2025 PFL World Championship Odds and Predictions

• Jesus Pinedo (-170)
• Movlid Khaybulaev (+140)

Jesus Pinedo (25-6-1) and Movlid Khaybuleav (23-0-1) clash in the featherweight finals on Friday. Khaybulaev sports a fantastic record but doesn’t have a signature win on his resume. The 34-year-old Dagestani trains with Khabib Nurmagomedov and certainly has a strong pedigree coming out of that camp.

That being said, he’s been far from perfect despite the record. On April 3, at PFL World Tournament 1, Khaybulaev defeated Jeremy Kennedy via a controversial split decision. At worst, it looked like a draw, with Kennedy having a solid case for a win.

The Russian got rocked a few times throughout the fight and could have very easily lost. He handled his business against Tae Kyun Kim most recently, but Pinedo is a significant jump in class. He is one of a few fighters right now who likely deserve another chance in the UFC.

Pinedo is mowing down opponents and making it look easy at the moment. The 29-year-old native of Peru is on a five-fight win streak via TKO/KO. In two fights in 2025, Pinedo destroyed Adam Borics and Gabriel Braga to win in the opening round. He wasted little time in ending their upset bids.

JESUS “EL MUDO” PINEDO TAKES DOWN GABRIEL BRAGA IN THE FIRST ROUND. THE RIVALRY HAS BEEN DECIDED!#PFLWorldTournament LIVE NOW
🇺🇸 ESPN & ESPN+
🌍 https://t.co/jPNvomCxHI pic.twitter.com/qbypiFAp3f

— PFL (@PFLMMA) June 13, 2025

“El Mudo” has been on this win streak with victories over some formidable fighters, too. He isn’t picking on weaklings during his impressive run. Pinedo undoubtedly moves around the ring better than Khaybuleav and should gain the advantage with his speed.

Khaybulaev is a tough customer and is unlikely to go down in Round 1. That said, Pinedo should finish him for the win! I suggest backing Pinedo for your best PFL World Championship picks.

• Thad Jean (-225)
• Logan Storley (+185)

Thad Jean (10-0-0) and Logan Storley (18-3-0) meet in the welterweight finals in what should be an entertaining bout. Jean looks to stay undefeated after defeating Jason Jackson via split decision. Meanwhile, Storley made easy work of Masayuki Kikuiri with a win by unanimous decision.

Jackson was a fairly tough foe for Jean, but the good news here is that Storley isn’t as strong as him. I have Jackson ahead of Storley, so this shouldn’t be a more difficult assignment. If Jean shows up in his typical form, he should manage to outlast his opponent.

My chief concern with Storley is that this is a five-round fight. He doesn’t have a whole lot in the gas tank and tends to tire out too easily. Conversely, Jean doesn’t have that concern. If he had to go more than five rounds, he’d be fine going the distance.

Thad Jean gave us an in person breakdown of his KO in R1 of the #PFLWorldTournament in April.

Thanks to @ThadJean for stopping by our office last week.

He fights next week in the @PFLMMA finals. pic.twitter.com/5efMoyMoB0

— Spinnin Backfist (@SpinninBackfist) July 24, 2025

That isn’t the case for Storley, who also doesn’t have any finishing ability. The 32-year-old University of Minnesota product is a pure wrestler and lacks versatility. He’s a phenomenal wrestler, but using stamina to try to take down Jean will deplete his energy reserves.

Jean is a little too crafty to allow Storley to beat him on the mat. He also has multiple ways to beat Storley, so I’m riding with “The Silverback”!

• Asael Adoudj (-210)
• Yves Landu (+170)

Asael Adjoudj (9-1-0) and Yves Landu (21-9-0) aim to stay in contention in the featherweight division on Friday night. This has a chance to be a quality bout between two gifted athletes.

Adjoudj has the edge, according to the latest PFL World Championship betting odds. At -210, the favorite has a 67.7% implied probability to get the win, and I believe that number should be slightly higher.

“The Sultan” enters on a nine-fight win streak. After losing his debut as a professional, Adjoudj has been on an absolute tear. That defeat came on Feb. 22, 2020, and the 26-year-old hasn’t had a mishap since then.

GUILLOTINE! 🔥

Asael Adjoudj forces the tap in the third round! #PFLWorldChampionship | LIVE NOW ON ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/ybsWJwh4wi

— Bellator MMA (@BellatorMMA) November 29, 2024

The former Bellator star is an incredibly well-rounded fighter who has the talent to win in different ways and capitalize on mistakes. Through 10 fights, Adjoudj has won four by decision, two by submission, and three by TKO/KO. Over his previous three bouts, he won via unanimous decision, ground punches, and a guillotine choke.

The more versatile fighter in this fight should emerge victorious, and that’s Adoudj. Landu will step into the ring for the first time since a split decision victory over Jonas Bilharinho in May 2024. He’s won his last two bouts by split decision and contests that could have gone in either direction.

Landu hasn’t won by TKO/KO since beating Gavin Hughes with a leg kick in May 2022. He will struggle against Adoudj, who might the most underrated fighter on this card.

Adoudj should probably be a -300 favorite, so I’ll side with the Frenchman for my PFL World Championship 2025 predictions!