore up their defense. Alphonso Davies will be back from an ACL injury soon. But it could be a busy time for keeper Manuel Neuer against good teams.

Ultimately, Vincent Kompany is the main reason why I’m skeptical of Bayern’s 2025-26 UCL winner odds. I’m not sure if he’s a good enough manager for the Champions League. He can win the Bundesliga easily, but Bayern fans want European trophies.

At +1200, there’s a decent return there, and I do rate them over Chelsea at the same price. But I don’t know how far they can go in the UEFA Champions League.

Napoli (+2500)

  • Manager: Antonio Conte
  • 2024-25 UCL Progress: Did not qualify
  • UCL Titles: 0
  • Key Players: Scott McTominay, Romelu Lukaku, Frank Zambo Anguissa, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alex Meret

Napoli didn’t play in the Champions League last season, but they qualified for this campaign by beating Inter Milan to the Serie A title on the last day of the season. It was Napoli’s second Italian title in three seasons, and a masterful job was done by manager Antonio Conte. The mercurial coach would love to add a Champions League trophy to his resume.

Manchester United castoff Scott McTominay was turned into Serie A’s MVP, while Conte continues to be the only manager to get the best out of Romelu Lukaku. David Neres filled in admirably when Kvaratskhelia left for PSG. Frank Zambo Aguissa does a little of everything in midfield, allowing McTominay to be more attack-minded.

Napoli are also solid at the back, led by Giovanni Di Lorenzo, and Alex Meret is a fine keeper.

There is a ceiling on this Napoli team, and that’s why they’re priced at +2500. But on the right day, I think they can beat anyone, especially with Conte at the helm. Don’t be afraid to sprinkle a little on their 2025-26 odds to win the UCL.

UEFA Champions League Winner Prediction and Betting Pick

There are some great options when making 2025-26 Champions League winner predictions, as all the teams have concerns. But I believe I will lean on PSG to become the first team since Real Madrid won three in a row from 2015 to 2017, to repeat as champions!

I would jump on their Champions League odds to win now, as I think they’re going to drop going forward. They don’t have to exert a lot of energy in France, so they can focus on a strong Champions League defense. The biggest concern is Chevalier in goal, but I think PSG has enough in front of him to protect their new keeper. I just have fewer questions about PSG than I do about the other contenders.

Let’s put Paris Saint-Germain in our 2025-26 UEFA Champions League winner predictions at a great price of +650!

The Bet
Paris Saint-Germain
+650

Where to Bet on 2025-26 UCL Winner Odds?

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About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years of experience publishing articles under the pseudonym Phil Bowman. He’s also a longtime sports enthusiast and bettor with a strong passion for soccer. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! His writing mainly focuses on helping bettors learn from their mistakes and gamble responsibly. Finn currently lives in Europe.
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