2025 PFL World Championship Odds and Predictions

• Gadzhi Rabadanov (-650)
• Alfie Davis (+450)

Gadzhi Rabadanov (26-4-2) and Alfie Davis (19-5-1) square off in the main event at the PFL World Tournament 9. The latest PFL World Championship betting odds suggest that Rabadanov should clear Davis without any issues. Currently, Rabadanov has an 86.7% implied probability of emerging victorious.

I don’t think it’s going to be a quick win for Rabadanov, but it’s obvious he should be the overwhelming favorite. The 32-year-old fighting out of Khabib Nurmagomedov’s Eagles MMA camp is on a 12-fight win streak dating back to Feb. 9, 2021.

The 2024 PFL Lightweight World Champion does not play around inside the SmartCage 😤

Gadzhi Rabadanov | Takedown Of The Night #PFLWorldTournament | B2YB @TakedownShop pic.twitter.com/UiUYEsUZ22

— PFL (@PFLMMA) June 22, 2025

He’s only lost one fight over the last eight years against Mehdi Dakaev in 2020. Rabadanov has been on a war path in Bellator and PFL, demolishing everyone in front of him. In his last two fights, Rabadanov didn’t allow the fight to reach the second round against Marc Diakiese and Kevin Lee.

The Russian is a powerful puncher who can end any fight in a hurry. It doesn’t take long for Rabadanov to finish an opponent if he’s in the right mood. He’s also a strong wrestler and grappler, which should work to his advantage over Davis. I’m not convinced that Davis has the defensive skill set to stop Rabadanov from doing what he wants.

Davis has won five of his last six fights, coming off a unanimous decision victory over Brent Primus. Rabadanov defeated Primus by KO/TKO last year on Nov. 29, 2024. While the price offers no value on the Russian, he should be much too tough for Davis.

The defending PFL Lightweight World Champion probably deserves a shot in the UFC before too long, as he looks to build on a streak of four straight KO/TKO wins. As a straight wager, this one makes no sense, but I suggest including Rabadanov in a parlay for your PFL World Tournament picks!

• Liz Carmouche (-350)
• Jena Bishop (+275)

In the Women’s Flyweight Finals, Liz Carmouche (24-8-0) and Jena Bishop (9-2-0) clash at the Bojangles Coliseum. Carmouche enters as the clear favorite at -350, with a 77.8% implied chance.

The former UFC fighter has enjoyed a resurgence later in his career after failing to stick in Dana White’s promotion. She had some big fights against Ronda Rousey and Miesha Tate over a decade ago, but couldn’t get the signature victory.

Since 2020, Carmouche has won 11 of 12 fights and is entering off back-to-back wins. She is coming off a unanimous decision win over Elora Dana after destroying Ilara Joanna with liver shots on the ground.

With experience in the UFC, Bellator, and PFL, the 41-year-old veteran has faced a more difficult slate of opponents in her career. “Girl-Rilla” is known for her superior work on the ground. She is fantastic with takedowns and can wear down foes with relative ease.

Liz Carmouche is looking forward to The Finals!#PFLWorldTournament pic.twitter.com/vQPijoFi6H

— PFL (@PFLMMA) June 21, 2025

Additionally, Carmouche is above average in the clinch, which should give her a considerable upper hand on Bishop. Look for Carmouche to work the clinch and get her opponent to the mat, where she should impose her will in this one.

Bishop has a solid ground game of her own, as five of her nine victories have been via submission. That said, going to the ground with Carmouche isn’t a wise strategy. She is superior as a wrestler, so I don’t see a path to victory for Bishop. Unfortunately, for the 39-year-old San Diego native, her strengths play right into Carmouche’s trap.

There is no value at -350, so consider a parlay, perhaps with Rabadanov as one of your best 2025 PFL World Championship predictions!

• Marciley Alves (-145)
• Justin Wetzell (+125)

Marciley Alves (14-4-0) and Justin Wetzell (12-2-0) meet in the Bantamweight Finals in Charlotte! This should be one of the most entertaining bouts of the night at the PFL World Tournament 9. Alves and Wetzell are expected to both leave it all out on the mat in this fight.

Alves is the favorite, but this matchup should be a close battle. I wouldn’t look past Wetzell, who is in terrific form and bursting with confidence at the moment. He has won five consecutive fights, including a victory over Eagles MMA’s Bekhzod Usmonov by unanimous decision on Oct. 25, 2024.

He has been in control during the PFL World Tournament with two wins via unanimous decision. Prior to coming to PFL, Wetzell made easy work of Renzo Martinez with a win via TKO and submission over Brandon Lewis. Heading into the Finals with a plethora of confidence and momentum, expect Wetzell to give Alves everything that he can handle.

Justin Wetzell drives Mando Gutierrez to the ground!#PFLWorldTournament LIVE NOW
🇺🇸 ESPN & ESPN+
🌎https://t.co/jPNvomCxHI pic.twitter.com/GhZlHWi3ka

— PFL (@PFLMMA) June 21, 2025

Alves is coming off an impressive performance over Jake Hadley, but hasn’t been perfect as of late. He lost to Sarvarjon Khamidov at the Bellator Champions Series in Dublin, and then narrowly got past Leandro Higo by split decision in the opening round of the 2025 PFL World Tournament.

For the best value, Wetzell is worth a look at plus odds! He has a big chance to win by a decision over Alves.