WNBA 2026 MVP Betting Odds And Predictions – Wilson, Clark Top MVP Prices

A’ja Wilson (+270)

• Age: 28
• Year: 9th
• Team: Las Vegas Aces
• Position: Forward

A’ja Wilson, with WNBA MVP odds of +270, looks like one of the safest bets for the 2026 award. She has already won four MVP trophies, including the last two, and continues to dominate on both offense and defense. Few players, if any, can match the two-way impact she brings to the court every night.

Aces superstar A’ja Wilson voted as most likely to win MVP — again — and Las Vegas as likely to win the WNBA championship — again — by the league’s general managers pic.twitter.com/be4HM5wjN7

— Las Vegas Sun (@LasVegasSun) May 5, 2026

Some voters may not want to give her another MVP because they like fresh storylines. Still, Wilson keeps putting up elite numbers, and it is difficult to ignore how important she is to the Las Vegas Aces, who are also the defending WNBA champions. She scores efficiently, protects the rim, rebounds, and leads her team in every area of the game.

Durability is always something to watch with star players, but Wilson has shown she can handle heavy minutes throughout a full season. Las Vegas also has enough depth to manage her workload when needed.

At +270, bettors are getting strong value on the best all-around player in the league. Even with possible voter fatigue, Wilson remains the top choice in this race.

Caitlin Clark (+290)

• Age: 24
• Year: 3rd
• Team: Indiana Fever
• Position: Guard

Caitlin Clark is exciting, but there are huge risk in backing her. The guard became one of the biggest stars in women’s basketball because of her scoring ability and long-range shooting. She could, potentially, put up huge offensive numbers this season. Indiana is also going to try to play her off the ball more.

The Fever to the Finals? 🤔@CasNegley & @carolinefenton1 give their WNBA preseason award picks 👀

More: https://t.co/CKnZhxVksO pic.twitter.com/4j4CRhKJ0I

— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) May 6, 2026

However, MVP awards usually go to players who dominate on both ends of the floor. Clark’s defense is still a weakness compared to players like Wilson and Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier. That could hurt her chances with voters.

Another concern is the long WNBA season. Young players often struggle with the demanding schedule, and even a short injury could damage her MVP campaign. Clark is coming off a season where she played just 13 games because of various injuries.

Her 2026 WNBA MVP odds also seem influenced by her popularity. Sportsbooks know many fans will bet on Clark because she is the league’s most talked-about player, which is going to overvalue her.

Clark could still finish near the top of MVP voting if everything goes right, and the potential is there for a terrific campaign. But at +290, the return does not seem strong enough compared to more proven stars, especially if you factor in her health issues last season.

Napheesa Collier (+850)

• Age: 29
• Year: 8th
• Team: Minnesota Lynx
• Position: Forward

Napheesa Collier is an interesting WNBA MVP betting option, but there are several concerns. The biggest issue is her recovery from surgery on both ankles. She’s due to return in June at the earliest, and probably late in June. Returning from that type of injury can affect conditioning and explosiveness.

Even when healthy, Collier is often viewed as just behind A’ja Wilson in the race for best player in the league. She has finished second to Wilson in MVP the last two seasons running. However, you could argue Collier was the best player in the league for the first half of last season.

Here defense and leadership are major strengths, and the Lynx should compete for a playoff spot. Team success could help her case. Still, she would likely need Wilson to have a down season while also playing at the highest level of her career in a shortened season.

The +850 WNBA MVP odds may seem attractive, but the injury concerns and tough competition make this a risky bet.

Breanna Stewart (+850)

• Age: 31
• Year: 11th
• Team: New York Liberty
• Position: Forward

Breanna Stewart remains one of the league’s elite players, but her +850 odds come with challenges. The New York Liberty star is a two-time MVP who continues to perform at a high level on offense and defense.

The problem is that voters often prefer new stories to giving awards to the same players over and over. Stewart also shares the spotlight with teammate Sabrina Ionescu on the New York Liberty.

When two stars play together, they can split MVP votes because it becomes harder for voters to decide who matters more to the team’s success. Even if the Liberty finish near the top of the standings, credit may be shared between both players instead of focused on Stewart alone.

Stewart clearly has the talent to win another MVP. But unless she separates herself from Ionescu, these 2026 WNBA odds feel fair rather than valuable.

Sabrina Ionescu (+1200)

• Age: 28
• Year: 7th
• Team: New York Liberty
• Position: Guard

Sabrina Ionescu’s WNBA MVP odds have potential, but there are reasons for caution. She is one of the most dangerous offensive players in the WNBA and can completely take over games with her shooting and playmaking.

Still, her efficiency dropped last season, and MVP voters value consistency. Great performances alone are not enough if they come with uneven results.

Defense is another concern. The WNBA MVP usually goes to players who impact every part of the game, and Ionescu is not viewed as an elite defender compared to top candidates like Wilson or Stewart.

The Liberty’s deep roster may also reduce her individual numbers because scoring and assists are shared among several talented players. Finally, as I already noted, she’s on the same team as another superstar in Steward. This could hurt both players’ chances to shine.

At +1200, Ionescu is an interesting contender, but she would need major improvements in both efficiency and defense to become a true MVP favorite.

Alyssa Thomas (+2000)

• Age: 34
• Year: 13th
• Team: Phoenix Mercury
• Position: Forward

Alyssa Thomas at +2000 is one of the more unique MVP candidates. She is one of the league’s best all-around players and can contribute to scoring, rebounding, and passing every night. The veteran has finished in the top five in the MVP voting in each of the last four years, including third last season. Triple-doubles are always possible when she is on the floor, as Thomas holds the WNBA record with 19 triple-doubles in the regular season; Ionescu is next with four.

The issue is that MVP voters usually reward high scorers and teams with the best records. Thomas does many things well, but she is not known as a dominant scorer like Wilson.

For Thomas to seriously compete for MVP, Phoenix would likely need one of the best records in the league, if not the best. That will be difficult in a very competitive Western Conference.

At 34 years old, she also faces the challenge of narrative. Voters often lean toward players in their prime or rising stars instead of veterans who have already established themselves.

Thomas could still have an excellent season, but the path to winning MVP feels very narrow.

Kelsey Plum (+2500)

• Age: 31
• Year: 9th
• Team: Los Angeles Sparks
• Position: Guard

I’m picking Plum over Dallas’ Paige Bueckers (+2000) as I don’t think the Wings will be good enough just yet, and team success does matter in the voting. However, Plum at +2500 is still a difficult WNBA MVP bet despite her scoring talent. Plum can put up points quickly and has proven she can carry the Los Angeles offense for stretches.

The Sparks should be better than they were last season. But for Plum to receive serious MVP consideration, they would have to be significantly better. The Sparks were 21-23 last season. Los Angeles might need to get 34-35 wins.

That creates a very difficult path to victory. The WNBA MVP odds may look tempting, but this still feels like a long-shot bet rather than a strong value pick.