2025 WNBA Championship Odds and Prediction – Liberty to Repeat?

Minnesota Lynx (+100)

• • Head Coach: Cheryl Reeve
  • 2024 Record: 30-10 (Lost in WNBA Finals)
  • WNBA Titles: 4
  • Key Players: Napheesa Collier, Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams

The Lynx finished the regular season 34-10, four games better than Las Vegas and Atlanta. They were 20-2 at home, and by finishing first in the standings, the Lynx have homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs. They kicked off the postseason with a 101-72 rout of Golden State in Game 1 of their first-round series.

Phee’s in playoff mode. 👑

20 PTS | 6 REB pic.twitter.com/v46qFQg03b

— Minnesota Lynx (@minnesotalynx) September 14, 2025

Napheesa Collier led the WNBA MVP odds until she was injured on August 2, but she was, by far, the best player in the league for the first three months of the season. Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams, and Alanna Smith are a great supporting cast. The acquisition of DiJonai Carrington bolstered a defense that finished first in defensive efficiency.

The Lynx looked on a mission this season after losing last season’s Finals in five tough games to New York. They’re terrific on both ends of the floor (they were also first in offensive efficiency). Minnesota has all the tools to win the title, and are deserving favorites in the WNBA title odds. But can they make it count?

Las Vegas Aces (+270)

• • Head Coach: Becky Hammon
  • 2024 Record: 27-13 (Lost in Semifinals)
  • WNBA Titles: 2
  • Key Players: A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray, Jewell Loyd

The Aces have now won 17 games in a row after a 102-77 romp over Seattle in Game 1 of their first-round series. Only Los Angeles has won more games consecutively in the WNBA, as the 2001 team won 18 straight games. That team went on to win the WNBA title.

Game One W ☑️

Wilson: 29 PTS / 8 REB / 3 STL / 2 BLK / 56% FG
Young: 18 PTS / 6 REB / 7 AST / 4 STL / 4 3PM / 67% FG
Loyd: 14 PTS / 3 REB / 3 3PM / 56% FG
Evans: 13 PTS / 4 REB / 6 AST / 3 3PM / 45% FG
Smith: 11 PTS / 9 REB / 2 BLK / 67% FG#RaiseTheStakes pic.twitter.com/9lCdEQSvSR

— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) September 15, 2025

A’ja Wilson is now the favorite to win her fourth MVP award, and she has been her typically fantastic self. However, the rest of the team has stepped up over the last five weeks. Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray look miles better than they did in the first half of the season. Jewell Loyd can be inconsistent off the bench, but when she is on, she can fill the basket.

The key for the Aces will be keeping this momentum going as they’re on a historic run. I do worry that teams who are this hot eventually cool off, and in a big way. The Aces finished the season fourth in offensive efficiency, and eighth in defensive efficiency, so the numbers aren’t great.

But this is a veteran team, and the core has already won two titles, so they know how to pace themselves. The Aces are priced appropriately according to the WNBA title odds, and given this run, +270 is not bad. It’s interesting noting that the Aces were +3000 just a month ago, so plenty of money has been going their way.

New York Liberty (+550)

• • Head Coach: Sandy Brondello
  • 2024 Record: 32-8 (Won WNBA Title)
  • WNBA Titles: 1
  • Key Players: Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones

The Liberty limped into the postseason and could have more injury worries after a 76-69 overtime win to steal Game 1 in Phoenix. Two-time MVP Breanna Stewart was clutch down the stretch, but she’ll be evaluated ahead of Game 2 for a knee injury. It was to her left knee, and Stewart missed a month in the second half due to an injury to her right knee.

In the first half, Breanna Stewart officially passed Lindsay Whalen for 6th place on the all-time Playoffs points list with 963 points 🔥

NYL-PHX | WNBA Playoffs | @Google pic.twitter.com/D2XNTNmtyk

— WNBA (@WNBA) September 14, 2025

Jonquel Jones and Sabrina Ionescu both missed time during the regular season with injuries, but the Liberty battled valiantly. Natasha Cloud came up big in Game 1 with 23 points against her former team, and Leonie Fiebich hit some big shots. Emma Meesseman didn’t have a good Game 1, but the two-time EuroBasket MVP should be better.

I’m just worried about the Liberty’s health, and I don’t think they can win the title if Stewart isn’t 100% healthy. The Liberty were fifth in offensive efficiency, and sixth in defensive efficiency, but I do think they can put it together for a playoff run.

However, a lot rests on the health of Stewart’s knees. If she is hampered, I don’t think the Liberty can beat Minnesota or Las Vegas in a series.

Atlanta Dream (+800)

• Head Coach: Karl Smesko
• 2024 Record: 15-25 (Lost in First Round)
• WNBA Titles: 0
• Key Players: Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, Brionna Jones

I like the Dream’s WNBA championship odds at +800 better than New York’s right now, just based on health. The Dream beat Indiana 80-68 in Game 1 of their playoff series, and Atlanta also finished the regular season with six straight wins. Due to Las Vegas’ run, the Dream are flying below the radar, but that presents considerable value for bettors!

DREAM WIN!!!! 🔥#DoItForTheDream | #SoATL pic.twitter.com/7qWH2vjWIG

— Atlanta Dream (@AtlantaDream) September 14, 2025

Atlanta is second in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and I don’t think that Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard, and Brionna Jones get the respect they deserve, despite being named All-Stars.

They also played well against Minnesota, as Atlanta is 2-1 against the Lynx, and the one loss came in overtime. However, they did lose all three games against Las Vegas this season.

Still, I believe the Dream can push both in a playoff series, and if they remain healthy, I’ll take them over the Liberty if Stewart is ailing. With a price of +800, Atlanta’s WNBA title odds are certainly worth a look!

Phoenix Mercury (+2500)

• Head Coach: Nate Tibbetts
• 2024 Record: 19-21 (Lost in First Round)
• WNBA Titles: 3
• Key Players: Alyssa Thomas, Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper

The Mercury opened up their playoffs with an overtime loss to the Liberty, and Phoenix wrapped up the regular season with three losses in a row. But they can rebound in Game 2 with a win in New York.

We’ll be back for Game 2. pic.twitter.com/sLv6z0Eck4

— Phoenix Mercury (@PhoenixMercury) September 14, 2025

Satou Sabally had a terrible Game 1, going 2-of-17 from the field for nine points, and she made just one of her 10 three-point attempts. The Mercury won’t survive if their leading scorer in the regular season has gone cold. Alyssa Thomas led the team in shot attempts, but the Mercury want Thomas, who led the league in assists, to spend more time setting up her teammates.

At +2500, the Mercury’s WNBA title odds look enticing. But I don’t trust them against Minnesota, Las Vegas, or Atlanta. I’m not sure if they can even beat an injured New York team in the first round. The price is very attractive, but I wouldn’t bet on the Mercury to win it all.