2025 WNBA Championship Odds and Prediction – Liberty to Repeat?

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Finn Archer
Finn Archer in Basketball
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2025 WNBA Championship Odds and Prediction – Liberty to Repeat?

The 2025 WNBA championship odds suggest last year’s champs, Liberty, are once again the team to beat. New York edged Minnesota in a contentious five-game series to win their first franchise title. Can they repeat, or will other teams spoil their plans?

I’ll take a look at the WNBA odds to win the championship, analyze the favorites, and highlight my favorite sleeper. Then, I’ll give you my early WNBA championship prediction with the All-Star Game coming up soon!


2025 WNBA Championship Betting Odds

TEAM ODDS
Minnesota Lynx +165
New York Liberty +170
Phoenix Mercury +550
Indiana Fever +1000
Atlanta Dream +1400
Seattle Storm +2600
Las Vegas Aces +3000
Los Angeles Sparks +6000

It’s a two-team race at WNBA betting sites, and the WNBA title odds are suggesting a rematch of last season’s Finals matchup! The Minnesota Lynx (+165) have overtaken the defending champion New York Liberty (+170) as the favorites to win it all. The Lynx have an implied win probability of 37.7%, but the Liberty aren’t far behind them at 37%.

The Phoenix Mercury (+550) are trying to hang around in case the top two slip up. The Mercury have an implied win probability of 15.4% to win the WNBA title, ahead of Indiana (+1000) and Atlanta (+1400). These two will need a lot to go right to win the championship.

These 2025 WNBA odds to win the championship are courtesy of Bovada, and you can find them by going to Sports > Basketball > WNBA Futures > WNBA Championship.

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2025 WNBA Championship Favorites

Two teams stand out in the WNBA title odds, and they would love to face each other once again in the Finals!

Minnesota Lynx (+165)

    • Head Coach: Cheryl Reeve
    • 2024 Record: 30-10 (Lost in WNBA Finals)
    • WNBA Titles: 4
    • Key Players: Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams

The Lynx have the league’s best record at 27-5, and are the first team in the WNBA to clinch a playoff spot. They’ve also been impressive without MVP favorite Napheesa Collier, who has been out since August 2 with an ankle injury. The Lynx are 3-0 without their star forward, including an 83-71 win in New York on August 10.

Minnesota can now afford to let Collier, who leads the league in points with 23.5, sit an extra game or two to make sure she is healthy for the postseason. DiJonai Carrington has fit into the team perfectly since she was traded from Dallas on August 3, adding to a team that is first in both offensive and defensive rating.

All this team needs to is be healthy going into the playoffs, especially Collier, and they should make it back to the WNBA Finals, at least. At +165, you’re getting a great return on the Lynx!

New York Liberty (+170)

    • Head Coach: Sandy Brondello
    • 2024 Record: 32-8 (Won WNBA Title)
    • WNBA Titles: 1
    • Key Players: Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones

The Liberty are also battling injury woes, as Breanna Stewart has been out since July 26 with a knee injury. The two-time MVP is expected to be back later this month. But the Liberty did pick up Emma Meesseman last month. The Belgian star led her country to a second straight EuroBasket title as the MVP, and returns to the WNBA for the first time since 2022.

2024 Finals MVP Jonquel Jones is back from an ankle injury, and when Stewart returns, the Liberty should have the most imposing frontcourt in the WNBA. But the Liberty’s WNBA title odds might rest on the shoulders of Sabrina Ionescu.

She is fifth in the league in scoring with 19.3 points, and if she is being efficient, New York is tough to beat. However, if Ionescu has a bad night, it throws New York’s attack off-balance. But that’s a good problem to have for the Liberty!

2025 WNBA Championship Contenders

We have three teams waiting in the wings if the top two have any difficulties.

Phoenix Mercury (+550)

    • Head Coach: Nate Tibbetts
    • 2024 Record: 19-21 (Lost in First Round)
    • WNBA Titles: 3
    • Key Players: Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas 

The Mercury are fourth in the league at 19-12, with Alyssa Thomas leading the way. She is second in the WNBA MVP odds behind Collier, and the do-everything forward is 13th in the league in points (17.0), first in assists (9.0), and third in rebounds.

Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper are having great seasons, while DeWanna Bonner has been excellent since joining the team from Indiana. But Thomas is the straw that stirs the drink, and recently became the first WNBA player to post three straight triple-doubles!

The Mercury are a very good team, and they’re second in defensive rating. But they’ll only go so far if Thomas gets hurt. If she stays healthy, there is a world in which Phoenix can beat Minnesota or New York in a playoff series! At this price, the Mercury’s WNBA title odds are worth a look.

Indiana Fever (+1000)

    • Head Coach: Stephanie White
    • 2024 Record: 20-20 (Lost in First Round)
    • WNBA Titles: 1
    • Key Players: Caitlin Clark, Aliyah Boston, Kelsey Mitchell

The Fever are 18-15, and have been missing Caitlin Clark for more than half the season. The star guard has played just 13 games this season, and has missed 11 in a row with a groin injury. This is her second groin injury of the campaign, which should be a concern for the Fever.

But Kelsey Mitchell is getting much more (deserved) attention, and is third in the league in points with 20.0. Aliyah Boston continues to improve in the post, and veteran forward Natasha Howard is providing value at both ends of the floor.

I do think the Fever have a ceiling without Clark, and even if she returns this season, there is no idea on how good she’ll be. But it should be encouraging to Indiana fans that their team can tread water without Clark, and they’re probably a championship contender with her.

Atlanta Dream (+1400)

  • Head Coach: Karl Smesko
  • 2024 Record: 15-25 (Lost in First Round)
  • WNBA Titles: 0
  • Key Players: Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, Brionna Jones

The Dream have quietly moved up the WNBA title odds with a record of 21-11, and should probably be ahead of Indiana. They’ve won eight of their last 10 games, and Allisha Gray is sixth in points scored with 19.0. Rhyne Howard is back from a knee injury, but she looks back to her best after scoring 25 points in an 85-75 win over Seattle in her second game back.

Atlanta’s fourth-leading scorer, Jordin Canada, will miss some time with a hamstring injury, but the Dream has depth. They’re also well-balanced, ranking second in offensive rating, and third in defensive rating.

The Dream had a rough spot in the middle of the season, but they seem to have regained their swagger. Can they hold on to it for the rest of the campaign? I’m not sure, but Atlanta’s WNBA championship odds offer a great return and are really intriguing.

2025 WNBA Championship Sleepers

My sleeper in the WNBA title odds have enough championship experience that, if they play to their potential, their price should be considered!

Las Vegas Aces (+3000)

  • Head Coach: Becky Hammon
  • 2024 Record: 27-13 (Lost in Second Round)
  • WNBA Titles: 2
  • Key Players: A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Jewell Loyd, Chelsea Gray

I’ve been up and down on the 19-14 Aces all season. I’ve watched them get blown out by 20 points a couple of times, including an embarrassing 111-58 loss in Minnesota. Not only that, but I’ve also watched Las Vegas beat Atlanta handily, and they’ve currently won seven of their last eight, including a win over New York.

Reigning and three-time MVP A’ja Wilson continues to amaze, ranking second in points (22.0), second in rebounds (9.8), first in blocks (2.1), and seventh in steals (1.7). Wilson is also averaging a career-high 3.4 assists. But she needs help, and Jewell Loyd can provide it. The Aces are 5-1 when she scores 20 points or more. Loyd can form a solid scoring trio with Wilson and Jackie Young, with Chelsea Gray running the point.

I do worry about the Aces’ depth, and if one of the top four goes down, they could be in trouble. But when everything is clicking, there is enough championship DNA in this team to push the top squads in the league! I think their WNBA title odds of +3000 are worth a small wager.

2025 WNBA Championship Prediction and Betting Pick

Phoenix and Atlanta are very good, and on their best days, Las Vegas can play with anyone in the league. But my WNBA title prediction is going between Minnesota and New York, who added to their squads even more, and I think they’re head and shoulders above the rest.

The two teams actually play back-to-back games in Minnesota on August 16, and in New York on August 19. However, Stewart and Collier won’t play, so there isn’t much you can take from it. I think with everything being equal, I’m backing Minnesota just slightly at +165 to avenge last season’s Finals loss.

These two are the best offensive teams in the league, but I’m giving the edge to Minnesota because their defense is a notch better. I wouldn’t look down on you for betting on New York at +170, but I’m taking the Lynx at +165, and honestly, these might be the best prices you get on either this season!

The Bet
Minnesota Lynx
+165
Bet Now!

Where to Bet on 2025 WNBA Championship Odds?

You can bet on these 2025 WNBA title odds, along with 2025 WNBA MVP odds and other WNBA betting markets at Bovada! There, you can receive a welcome bonus of 100% up to $1,000 on your first deposit, by using the bonus code, BV1000.


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About the Author
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Finn Archer
Editor, Sports and Casino
Finn is a writer with 4+ years of experience publishing articles under the pseudonym Phil Bowman. He’s also a longtime sports enthusiast and bettor with a strong passion for soccer. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! His writing mainly focuses on helping bettors learn from their mistakes and gamble responsibly. Finn currently lives in Europe.
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