WNBA Betting Picks: Predictions for Friday, August 15, 2025

Friday’s showdown between the Las Vegas Aces and the Phoenix Mercury in the desert sets up as a fascinating battle. Phoenix will be licking its wounds after a tough 74‑66 defeat at Atlanta on Sunday. MVP candidate Alyssa Thomas continued her stellar form with 21 points, eight boards, and five assists, but the Mercury’s shots still refused to fall, finishing at 34.8% from the field.

Moving the rock through the defense like a hot knife through butter 🧈@StateFarm | Assists of the Week pic.twitter.com/CnGb8eO47w

— Phoenix Mercury (@PhoenixMercury) August 13, 2025

Meanwhile, the Aces hit their stride with an 83‑77 win over New York on Wednesday. Jewell Loyd poured in 21 points off the bench, giving Las Vegas a fifth straight victory. When Loyd reaches the 20‑point mark, the Aces are now 5‑1 this season.

I’m leaning with the Mercury to cover the 4.5‑point spread at home. A five‑day layoff gives them rest and a reset. Home court has been kind to the Mercury as they sit at 9‑6 ATS (against the spread). The Aces carry a different profile on the road. Those threads make Phoenix the sleeper cover in my view on Friday night at WNBA betting sites.