WNBA Picks Today — Expert WNBA Bets for Free, Thursday, June 5

The New York Liberty are on a mission as to kick off their WNBA title defense! The champs are 7-0, and alongside 8-0 Minnesota, who lost to the Liberty in the final, are the only unbeaten teams left!

What’s more, is that the Liberty has a point differential of +20.6. You read that correctly. The Liberty’s smallest margins of victory so far are two and five points, but they’ve won the remaining six games by 14 points or more.

They’re coming an incredible 100-52 shellacking of Connecticut, in which the Liberty tied their record of 19 three-pointers in a game.

New York Liberty:

Offensive Rating – 112.8 (1st)
Defensive Rating – 87.7 (1st)
Net Rating – +25.1 (1st)https://t.co/USWATfC6JQ pic.twitter.com/YsBcDvGZE4

— shotcreator (@shotcreatordata) June 4, 2025

That’s bad news for the 3-5 Mystics, who won their first two games of the season, but are 1-5 since. That includes an 85-63 home loss to the Liberty on May 20. Sabrina Ionescu led the Liberty with 28 points, but most impressive was the New York defense. The Mystics got 20 points from Brittany Sykes, but they shot 28.4% from the floor, and 25% from three-point land.

This game will also be at CareFirst Arena in the D.C. area. But I’m still taking the Liberty to cover the -12.5 WNBA betting spread on the road at -115. I don’t know if the Liberty can continue to thrash teams the way they have been, but I think they’ll do it for one more night!

1. Be Patient And Pick Your Spots

Most of the WNBA season is played after the NBA Championship. The only major sport underway during the summer is baseball, so there is a tendency to look to WNBA for betting action.

With hundreds of WNBA bets available on a daily basis, some bettors get into the habit of playing too many plays. For our WNBA picks, we are patient and wait for the best spots. This can translate to only two or three bets per day, sometimes fewer!

The WNBA schedule will take us to mid-September, which is when the NFL is getting into full swing. Don’t treat the WNBA as a sport to keep yourself busy by blindly betting before then. Patience is key.

2. Compare Offensive Efficiency And Pace

Head coaches have different offensive philosophies for how they operate their offense. Some run-and-gun, while others prefer to slow it down and work from the inside out.

There will be teams who struggle against teams that push the pace. If two teams match up that like to run, it’s likely that the game will be high scoring. Conversely, the opposite will be true for half court offenses.

Additionally, this can be telling for determining the winner of the game and covering point spreads. Does your team of choice struggle against the fast break, or teams with size?

It’s vital to understand the dynamics of the opponent before confirming your wager!

3. Check The NET Ratings

The WNBA has a slew of advanced stats for bettors to dive into before deciding on the best bets. For a quick snapshot that compiles multiple metrics into one number, consider examining the Net Rating.

The Net Rating takes into consideration, a team’s offensive and defensive efficiency. The offensive efficiency is subtracted from the defensive to calculate the Net Rating. This provides the point differential per 100 possessions.

Early in the season, using the Net Rating without an ample sample size can be ineffective. However, as the season progresses, it’s a helpful tool for you at WNBA betting sites.

4. Look At Player Matchups

Critically important for wagering on the WNBA, prop bets in particular, is evaluating matchups on the floor. Let’s assume you are interested in betting on Caitlin Clark props.

Wouldn’t you like to know who her primary defender will be? If she has an easier matchup, there will be a higher probability of her having a stronger performance!  The same applies to teams that are poor at defending the three-pointer.

Clark’s stats show that she likes to spray shots from deep, so she should be more successful against teams that don’t have solid perimeter defenders. The same applies to players in the front court against teams that struggle on the interior.

5. Line Shopping

Line shopping for the best WNBA price for your bet is an important step for your strategy. It can be the difference between booking a profit and losing in any particular season!

For our daily WNBA best bets, we are using Bovada, BetUS, Everygame, BetWhale, and more to line shop. We highly recommend having a minimum of three top betting sites to compare the odds before locking in your wagers.