Survivor Season 50 brings a stacked field of 24 returning players back to Fiji, creating one of the most competitive seasons the show has seen. With the first episode scheduled for February 25, it’s a good time to analyze the opening Survivor betting odds.
To help you navigate this star‑studded cast, I break down the latest winner odds, highlight the top contenders, and share my best Survivor 50 predictions.
Note: We will update the Survivor odds and predictions every Thursday after each week’s episode, so stay tuned!
Survivor Season 50 Odds and Prediction (Updated After Each Episode)
We will be adding the updated odds, analysis, and prediction after each episode here, so you will continue to have fresh information as the season progresses!
Here are the preseason 2026 Survivor odds:
| CASTAWAY | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Aubry Bracco | -1000 |
| Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick | +500 |
| Dee Valladares | +500 |
| Mike White | +1600 |
| Jonathan Young | +1600 |
| Joe Hunter | +1600 |
| Cirie Fields | +1800 |
| Charlie Davis | +2200 |
| Q Burdette | +2500 |
| Kyle Fraser | +2500 |
| Rizo Velovic | +2500 |
| Benjamin ‘Coach’ Wade | +2800 |
| Colby Donaldson | +3300 |
Aubry Bracco (-1000) is a massive odds-on favorite at the top Survivor betting sites. At -1000, the three-time player, most recently featured on Season 38, has a 90.9% implied probability to win Season 50. That’s an overwhelming price, especially for Survivor betting odds.
If oddsmakers know something we don’t know, then it’s understandable. Still, if the winner was leaked, odds would be off the board. In any event, betting on Aubry would yield just a $100 profit on a $1000 wager, which is indicative of how big of a leading favorite she is right now.
Following Aubry, another veteran, Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick (+500), and recent Season 45 winner, Dee Valladares (+500), share the same odds to win Survivor Season 50. With odds of +500, Stephenie and Dee have a 16.7% implied probability to be the sole survivor.
Note that Dee is the only player to win Survivor among the top favorites. Aubry and Stephenie have been runner-ups in the past but are still searching for that elusive Survivor crown.
Before I delve into my updated Survivor winner prediction below, a reminder that you can access Survivor 2026 odds at BetOnline by clicking through the site to Sports > Entertainment > Survivor.
Survivor 50 Predictions and Betting Pick Before Episode 1
Although oddsmakers confidently point to Aubry as the Survivor 50 winner before an episode has even aired, I’m going to pass on laying that price. There is little to no value at the current number. While I admit she is probably the best strategist in Fiji for Season 50, Aubry will have a massive target on her back.
Instead, I advise looking at one of the value picks offering a much stronger return on your bet. In addition to Aubry, I don’t like the second favorites, either. Dee and Stephenie are next on the board at +500, but they should probably be closer to +1500.
Dee is a recent winner, but Season 45 was incredibly weak and featured a lot of castaways who passively floated through the game. The 29‑year‑old New Jersey native is likely in for a rude awakening against much tougher competition.
However, because she’s a recent champion, there will be bias from the betting public, which helps explain the short +500 Survivor 50 winner odds.
With this in mind, I recommend focusing on contestants priced at +1600 or longer. Joe Hunter was my Survivor winner pick for Season 48, and he came up just short on the final day. He lasted all 26 days before Kyle Fraser ultimately outlasted the competition at the final tribal council.
Joe is tempting at +1600 to win it all this time, but there’s an even better price on another player who was a finalist two seasons earlier. Charlie Davis was a vote or two away from winning Season 46. He played a fantastic social and strategic game after a slow start. Early on, he didn’t look like a serious contender, but he slowly warmed up and finished strong.
The law student was the highest‑placing member of Siga and was in control of his tribe for much of the game. He was still there on Day 26 of 26 but came just shy of becoming the Sole Survivor. I was impressed by how far he came over that stretch on the island: he went from an almost invisible player to someone the rest of the cast respected and feared in the final days.
Look for Charlie to build on that experience and make another deep run in Season 50. I don’t see him having too much competition in the Teal Tribe. Look for him to get off to a fast start and command control. At +2200, the value is undeniable, and as a result, he’s my favorite choice for your best Survivor 50 pick to win.
Survivor 50 Tribes and Contestants
Survivor 50 consists of the Purple, Orange, and Teal Tribes. Now, let’s learn more about the three tribes and castaways on each side.
But, first, when does Survivor start? On Wednesday, February 25, 2025, Survivor 50 debuts at 8:00 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.
Purple Tribe
The Purple Tribe looks like the most dangerous group in Fiji for Season 50. With betting favorites Aubry and Stephenie together, the odds point to a likely winner emerging from the purple side.
They’re backed up by intriguing long shots Colby Donaldson (+3300) and Genevieve Mushaluk (+3300), who could still shake up the game. And the tribe won’t lack drama: Season 46’s Q Burdette (+2500) should add plenty of spicy moments with his colorful personality.
Q is expected to be one of the most vocal players out there and isn’t shy about raising concerns. Watching how he interacts with a master strategist like Aubry should be fascinating. Altogether, the Purple Tribe’s mix of athleticism and brains makes them a compelling threat.
Purple Tribe Members:
-
- Angelina Keeley, 36, financial consultant (San Clemente, CA)
- Aubry Bracco, 40, marketing director (Cambridge, MA)
- Kyle Fraser, 32, attorney (Brooklyn, NY)
- Rizo Velovic 26, tech sales (Yonkers, NY)
- Genevieve Mushaluk, 34, corporate lawyer (Winnipeg, MB)
- Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick, 46, pharmaceutical sales (New Jersey, PA)
- Colby Donaldson, 51, financial consultant (Dallas, TX)
- Q Burdette, 31, real estate agent (Memphis, TN)
Orange Tribe
Some of the oldest Survivor veterans are joining more recent players on the Orange Tribe. Jenna Lewis (+3300), who debuted in Season 1 in 2000, will return for the first time since Survivor: All-Stars in 2003. A lot has changed since then, so it will be interesting to see if Jenna can keep pace.
Joining her is Cirie Fields (+1800), who appeared on Survivor in 2006 and 2008. It’s been a long layoff for both, which could be a disadvantage against more recent contenders like Joe Hunter (+1600) from Season 48 and Savannah Louie (+3300) from the most recent season. Old strategies are unlikely to translate in the new era of Survivor.
I don’t have much confidence in Jenna and Cirie, but Joe was a threat deep into Season 48. With a few adjustments, he could contend for a top‑five finish. Ozzy Lusth also brings a wealth of experience, having competed in four seasons and finishing as the runner-up on Survivor: Cook Islands in 2006.
Orange Tribe Members:
-
- Emily Flippen, 31, investment analyst (Laurel, MD)
- Ozzy Lusth, 44, waiter (Venice, CA)
- Rick Devens, 41, attorney (Macon, GA)
- Christian Hubicki, 40, robotics scientist (Tallahassee, FL)
- Savannah Louie, 32, reporter (Atlanta, GA)
- Cirie Fields, 55, nurse (Walterboro, SC)
- Joe Hunter, 46, fire captain (Dallas, TX)
- Jenna Lewis, 48, student (Burbank, CA)
Teal Tribe
The Teal Tribe is an interesting blend of longshots and a couple of castaways with a decent chance of winning. According to the latest odds to win Survivor Season 50, Dee has the best chance of winning from the Teal Tribe at +500, but I don’t see the value in her Survivor winner pick odds. She benefited greatly in a season where there wasn’t as much competition.
Mike White (+1600) and Jonathan Young (+1600) are also within striking distance. Dee, Charlie (+2200), Kamila Karthigesu (+3300), Tiffany Nicole Ervin (+3300), and Jonathan Young (+1600) all have recent experience in the modern era of Survivor since 2021. This should come in handy for a competitive season of former players.
Teal Tribe Members
-
- Charlie Davis, 28, law student (Boston, MA)
- Jonathan Young, 33, beach service owner (Gulf Shores, AL)
- Benjamin ‘Coach’ Young, 54, soccer coach (Susanville, CA)
- Mike White, 55, filmmaker (Los Angeles, CA)
- Chrissy Hofbeck, 54, actuary (Lebanon Township, NJ)
- Kamila Karthigesu, 32, software engineer (Foster City, CA)
- Dee Valladares, 29, entrepreneur (Miami, FL)
- Tiffany Nicole Ervin, 34, artist (Elizabeth, NJ)
Survivor Season 50: Who Will You Bet on to Win?
Our Survivor betting strategy is to place a pre-game pick on Charlie prior to Episode 1, watch the action weekly, and wait for the right time to make an in-season wager.
You can add more to your original wager on a sneaky underdog that garners favorable value and monitor the Survivor odds while the season is underway.
So, who is your best Survivor 50 pick to win? If you’re confident, don’t forget to place your bets and cash in on the 50th season of Survivor.
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