77th Primetime Emmy Odds and Predictions – Will Severance and The Studio Dominate?

The Primetime Emmy betting odds suggest a two-horse race between Apple’s Severance (-200) and The Pitt (+175) of HBO Max. Severance was the talk of TV’s first quarter, and all of their main actors have also received nominations.

severance with NINE acting nominations this is so sexy of them #emmys pic.twitter.com/fwr8yZjX5b

— Cris ✨ (@lionesspike) July 15, 2025

The Pitt flew under the radar compared to Severance, but Max’s day in the life at a Pittsburgh hospital has moved up the ranks at entertainment betting sites! If you remember E.R. from 1995 to 2006, you’ll love The Pitt. Creator R. Scott Gemmill worked on E.R. for years, and actor Noah Wyle was on the show for 12 of the 15 seasons.

The rest of the category is filled with excellent shows, such as The White Lotus (+1200) and The Last of Us (+1400), both on HBO. I liked The Pitt more, but I think Severance will win at -200.

Apple has spent a ton of money to create a hit and it shows. The overall buzz around Severance is too big to ignore, so that’s the best bet here at -200.

It’s Severance vs. The Pitt, Part 2! Wyle (-225) is favored in these Emmy Awards odds over Adam Scott (+175) of Severance, and the rest of the category is fighting for third place. If you’ve seen Season 2 of The Last of Us, I won’t spoil anything, but it is interesting that Pedro Pascal (+1400) received a nomination.

But I’m taking the bigger return and betting on Scott here! You wouldn’t go wrong with betting on Wyle, but at +175, I’m banking on Scott to come through and claim the award!

The odds suggest that Wyle is a huge favorite, but it’s much closer than that. Scott was nominated for the first season of the show but missed out on the award. That should give him an extra edge here, so I can’t resist the temptation to back him at such high odds.

Here is another category in which you can find excellent value on  your Emmy award predictions! Kathy Bates (-250) is the favorite here for the Matlock reboot. But I’m picking Britt Lower (+200) from Severance! Lower was a tour de force in playing two roles, and at +200, you’re getting a great return here!

A nod to Sharon Horgan (+2500) from Bad Sisters, another Apple TV show that had a phenomenal first season. But I’m grabbing Lower’s odds before there’s no value there anymore! She is amazing in Severance and the show is in prime position to win a ton of Emmys, so the odds should be closer to +150.

Hacks (+125) beat out The Bear (+1200) in last year’s awards. Now, they’re both chasing The Studio (-150), Seth Rogan’s Apple vehicle about a studio executive trying to balance making quality films, with movies that will make money.

With 23 nominations, Seth Rogen’s ‘THE STUDIO’ is now the most nominated freshman comedy in Emmys history, breaking the record previously held by ‘TED LASSO.’ pic.twitter.com/1gMeeVGDSp

— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) July 15, 2025

The winner will come from this trio, although a shout to What We Do in the Shadows (+3500), which ended its six-season run with its fourth nomination in this category. Abbott Elementary (+2500) is extremely funny, but a network show (airing on ABC, NBC, CBS, or Fox) hasn’t won this award since Modern Family in 2014.

All of the shows in this category are worthy, but The Studio at -150 is the smart play for your Primetime Emmy Awards predictions. You can still get a decent return, and like Hacks, it’s an inside look at how Hollywood works.

Awards organizations love that sort of thing and often reward “insider” looks at their own industry. I expected to see -200 or worse for The Studio, so -150 is a great price.

Rogan (-250) is the favorite in these Emmy Awards betting odds for his work in The Studio. While we know Rogan for his comedy work, there were also a couple of poignant moments. But this is the comedy category, and Rogan was absolutely hilarious in this show.

Martin Short (+225) is next after splitting the votes with Only Murders in the Building co-star Steve Martin in two of the last three years at the Emmys. Jeremy Allen White (+1200) has won the last two years for The Bear, a show the Academy loves. Adam Brody (+1200) was excellent on the first season of Netflix’s Nobody Wants This.

I think Short wins this in any other year, if not for Rogan and The Studio. Season 3 of The Bear wasn’t as strong as usual, with all due respect to White. But The Studio was a juggernaut, and Rogan was amazing in it. It’s his award to lose, especially since Short could be on the wrong end of voter fatigue.

Jean Smart (-900) of Hacks has won three of the last four years in this category, with Abbott Elementary’s Quinta Brunson (+2200) winning in 2023. In my opinion, Ayo Edebiri (+550) has been the best part of The Bear, especially in Season 3.

She is also the first woman in history to be nominated for acting and directing in the same year, Edebiri is nominated for “Napkins”, the sixth episode of Season 3.

I can’t pick against Smart at -900, although she won’t be in my Emmys betting picks simply because of the odds. If the price comes down to something like -500, she’ll be worth a bet, but I think she’ll be an even bigger favorite by awards night on September 14^th!

My final Emmy Award prediction comes from the Limited or Anthology series, and while I do think Adolescence (-1000) is a deserving favorite, The Penguin (+500) offers some incredible odds!

You can also take a look at the Lead Actor in this category as well, where Colin Farrell is favored at -150. His transformation over the course of the season was chilling, and I think he’ll win that award as well.

At +500, I’m willing to make a small bet and take the value, so let’s pick The Penguin at +500 in an upset! Both the critics and fans love the show, so it’s worth a shot.