2026 Grammy Odds and Predictions – Which Music Star Will Shine Brightest?

When Are the Grammy Awards?

The 2026 Grammy Awards will be held on Sunday, February 1, 2026, at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. You’ll be able to watch on CBS and Paramount Plus.

Trevor Noah has hosted the last five editions of the Grammys. He’ll return to host for the sixth, and reportedly final, time on Sunday night!

Let’s start looking at the Grammy betting odds for the biggest award of the night: Album of the Year!

Lady Gaga’s Mayhem was the Grammy betting favorite at -105 a month ago, but has since dropped to +400, which is third behind Bad Bunny (-140) and Kendrick Lamar (+275)!

The Super Bowl 60 halftime performer was initially the new favorite at -115 with Debi Tirar Mas Fotos (DTMF), and shifted to +150. He is now favored again with an implied probability of 58.3% to win.

Kendrick Lamar’s GNX is now second, moving from +285 to +170, and back up to +275. These three are out ahead of the rest of the contenders, but the movements have been chaotic, so the bettors obviously struggle to pick a firm favorite.

I picked GNX at +120 on November 13, and I’m sticking with that choice for a higher return at +275! GNX will cap one of the best year-plus runs ever for any artist. The combination of popularity and critical acclaim gives me enough reasons to back Kendrick Lamar.

His “Not Like Us” Drake diss won five Grammys last year, including Record and Song of the Year, and he can finish it off with GNX winning Album of the Year in 2026. I’d recommend grabbing this now at +275 before you lose value on this Grammy betting pick!

Next, it’s Record of the Year, which speaks more to the production value and sound of a song.

Lamar and Gaga have swapped spots in the Grammy odds for Record of the Year. Gaga’s “Abracadabra” was the favorite at -105 on November 13, and was +400 as of late December. The week of the Grammys, Gaga is down to +275.

Lamar’s “Luther” with SZA was +190, and moved to -105 before shortening to -135. “APT” by Rose and Bruno Mars has moved from +375 from +1100, and is now +500.

Bad Bunny’s “DMTF” has moved ahead of “APT” at +450.

Once again, no one knows who’s going to win, which is why the odds are moving so much in the build-up to the awards.

I really like Lady Gaga’s chances for my Grammy betting predictions at +275! “Abracadabra” is really a sonic achievement, and the latest in Gaga’s illustrious career. The song is wildly popular, so it’s the natural choice in this one.

The song should be around even odds to win, so I’m more than happy to take a stab at an upset when the price is +275.

Next, there is the Song of the Year category, which pertains more to the writing and composition of a song.

There is another change at the top of the Grammy odds for Song of the Year! “Luther” was favored at +240, but now it’s second at +500. “Golden” by Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick has moved from +275 to -170 for their hit song from the K-Pop Demon Hunters soundtrack, but is now a sizable -300 favorite. “Golden” has an implied probability of 75% to take home the Grammy. “Abracadabra” has fallen from +500 to +700, and now sits at +900.

I did pick “Luther” a month ago at +240, and again, I’ll stick with my previous Grammy betting prediction at a higher return of +500! I thought +240 was a bargain, so I’m extremely excited to pick this up at a better value.

Lamar’s amazing run is why I’m going for it. This track has the popularity and cultural impact to win, so if you add the high odds, it’s a no-brainer pick.

Finally, I’ll examine the Grammy betting odds for Best New Artist.

Sombr was the Grammy betting favorite at +185 in November, with Olivia Dean at +240, and Leon Thomas at +255. Dean soared into the lead at -225 now, and is now at -300! Thomas is +300, and Alex Warren is back to +2000 after bringing some money in at +500. Sombr’s price has fallen all the way to +3000!

Addison Rae, at +3000, has a massive TikTok following, and it’s interesting to wonder if that will sway the voters of The Recording Academy.

I picked Thomas at +255, but this is the only Grammy prediction I changed right now. Olivia Dean at -300 is a bargain pick, as it seems like she’s on the radio more than ever after playing Saturday Night Live a week after Sombr. Heading into 2026, I think Dean is as close to a lock as I’m willing to make a case for!