Basketball Player Props – Best NCAAB Prop Bets Today, March 11

Total Points: Massamba Diop (ASU) Under 13.5 (-130)

Arizona State center Massamba Diop faces a difficult scoring environment in this Big 12 Tournament matchup against Iowa State, making the under an appealing prop angle.

Diop enters the game averaging 13.9 points per game and typically scores efficiently around the rim. However, much of his production comes from high-percentage looks in the paint, and that’s exactly where Iowa State excels defensively.

The Cyclones rank 13th in the NCAA in scoring defense, allowing just 65.7 points per game. Their physical interior defense makes it difficult for opposing big men to establish position or generate clean scoring opportunities near the basket.

Because Diop relies heavily on interior touches, Iowa State’s ability to clog the paint could significantly limit his offensive output. With fewer easy looks and a tougher defensive matchup than usual, clearing a 13.5-point line becomes a challenge.

Total Points: Milan Momcilovic (ISU) Over 16.5 (-130)

Iowa State forward Milan Momcilovic looks well positioned for a productive offensive game against Arizona State in this Big 12 Tournament matchup.

Arizona State has struggled defensively all season, allowing 77.9 points per game, which ranks 264th in the NCAA. That defensive vulnerability should give Iowa State’s shooters plenty of opportunities to score.

1,000 Career Points in the Most Milan Way Possible.#Cyclones | #C5C | @MilanMomcilovi5 pic.twitter.com/Y73T1Yz85H

— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) January 10, 2026

Momcilovic enters the game averaging 17 points per game on an efficient 51.5% shooting from the field. One of his biggest strengths is his perimeter shooting, where he has been extremely effective. He’s knocking down 50% of his three-point attempts, making him one of the most dangerous long-range shooters in college basketball.

Against a defense that has had trouble containing perimeter threats, Momcilovic should have the chance to find open looks and stretch the floor. With the prop line set at 16.5 points, the number sits just below his season average and aligns well with this favorable matchup.