WSOP Main Event 2025 Odds and Prediction: Will Phil Ivey Win the Main Event?

WSOP Main Event 2025 Odds and Prediction: Will Phil Ivey Win the Main Event?

As thousands of poker players descend on Las Vegas, fans can place their bets on the 2025 WSOP Main Event winner odds! There are a variety of unique wagers for this year’s unofficial poker world championship.

No longer do you have to enter the tournament or back a player to profit from the largest poker tournament in the world. Check out the best WSOP Main Event prop bets, analysis, and my predictions.

WSOP Main Event 2025 Odds and Predictions

The following WSOP odds are courtesy of BetUS:

MARKETBETTING FAVORITEPREDICTION
WinnerJesse Lonis/Daniel Negreanu (+3000)Isaac Haxton (+5000)
Will the Winner Be From the USA?Yes (-130)Yes (-130)
Age of Winner30s (+175)30s (+175)
Winning HandPair (+110)Two Pair (+350)

There are a variety of 2025 World Series of Poker Main Event odds available at the best entertainment betting sites this year. We are diving into every market and revealing our best bets.

If you are interested in an analysis for each pick, continue reading below for my best WSOP Main Event picks with reasoning!

You can find up-to-date WSOP Main Event odds at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Entertainment > WSOP.

BetUS
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2025 WSOP Main Event Format and Key Info

The 2025 WSOP Main Event is scheduled from Wednesday, July 2, to Wednesday, July 16, at the Horseshoe and Paris Las Vegas. Over the course of two weeks, roughly 10,000 players will compete for the multi-million-dollar prizes.

Last year, a record-breaking 10,112 entries competed for a whopping $94,041,600 prize pool. Jonathan Tamayo took home $10 million and the WSOP Main Event bracelet.

The format for the WSOP Main Event is a $10,000 buy-in no-limit Texas Hold’em tournament. Four starting flights kick off the tournament, while blinds and antes increase as the event progresses. This is a freezeout event, with players unable to re-buy if they lose their chips.

The Final Table will include the last nine players vying for the top prize.

2025 WSOP Main Event Winner Prediction and Betting Pick

PLAYERODDS
Jesse Lonis+3000
Daniel Negreanu+3000
Phil Helmuth+5000
Fedor Holz+5000
Isaac Haxton+5000
Phil Ivey+5000

BetUS has six of the world’s best and most popular Texas Hold’em players to bet on to win the WSOP Main Event. Keep in mind that Las Vegas is expecting around 10,000 players, so the odds favor someone who isn’t on this list winning.

However, it’s fun to throw a few bucks behind your favorite player out of these six. Jesse Lonis, who has over $20 million in career earnings at just 29 years old, shares the leading odds with well-known veteran and poker ambassador Daniel Negreanu.

Negreanu is nothing more than a recognizable name to bet on at +3000. There is no value on him, even if he is a regular at WSOP events. Lonis, the No. 1 ranked player on the Global Poker Index, has a reasonable chance to make it far.

Again, though, for such a wide-open tournament, I’d pick one of the players getting +5000 odds to win the WSOP Main Event. Isaac Haxton has been playing strong poker for two decades now. Regardless of the era, Haxton has managed to adapt and be a successful poker player.

He is fifth on the all-time money list in the US and ninth on the all-time world money list. The American-born Malta resident has a total of $53,348,625 in live earnings. Additionally, he’s been competitive in the multiple WSOP events he’s entered, leading up to the Main Event.

Haxton finished in the top 5 in two of his previous three tournaments and top 10 in four of his five entries. He’s patient and is a savvy enough bluffer to find success in a marathon like the Main Event.

Phil Ivey jumps out as the most popular pro, but he’s lost that killer instinct and motivation that helped him dominate live poker and the best online poker sites in the 2000s.

It’s clearly a longshot with the Main Event up for grabs, but let’s ride with “Ike” at +5000!

The Bet
Isaac Haxton
+5000

Will the Winner Be from the United States?

    • Yes (-130)
    • No (-110)

Haxton resides in Malta, but is from Syracuse, NY. If he captures the Main Event bracelet, an American would be declared the winning country. Aside from that, there are far more American poker players in the Main Event than from foreign countries.

Demographics aren’t available for every year, but the data released in 2019 gives us a strong snapshot. In the 2019 WSOP Main Event, 6,110 players out of 8,569 entries were from the United States, or 71.3%.

Additionally, from 1970 to 2024, 42 of 55 winners have been Americans. That includes the last two years in 2023 and 2024. Norway’s Espen Jorstad is the most recent foreign player to capture the WSOP Main Event in 2022.

While it shouldn’t have a significant impact, fewer international visitors are going to Las Vegas than in the past. I don’t know if the same applies to poker players as opposed to regular tourists, but it’s something worth noting. A handful more Americans could be the difference!

At -130 odds, there is solid value on the winner coming from the United States.

The Bet
Winner from US

Age of WSOP Main Event Winner Prediction and Betting Pick

AGEODDS
20s+225
30s+175
40s+250
50 or More+400

The average age of WSOP Main Event participants is roughly 41 years old. In 2019, the average age was 41.46. However, from 2008 to 2019, the average age of the Final Table was 32.

Additionally, while the average age was just over 41 years old, the largest demographic, or median of players, was in their 30s. The last five winners were 38, 35, 34, 31, and 42, for an average age of 36.

With a winner in their 30s at +175, I think this is one of the best 2025 WSOP Main Event prop bets on the board pure based on previous stats.

The Bet
30s

WSOP Main Event Winning Hand Prediction and Betting Pick

HANDODDS
Pair+110
High Hand+250
Two Pair+350
Three of a Kind+1200
Straight+1400
Full House+1600
Flush+2800
Four of a Kind+10000
Straight Flush+15000
Royal Flush+25000

According to the latest WSOP 2025 betting odds, a pair is expected to be the winning hand of this year’s event. At +110, the odds suggest that there is a 47.6% chance.

However, the true odds of hitting a pair with your starting hand to the river are roughly 31%. The betting price indicates that it’s close to a toss-up, but I don’t see any value in betting on a pair for this prop.

Additionally, I’m going to toss out a high hand winning at +250. I’d like to see stronger value there, too. Now, two pair offer a decent return on +350 odds. Note that there is a 23.5% chance of having two pair by the river in Texas Hold’em.

The implied probability on a +350 bet is 22.2%. This is pretty well even with the true odds of two pair, and as a result, it offers the best value for your money at +350.

The Bet
Winning Hand Two Pair

Where to Bet on the WSOP Main Event 2025?

Betting on the World Series of Poker Main Event is a unique market that isn’t available at every online sportsbook. These WSOP prop bets can be found exclusively at BetUS.

The sportsbook enables bettors to get into the action even if they aren’t in Las Vegas for the event. Also, for a limited time, new customers can claim a 125% match bonus of up to $2,625 on your first three deposits. Alternatively, for even more, choose cryptocurrency and collect a 200% match bonus of up to $2,750 on your first deposit!

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About the Author
Kyle Eve profile picture
Kyle Eve
Editor-in-Chief
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek, providing reliable analysis for millions of readers since joining the team in 2012. After placing his first sports bet on his 18th birthday, Kyle has devoted his entire adult life to becoming the best bettor he can be. He’s covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world, from the Super Bowl and World Series to the NBA Finals and Kentucky Derby. Kyle lives in Windsor, Ontario.
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