2026 Grammy Odds and Predictions – Which Music Star Will Shine Brightest?

2026 Grammy Odds and Predictions – Which Music Star Will Shine Brightest?

The 2026 Grammy odds are led by two particular artists, but which star will shine brighter on music’s biggest night: Kendrick Lamar or Lady Gaga?

I’ll analyze the Grammy Awards betting odds for four major categories, and give you my predictions and best bets for the ceremony!

2026 Grammy Odds and Predictions (Snapshot)

CATEGORYBETTING FAVORITEPREDICTION
Album of the YearLady Gaga – Mayhem (+230)Kendrick Lamar – GNX (+285)
Record of the YearLuther – Kendrick Lamar and SZA (+190)Lady Gaga – Abracadabra (+300)
Song of the YearGolden – Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick (-150)Kendrick Lamar and SZA – Luther (+450)
Best New ArtistOlivia Dean (-150)Olivia Dean (-150)

There are a few markets out there at most Grammy Awards betting sites, and there will be more as we get closer to the ceremony. But it’s shaping up to be a battle between Kendrick Lamar, who leads the way with nine nominations, and Lady Gaga, who has seven. Can anyone else break through?

You’ll find these 2026 Grammy betting markets at Bovada by going to Sports > All Sports > Entertainment > Grammy Awards > Grammy Awards 2026.

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When Are the Grammy Awards?

The 2026 Grammy Awards will be held on Sunday, February 1, 2026, at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. You’ll be able to watch on CBS and Paramount Plus.

There hasn’t been a host announcement yet, but Trevor Noah has hosted the last five editions of the Grammys. Will he be back for the 68th edition?

Grammy Album of the Year Odds and Prediction

Let’s start looking at the Grammy betting odds for the biggest award of the night: Album of the Year!

ALBUM ODDS
Bad Bunny – Debi Tirar MaS Fotos -115
Lady Gaga – Mayhem +230
Kendrick Lamar – GNX +285
Tyler, The Creator – CHROMAKOPIA +1200
Clipse – Let God Sort ‘Em Out +1200
Justin Bieber – Swag +1200
Leon Thomas – Mutt +1800
Sabrina Carpenter – Man’s Best Friend +1800

Lady Gaga’s Mayhem was the Grammy betting favorite at -105 a month ago, but has since dropped to +230, which is second behind Bad Bunny! The Super Bowl 60 halftime performer is the new favorite at -115 with Debi Tirar Mas Fotos (DTMF). Kendrick Lamar’s GNX is third, dropping from +120 to +285. These three are out ahead of the rest of the contenders.

I picked GNX at +120 on November 13, and I’m sticking with that choice for a higher return at +285! GNX will cap one of the best year-plus long runs ever for any artist!

His “Not Like Us” Drake diss won five Grammys last year, including Record and Song of the Year, and he’ll finish it off with GNX winning Album of the Year in 2026. I’d recommend grabbing this now at +285 before you lose value on this Grammy betting pick!

The Bet
GNX
+285

Grammy Record of the Year Odds and Prediction

Next, it’s Record of the Year, which speaks more to the production value and sound of a song.

RECORD ODDS
Kendrick Lamar and SZA – Luther +190
Lady Gaga – Abracadabra +300
Rose and Bruno Mars – APT +375
Bad Bunny – DTMF +450
Doechii – Anxiety +550
Billie Eilish – Wildflower +1100
Chappell Roan – The Subway +1800
Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild +1800

Lamar and Gaga have swapped spots in the Grammy odds for Record of the Year. Gaga’s “Abracadabra” was the favorite at -105 on November 13, but is now +300. Lamar’s “Luther” with SZA was +190, where it remains. “APT” by Rose and Bruno Mars is up to +375 from +1100, while Bad Bunny’s “DMTF” is now +450, up from +650. Doechii’s “Anxiety” is moved from +1500 to +550.

I picked “Abracadabra” a month ago at -105, and I’m sticking with it in my Grammy betting predictions at +300! “Abracadabra” is really a sonic achievement, and the latest in Gaga’s illustrious career. The song is wildly popular, so it’s the natural choice in this one.

I’m surprised it wasn’t closer to -120 or -130 when it was favored, so I believe +300 is unbelievable value on the pop legend!

The Bet
Abracadabra
+300

Grammy Song of the Year Odds and Prediction

Next, there is the Song of the Year category, which pertains more to the writing and composition of a song.

SONG ODDS
Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick – Golden -150
Kendrick Lamar and SZA – Luther +240
Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild +600
Lady Gaga – Abracadabra +650
Bad Bunny – DTMF +900
Rose and Bruno Mars – APT +600
Billie Eilish – Wildflower +1100
Doechii – Anxiety +1500

There is another change at the top of the Grammy odds for Song of the Year! “Luther” was favored at +240, but now it’s second at +450. “Golden” by Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick has moved from +275 to -150 for their hit song from the K-Pop Demon Hunters soundtrack. “Abracadabra” has fallen from +500 to +650, while “APT” and “Manchild” by Sabrina Carpenter are in the mix at +600.

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I did pick “Luther” a month ago at +240, and again, I’ll stick with my previous Grammy betting prediction at a higher return of +450! I thought +240 was a bargain, so I’m extremely excited to pick this up at almost twice the price.

The Bet
Luther
+450

Grammy Best New Artist Odds and Prediction

Finally, I’ll examine the Grammy betting odds for Best New Artist.

ARTIST ODDS
Olivia Dean -150
Leon Thomas +175
Alex Warren +500
Sombr +1000
Addison Rae +1200
KATSEYE +1400
The Marias +1600
Lola Young +1600

Sombr was the Grammy betting favorite at +185 in November, with Olivia Dean at +240, and Leon Thomas at +255. Dean has soared into the lead at -150 now, while Thomas is +175, and Alex Warren is +500. Sombr’s price has fallen all the way to +1000!

Addison Rae, at 1200, has a massive TikTok following, and it’s interesting to wonder if that will sway the voters of The Recording Academy.

I picked Thomas at +255, but this is the only Grammy prediction I’ll change right now. Olivia Dean at -150 is a bargain pick, as it seems like she’s on the radio more than ever after playing Saturday Night Live a week after Sombr. Heading into 2026, I think Dean is as close of a lock as I’m willing to make a case for!

The Bet
Olivia Dean
-150

Where to Bet on 2026 Grammy Odds?

Here are my big Grammy betting predictions:

  • GNX for Album of the Year (+285)
  • “Abracadabra” for Record of the Year (+300)
  • “Luther” for Song of the Year (+450)
  • Olivia Dean for Best New Artist (-150)

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About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years experience publishing articles on sports, iGaming, travel, and politics. He has a strong passion for soccer as both a fan and a bettor, with almost 15 years since his first wager. Since joining The Sports Geek he has been sharing his wisdom to help give you the best chance at making winning bets.
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