WNBA Betting Picks: Predictions for Wednesday, July 23, 2025

The Phoenix Mercury return to action after a full week off due to the All-Star break, with fireworks expected in their first meeting against Atlanta. With a solid 15‑7 mark heading into Wednesday’s game, the Mercury lean on MVP candidate Alyssa Thomas—who leads the league in assists at 9.5 per game—to control the tempo and set the tone on offense.

Week 8 @StateFarm Assists Leaderboard 🔥

Alyssa Thomas leads all players with 162 total AST and continues to set the pace!#StateFarmAssists pic.twitter.com/tXq4kHDb5t

— WNBA (@WNBA) July 22, 2025

Atlanta looked rusty in their return, dropping an 87‑72 game in Las Vegas, despite Allisha Gray’s 24 and eight rebounds; her All-Star return underlines Atlanta’s fight. That performance highlights the challenge for the Phoenix defense tonight. It is also the first game back in Phoenix for Atlanta’s Brittney Griner, who spent the first 11 seasons of her WNBA career in the desert with the Mercury.

Great work tonight @graytness_15! 🔥 #DoItForTheDream pic.twitter.com/moCbkfqgZD

— Atlanta Dream (@AtlantaDream) July 23, 2025

On a home court and rested, Phoenix should roll deep. They’ve had time to sharpen rotations and leverage that All‑Star‑level decision making. A 7.5-point-spread feels well within reach, given their form and edge in playmaking. Back Phoenix −7.5 at −110 with confidence.