NBA Sixth Man of the Year 2025-26 Betting Preview: Odds, Favorites, Predictions

NBA Sixth Man of the Year 2025-26 Betting Preview: Odds, Favorites, Predictions

The 2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year odds have shaken out about 40 games into the season, opening the door to excellent opportunities! Let’s explore the prices, so I can share my picks to win the top bench player award.

Here are the latest betting odds and my best NBA 6th Man of the Year predictions.


NBA 6th Man of the Year 2025-26 Betting Odds

The following NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds are courtesy of Bovada:

PLAYER ODDS
Naz Reid (MIN) +300
Keldon Johnson (SAS) +400
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (MIA) +675
Anthony Black (ORL) +750
Reed Sheppard (HOU) +1000
Collin Gillespie (PHX) +1800
Jaylon Tyson (CLE) +2000
Ajay Mitchell (OKC) +2000
Isaiah Stewart (DET) +2800
Quentin Grimes (PHI) +3300
Anfernee Simmons (BOS) +4000
Santi Aldama (MEM) +4000
Dylan Harper (SAS) +4500

Naz Reid (+300) has taken over as the betting favorite to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year in 2025-26. At +300, Reid has a 25% implied probability to win his second Sixth Man honor.

After failing to repeat last year, he is back in prime position through mid-January. Reid’s odds to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year have improved drastically, shifting from +2100 to +300 since November. That said, the race remains wide open, with Keldon Johnson (+400) and Jaime Jaquez Jr. (+675) within striking distance.

The San Antonio Spurs guard has a 20% implied probability, while third-year Miami Heat guard Jaquez Jr. is having a breakout season off the bench. He currently holds a 12.9% implied probability for the award, which is a drop from +270, or 27% when Jaquez was the favorite in late November.

Anthony Black (+750) and Reed Sheppard (+1000) aren’t out of the picture by any means, either.

Following Sheppard, the odds drop significantly to Collin Gillespie at +1800. Gillespie, along with Jaylon Tyson (+2000) and Ajay Mitchell (+2000), make up a second tier of contenders. Tyson and Mitchell each carry a 4.8% implied probability.

You can find up-to-date 2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year betting odds at Bovada by navigating to Basketball > NBA Awards & League Leaders > 6th Man of the Year.

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NBA 6th Man of the Year Favorites

Let’s dive deeper and analyze the most likely players to win the NBA 6th Man of the Year award in 2025-26:

Naz Reid (+300)

Two years after being honored as the league’s top bench player, Reid is back in the running again. He couldn’t keep pace with the Boston Celtics’ Payton Pritchard last season, but he’s on track for two awards in three years.

If the season were to end today, Reid would post career highs in points, rebounds, assists and steals per game. Through 39 games, he has averaged 14.4 points on 46.7% shooting from the field. He’s also a threat from beyond the arc, knocking down a respectable 38.1% of his three-point attempts.

He’s also hauled in 6.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 0.9 steals per game this season. This versatility is what makes Reid a more complete player than his competition for Sixth Man of the Year. The 26-year-old is capable of being effective both near the rim and from 30 feet away.

Additionally, and most importantly, Reid is an above-average defender. He’s been largely inconsistent on that end throughout his career, but he’s making an impact in 2025-26. Note that Reid’s 0.9 blocks per game put him well ahead of Johnson and Jaquez.

With a 114.1 defensive rating, Reid is regarded as a solid defender, but Jaquez and Johnson rank ahead of him. Reid’s all-around game makes him one of the best NBA 6th Man of the Year betting picks to consider.

Keldon Johnson (+400)

Johnson’s NBA Sixth Man of the Year odds have skyrocketed over the last two months. He opened the season as a +2500 longshot but is now among the top contenders. Jaquez and Johnson will likely trade spots for the second-shortest odds the rest of the way.

At 6’6” with a 6’9” wingspan, the former Kentucky guard doesn’t sound especially big for a small forward, but he plays much larger than his measurements. Johnson is a spark plug off the bench who does a lot of the little things that don’t show up on the stat sheet.

He’s a high-energy scorer who can heat up in a hurry. The 26-year-old has scored 25+ points in four games this season, including a recent outburst against the Lakers on January 7.

Overall, Johnson is averaging 13.7 points per game on ultra-efficient 57% shooting from the field. He’s also a proven threat from downtown, hitting 41.2% from three, a mark that would be a new career high.

The consistency and efficiency from the former starter is what makes him one of the most desirable candidates to win the award this season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (+675)

Jaquez Jr. has bounced back after a disappointing sophomore season. His scoring has improved from 8.6 points to 16.2 points, rebounds from 4.4 to 5.3, and assists from 2.5 to 4.6. The former UCLA product is also shooting 53.3% from the field.

The Heat have been playing at the league’s fastest pace, and it has unlocked Jaquez Jr., who also dealt with injuries last season. Jaquez Jr. will stay on the bench now that Tyler Herro is back, but he gives the team a balance when Herro or Norman Powell need to take a breather.

Jaquez’s odds to win NBA Sixth Man of the Year didn’t offer much value for bettors at +270 earlier in the season. However, at +675, you have to start considering him. That’s a rather large price on a player who is in tight contention and should be available at shorter odds.

There’s a lot of basketball left to be played, and I don’t see much separation between the top three favorites. Nevertheless, he can be hot and cold, which works against him in the race with Reid and Johnson.


NBA 6th Man of the Year Contenders

Next, let’s take a look at two players who could challenge the top tier of favorites!

Anthony Black (+750)

There hasn’t been much noise around Anthony Black’s Sixth Man of the Year campaign, but he’s quietly putting together a résumé that deserves serious consideration. Black has provided a major spark off the bench, helping keep the Orlando Magic firmly in the Eastern Conference playoff picture.

The 21-year-old guard is averaging 15.7 points per game on 45.6% shooting from the field, along with 3.9 assists and 1.3 steals in the 2025-26 season. He’s flashed his defensive versatility throughout the year, positioning himself as a legitimate second-tier contender in the Sixth Man of the Year race.

The former Arkansas Razorback is a tenacious on-ball defender who doesn’t hesitate to pressure opposing ball handlers. When you pair that with his evolving offensive game and confident shooting stroke, it’s clear Anthony Black isn’t going anywhere in the 2025-26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year betting markets.

Reed Sheppard (+1000)

Houston Rockets’ guard Reed Sheppard’s NBA 6MOY odds have slipped slightly, but he is still in the hunt. Sheppard had the third-best price at +875 in late November, so he is still hanging around.

The 21-year-old sophomore didn’t see the floor as much last season as a rookie with just 12.6 minutes per game. He’s more than doubled that mark and is taking advantage of more time on the floor. In 25.8 minutes, Sheppard has recorded 13.3 points per game on 44.5% shooting.

He is developing into a pesky defender and has swiped 1.5 steals per game. As of January 11, Sheppard has logged a steal in seven of his previous eight games. I don’t believe Sheppard is that far behind the top favorites, so at +1000, he’s worth keeping tabs on.


NBA Sixth Man of the Year 2025-26 Sleepers

There is strong betting value on a couple of underdogs for your NBA 2025-26 Sixth Man of the Year picks! While they have long odds, this award is usually very hard to predict early in the season and could end up with a longshot.

  1. 1. Ajay Mitchell (+2000)

    The OKC Thunder guard at +2000 for Sixth Man of the Year is one of the best value bets on the board. My numbers have Mitchell closer to +1000, making him an obvious longshot play.

    Mitchell’s 101.2 defensive rating is the fourth-best in the league, better than all the top betting favorites, including Jaquez and Johnson. On top of his defense, he’s also producing offensively.

    The 23-year-old native of Ans, Belgium, is averaging 14.2 points on 47.8% shooting from the field. He’s also adding 3.7 assists per game, showcasing a versatile all-around game for the Thunder this season.

  2. 2. Collin Gillespie (+1800)

    Gillespie is probably the least-known name in this group of players I’m analyzing, but he has played a considerable role for the surprising Suns. He played just 33 games last season, starting nine, and averaged 5.9 points.

    This season, Gillespie, who also played at Villanova, is averaging 13.4 points, shooting 40.3% from the three-point line. He is also a legitimate playmaker with 4.9 assists. That allows Devin Booker to move off the ball more with Gillespie on the floor.

    Much like his fellow Villanova alumni, Mitchell, Gillespie could be worth a flier at +1800. In November, I backed Gillespie to win the Sixth Man of the Year award at +5000.

    I expect his odds to continue to rise, so this might be the next best time to bet on Gillespie. The Suns are in a playoff spot after many pundits counted them out. If they stay in a playoff spot, the 26-year-old guard has to get a look here!


NBA 6th Man of the Year 2025-26 Predictions and Betting Pick

The NBA Sixth Man of the Year race is fully on at the moment. There hasn’t been a player to edge ahead and clear themselves in January. That’s likely to be the case throughout the season. This is a player’s award that is going to come down to the wire.

It’s going to be tough on voters, but when you look at who the most efficient and consistent reserve player is, then it’s a simple choice. Johnson may not have monster numbers off the bench, but that’s because he is a smart player who doesn’t take wasted shots.

Johnson is a high-percentage shooter who is often the most intelligent person on the offensive end. Shooting better than 55% from the field and 40% from three can’t be understated. He is the definition of what a Sixth Man of the Year should be off the bench. That’s a spark plug who plays a big role in helping his team win games.

At +400, Johnson has the best value for 2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year picks!

The Bet
Keldon Johnson
+400


Where to Bet on the NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

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About the Author
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Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years experience publishing articles on sports, iGaming, travel, and politics. He has a particular passion for soccer as both a fan and a bettor, but he enjoys placing wagers on most sports, political events, and casino games. Since joining The Sports Geek he has been sharing his wisdom to help give you the best chance at making winning bets.
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