
The 2026 Grammy odds are led by two particular artists, but which star will shine brighter on music’s biggest night: Kendrick Lamar or Lady Gaga?
I’ll analyze the Grammy Awards betting odds for four major categories, and give you my predictions and best bets for the ceremony!
2026 Grammy Odds and Predictions (Snapshot)
| CATEGORY | BETTING FAVORITE | PREDICTION |
|---|---|---|
| Album of the Year | Lady Gaga – Mayhem (+230) | Kendrick Lamar – GNX (+285) |
| Record of the Year | Luther – Kendrick Lamar and SZA (+190) | Lady Gaga – Abracadabra (+300) |
| Song of the Year | Golden – Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick (-150) | Kendrick Lamar and SZA – Luther (+450) |
| Best New Artist | Olivia Dean (-150) | Olivia Dean (-150) |
There are a few markets out there at most Grammy Awards betting sites, and there will be more as we get closer to the ceremony. But it’s shaping up to be a battle between Kendrick Lamar, who leads the way with nine nominations, and Lady Gaga, who has seven. Can anyone else break through?
You’ll find these 2026 Grammy betting markets at Bovada by going to Sports > All Sports > Entertainment > Grammy Awards > Grammy Awards 2026.
When Are the Grammy Awards?
The 2026 Grammy Awards will be held on Sunday, February 1, 2026, at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. You’ll be able to watch on CBS and Paramount Plus.
There hasn’t been a host announcement yet, but Trevor Noah has hosted the last five editions of the Grammys. Will he be back for the 68th edition?
Grammy Album of the Year Odds and Prediction
Let’s start looking at the Grammy betting odds for the biggest award of the night: Album of the Year!
| ALBUM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Bad Bunny – Debi Tirar MaS Fotos | -115 |
| Lady Gaga – Mayhem | +230 |
| Kendrick Lamar – GNX | +285 |
| Tyler, The Creator – CHROMAKOPIA | +1200 |
| Clipse – Let God Sort ‘Em Out | +1200 |
| Justin Bieber – Swag | +1200 |
| Leon Thomas – Mutt | +1800 |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Man’s Best Friend | +1800 |
Lady Gaga’s Mayhem was the Grammy betting favorite at -105 a month ago, but has since dropped to +230, which is second behind Bad Bunny! The Super Bowl 60 halftime performer is the new favorite at -115 with Debi Tirar Mas Fotos (DTMF). Kendrick Lamar’s GNX is third, dropping from +120 to +285. These three are out ahead of the rest of the contenders.
I picked GNX at +120 on November 13, and I’m sticking with that choice for a higher return at +285! GNX will cap one of the best year-plus long runs ever for any artist!
His “Not Like Us” Drake diss won five Grammys last year, including Record and Song of the Year, and he’ll finish it off with GNX winning Album of the Year in 2026. I’d recommend grabbing this now at +285 before you lose value on this Grammy betting pick!
Grammy Record of the Year Odds and Prediction
Next, it’s Record of the Year, which speaks more to the production value and sound of a song.
| RECORD | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Kendrick Lamar and SZA – Luther | +190 |
| Lady Gaga – Abracadabra | +300 |
| Rose and Bruno Mars – APT | +375 |
| Bad Bunny – DTMF | +450 |
| Doechii – Anxiety | +550 |
| Billie Eilish – Wildflower | +1100 |
| Chappell Roan – The Subway | +1800 |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild | +1800 |
Lamar and Gaga have swapped spots in the Grammy odds for Record of the Year. Gaga’s “Abracadabra” was the favorite at -105 on November 13, but is now +300. Lamar’s “Luther” with SZA was +190, where it remains. “APT” by Rose and Bruno Mars is up to +375 from +1100, while Bad Bunny’s “DMTF” is now +450, up from +650. Doechii’s “Anxiety” is moved from +1500 to +550.
I picked “Abracadabra” a month ago at -105, and I’m sticking with it in my Grammy betting predictions at +300! “Abracadabra” is really a sonic achievement, and the latest in Gaga’s illustrious career. The song is wildly popular, so it’s the natural choice in this one.
I’m surprised it wasn’t closer to -120 or -130 when it was favored, so I believe +300 is unbelievable value on the pop legend!
Grammy Song of the Year Odds and Prediction
Next, there is the Song of the Year category, which pertains more to the writing and composition of a song.
| SONG | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick – Golden | -150 |
| Kendrick Lamar and SZA – Luther | +240 |
| Sabrina Carpenter – Manchild | +600 |
| Lady Gaga – Abracadabra | +650 |
| Bad Bunny – DTMF | +900 |
| Rose and Bruno Mars – APT | +600 |
| Billie Eilish – Wildflower | +1100 |
| Doechii – Anxiety | +1500 |
There is another change at the top of the Grammy odds for Song of the Year! “Luther” was favored at +240, but now it’s second at +450. “Golden” by Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick has moved from +275 to -150 for their hit song from the K-Pop Demon Hunters soundtrack. “Abracadabra” has fallen from +500 to +650, while “APT” and “Manchild” by Sabrina Carpenter are in the mix at +600.
 
I did pick “Luther” a month ago at +240, and again, I’ll stick with my previous Grammy betting prediction at a higher return of +450! I thought +240 was a bargain, so I’m extremely excited to pick this up at almost twice the price.
Grammy Best New Artist Odds and Prediction
Finally, I’ll examine the Grammy betting odds for Best New Artist.
| ARTIST | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Olivia Dean | -150 |
| Leon Thomas | +175 |
| Alex Warren | +500 |
| Sombr | +1000 |
| Addison Rae | +1200 |
| KATSEYE | +1400 |
| The Marias | +1600 |
| Lola Young | +1600 |
Sombr was the Grammy betting favorite at +185 in November, with Olivia Dean at +240, and Leon Thomas at +255. Dean has soared into the lead at -150 now, while Thomas is +175, and Alex Warren is +500. Sombr’s price has fallen all the way to +1000!
Addison Rae, at 1200, has a massive TikTok following, and it’s interesting to wonder if that will sway the voters of The Recording Academy.
I picked Thomas at +255, but this is the only Grammy prediction I’ll change right now. Olivia Dean at -150 is a bargain pick, as it seems like she’s on the radio more than ever after playing Saturday Night Live a week after Sombr. Heading into 2026, I think Dean is as close of a lock as I’m willing to make a case for!
Where to Bet on 2026 Grammy Odds?
Here are my big Grammy betting predictions:
- GNX for Album of the Year (+285)
- “Abracadabra” for Record of the Year (+300)
- “Luther” for Song of the Year (+450)
- Olivia Dean for Best New Artist (-150)
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