The Basketball Tournament 2025: TBT Winner Betting Odds and Predictions

The Basketball Tournament 2025: TBT Winner Betting Odds and Predictions

Who will win The Basketball Tournament 2025 and grab the $1 million? The latest TBT odds suggest it’s going to be a very close finale of the event, so I’m here to analyze the teams and share my predictions!

Let’s explore the latest betting odds on the TBT 2025 winner first.

The Basketball Tournament Winner 2025 Odds

Here are TBT winner odds, courtesy of Bovada:

TEAM ODDS
Eberlain Drive +200
AfterShocks +220
Best Virginia +325
We Are D3 +350

Eberlain Drive (+200) is the leading betting favorite to win The Basketball Tournament in 2025. At +200 odds, Eberlain Drive has a 33.3% implied probability to win the million. That said, AfterShocks (+220) isn’t far behind, with a 31.3% implied chance at the best basketball betting sites.

They are nearly co-favorites, so oddsmakers aren’t overly convinced that either side has the upper hand. Meanwhile, Best Virginia (+325) and We Are D3 (+350) are the underdogs down the stretch. With 23.5% and 22.2% implied probability, there isn’t any true dark horse remaining in the tournament, though.

For updated 2025 TBT odds at Bovada, navigate to All Sports > Basketball > The Basketball Tournament Futures.

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Eberlain Drive (+200)

Through their first four games of the tournament, Eberlain Drive’s well-balanced strategy and tight defense on the perimeter have led to plenty of success. Coming off an 88-75 win over Sideline Cancer, they’ve done a little of everything to reach the TBT Final Four.

The offense has been solid enough, as they’re 12th out of 64 teams with an average of 81.5 points per game. Compared to their opponents left in the tournament, Eberlain Drive is 0.3 points behind We Are D3 for the most points scored.

However, Eberlain has the highest field goal percentage at 44.5% and 35.8% from three-point territory. Led by Gabe York’s 19.5 points per game and 35% from downtown, Eberlain Drive has the most efficient offense left in The Basketball Tournament.

That isn’t even what makes Eberlain Drive so dangerous, though. They are second in the entire tournament and by far the best team remaining when it comes to perimeter defense. With a 21.3% three-point percentage against, Eberlain Drive plays lockdown defense beyond the arc.

Overall, Eberlain Drive is 12th, with 69 points allowed per game. However, there is another team’s defense that has excelled even more than Eberlain Drive.

AfterShocks (+220)

The AfterShocks’ defense is a lockdown unit that doesn’t offer much room for opponents to get comfortable. They’ve ridden their physical defense to the third-best mark in the event, with 62.5 points allowed per game.

While Eberlain Drive can play defense, the AfterShocks have top honors of the four teams remaining in the tournament. In four matchups, the AfterShocks haven’t allowed more than 68 points in any of their wins! They are coming off a 74-68 victory over Team Heartfire to qualify for the semifinals.

The AfterShocks’ guards are active and relentless in their pursuit of ball handlers. There is never an easy point on the floor against the team’s defense. They press and force turnovers at an impressive clip, which I believe is going to bode well at this stage of the tournament.

Offensively, the AfterShocks don’t have the firepower of Eberlain Drive. They have netted 74.3 points per game on 43.6% shooting from the field. So, while the AfterShocks favor defense, they are competent on the other end, too.

Nike Sibande has been having a strong tournament for the AfterShocks on the offensive and defensive side. Sibande is shooting 63.3% and 64.3% from three to lead the the team with 14.5 points per game. With their defense, the AfterShocks don’t need much scoring to win games.

The way I see it, the AfterShocks are going to be tough to beat, so I can’t argue against them for your The Basketball Tournament picks!

Best Virginia (+325)

Best Virginia will look to spring more upsets after an impressive 74-61 win over the Shell Shock. They were nearly knocked off in the opening round against the Dubois Dream, but managed to eke out a 72-69 win. Since then, the West Virginia alumni squad has been playing great team basketball.

Overall, Best Virginia is ranked 22nd in The Basketball Tournament, averaging 76.8 points per game. They’ve also been solid defensively, with 68.3 points against through four matchups in the tournament. This is a well-rounded team that can win with their scoring or defensive pressure.

They are hosting Eberlain Drive at West Virginia in the semifinal match. It’s going to be tough, but I think Best Virginia have a chance in that one. Eberlain Drive is the favorite to win the $1 million, though Best Virginia will give them all that they can handle.

Over their last three games, Best Virginia averaged 78.3 points while allowing 68 points per game, so they’ve won by an average of nearly 10 points. James Reese V has been fantastic for Best Virginia, as he’s notched 22.3 points per game on 44.3% shooting. Reese V ranks third in the tournament in scoring!

I wouldn’t overlook Best Virginia, as the underdog label will suit them in the upcoming clash.

We Are D3 (+350)

The largest underdog in The Basketball Tournament is We Are D3. Made up of former DIII players, the group has been a pesky team to play against. They are on the heels of a nail-biter in a 95-93 win over Fail Harder.

We Are D3 has done everything the hard way in this event. They’ve faced a lot of adversity and have weathered the storm every time. Three of their four wins have been by four points or fewer.

Laynes Hope pushed We Are D3 to the limit in a 75-71 final, and then they nearly suffered a loss to Boeheim’s Army in an 81-78 score. We Are D3 is all about offense. They play little defense and give up a lot of easy buckets in transition.

Overall, they’ve conceded 77.5 points per game, for 38th and the worst number of teams in the semifinals. While We Are D3 is capable of scoring, with 81.8 points per contest, they don’t have the hard-nosed defense required to beat a team like the AfterShocks.

Ty Nichols has been a standout star in this tournament. He’s second overall and the most prolific scorer of remaining players. The former Keene State guard has notched 23.3 points per game on 47% shooting!

However, he and We Are D3 face a mountain of pressure against the AfterShocks’ defense in the semifinals.

TBT 2025 Predictions and Betting Pick

The TBT champion odds suggest that we have a toss-up between AfterShocks and Eberlain Drive. I’m not discounting an upset with Best Virginia beating Eberlain Drive in the semifinals, but the favorites can lean on their defense.

I expect the AfterShocks’ defense to be too much for We Are D3. We Are D3 should struggle to get their offense flowing against the AfterShocks’ lockdown pressure. It should also become an issue for the AfterShocks’ potential opponent in the championship game.

If Sibande finds a rhythm, the rest should fall into place for the AfterShocks. Defense wins championships, and that’s what I expect to see in this one. For the best TBT predictions, I recommend backing the AfterShocks at +220.

The Bet
AfterShocks
+220

Where to Bet on TBT 2025?

2025 TBT odds can be located at select online sportsbooks. For our top recommendation, Bovada provides a superb betting experience for newcomers and veterans alike.

With futures markets, prices on individual matchups, and prop bets at the best odds, Bovada is the most attractive option for The Basketball Tournament betting. Also, the bookmaker is offering new customers an exciting welcome bonus. Deposit at Bovada with promo code BV1000 to collect a 100% match bonus of up to $1,000!

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About the Author
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Kyle Eve
Editor-in-Chief
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek, providing reliable analysis for millions of readers since joining the team in 2012. After placing his first sports bet on his 18th birthday, Kyle has devoted his entire adult life to becoming the best bettor he can be. He’s covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world, from the Super Bowl and World Series to the NBA Finals and Kentucky Derby. Kyle lives in Windsor, Ontario.
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