2025 US Open Tennis Predictions and Best Bets Today

Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova: Anisimova +3.5 Games (-117)

Despite her World No. 1 ranking, Aryna Sabalenka has proven vulnerable to Amanda Anisimova, who boasts a 6-3 head‑to‑head edge. Anisimova has taken two of their last three meetings, including a 6‑4 4‑6 6‑4 win at Wimbledon, showcasing her capability to push Sabalenka to the edge. However, Sabalenka did prevail at the French Open, winning 7‑5 6‑3.

Both players have endured battles in the last round en route to the final. Sabalenka dropped a set against Jessica Pegula before rallying (4‑6 6‑3 6‑4), while Anisimova needed a three‑set effort to get past Naomi Osaka (6-7(4) 7‑6(3) 6‑3).

Sabalenka’s path features strong wins with margins of 5, 4, 7, a walkover, and 3 games. Sabalenka is favored and is the defending US Open Champion. This is her third Slam final of the season and her fourth trip to the final in the five majors.

Yet Anisimova isn’t just a challenger. She’s become the youngest player to reach both the Wimbledon and US Open finals since 2002 and leads the field with the most winners (177), second-most aces (35), and third-most break‑point conversions (29).

Anisimova +3.5 games at -117 makes a lot of sense under the circumstances. She may not carry the top ranking but her form, crowd support, and past success against Sabalenka make this a confident play to keep it tight – even if she doesn’t pull off the upset.