Picking the Monday Night Football best bets week after week is a tough task, but our team is here to help. The Sports Geek will review hundreds of markets available each Monday, delivering expert MNF betting picks for player props, team props, and traditional markets like totals, spreads, and moneylines.
Check this page regularly for the latest picks and tips the team at The Sports Geek has prepared for this week. For Week 15, the Miami Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers meet for a big game with playoff implications at Acrisure Stadium.
Here are our top Week 15 Monday Night Football predictions and betting picks.
MNF Best Bets This Week: Dolphins vs. Steelers
Monday Night Football Odds and Betting Lines for Week 15
The best NFL betting sites have various MNF odds available for the Week 15 showdown between the Dolphins vs. Steelers
The main markets, including the point spread and total, are on the board at most major sportsbooks. Now, let’s delve into the MNF matchup this evening and reveal my best Monday Night Football betting picks below!
Here, you can find the latest MNF odds, courtesy of Lucky Rebel:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | +3.5 (-112) | +160 | Over 41.5 (-109) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -3.5 (-108) | -196 | Under 41.5 (-111) |
The Pittsburgh Steelers (-196) are favored to defeat the Miami Dolphins (+160) at home on Monday Night. At -196 on the moneyline, the Steelers have a 66.2% implied probability to win outright in this one. They also have a 3.5-point advantage on the point spread in this critical matchup for the playoffs.
It is forecasted to be freezing temperatures in Pittsburgh on Monday night. Oddsmakers believe that this could have an impact on the offenses, as the over/under is set fairly low at 41.5 points. With the Dolphins being a hot weather team, it may have a bigger impact on them than the Steelers.
If you are interested in alternative lines and unique MNF prop bets tonight, Lucky Rebel has a wide selection of options. You can find the most up-to-date MNF betting odds at Lucky Rebel by navigating to Sports > Football > NFL > Dolphins vs. Steelers.
Monday Night Football Betting Trends
There are some key betting trends to keep in mind before placing your best Monday Night Football bets!
I’ve dug through several trends for this matchup and have isolated the best to consider for the Dolphins vs. Steelers matchup:
- The Miami Dolphins are 5-1 outright in their previous six matchups.
- The Miami Dolphins are 3-7 outright in their previous 10 games versus the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- The Miami Dolphins are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) in their previous five matchups after a win.
- The Miami Dolphins are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in their previous eight non-division matchups.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-1 outright in their previous six matchups versus the Dolphins at home.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their previous five matchups.
- The UNDER is 4-1 in the previous five meetings between the Miami Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers.
- The UNDER is 5-1 in the Miami Dolphins’ previous six matchups.
MNF Football Prediction and Betting Pick: Dolphins vs. Steelers
The Dolphins will travel from sunny, warm Miami to cold, frigid Pittsburgh on Monday night. It’s a crucial game for Miami, who have won four straight, including a 30-13 victory over the Buffalo Bills.
Now 6-7 in the AFC, the Dolphins’ playoff hopes remain alive, a surprising turnaround after head coach Mike McDaniel’s job seemed in jeopardy back in September.
The team started 1-6, making a playoff push seem unlikely. Last week, Miami notched an impressive 34-10 win over the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, showcasing strong defense and a powerful running game.
Dolphins’ QB Tua Tagovailoa has not piled up big passing numbers lately, not throwing for over 173 yards since October, with just three touchdowns and four interceptions in his last five games. The Steelers’ thin secondary is Miami’s best route to victory; however, the cold conditions are unlikely to favor Tagovailoa’s play.
On the other side, Steelers’ QB Aaron Rodgers is coming off a confidence-boosting 284-yard, one-touchdown performance against the Ravens, helping Pittsburgh improve to 7-6. They should have the home-field edge on Monday night.
RODGERS. BOOTLEG. TOUCHDOWN.
PITvsBAL on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/gfgrI1yryN
— NFL (@NFL) December 7, 2025
Despite last week’s win, Miami has struggled on the road, going 2-4 with wins only over the lowly Jets and Falcons in the NFL this season. The offense has averaged just 280.1 yards and 20.4 points per game away from Hard Rock Stadium, a noticeable dip from their home production.
It’s not just expected to be cold in Pittsburgh, it’ll be freezing temps. The Dolphins’ offense to be uncomfortable at Acrisure Stadium, with Tagovailoa likely to struggle against a Steelers defense that just limited Lamar Jackson.
While it could be a close contest, all signs point to Pittsburgh edging out Miami and covering the spread for one of the best Monday Night Football picks this week.
Team MNF Prop Bets: Dolphins vs. Steelers
Leading online bookmakers Lucky Rebel and Bovada have various Monday Night Football prop bets for the Week 15 showdown between the Dolphins and Steelers. Let’s delve into my top team props this week:
Both Teams to Score 17+ Points: No (-135)
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- No (-135)
- Yes (+105)
The over/under is low for good reason: the Dolphins and Steelers are unlikely to have a high-scoring matchup in such weather conditions.
Even if you ignore the cold, Tagovailoa has passed for a mediocre 2,407 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions in 2025-26. I don’t expect him to go to Pittsburgh in the cold and pick apart the Steelers’ defense. As I mentioned, the Dolphins have struggled to move the ball on the road this season. That will likely be the case again on Monday.
The Steelers should have a solid offensive game, but it will be tough sledding for the Dolphins. Expect a low-scoring matchup, and I don’t see both teams scoring at least 17 points in Pittsburgh.
Winning Margin: Steelers by 7-12 Points (+340)
The Steelers can’t afford to allow their win against the Ravens to go to waste. That could be a pivotal moment in the Steelers’ season, and if they clear the Dolphins, this is an 8-6 team and in the thick of the postseason hunt. I expect the Steelers to build on that performance to snap the Dolphins’ win streak.
A lack of offensive consistency is going to be the downfall of the Dolphins. The Steelers shouldn’t quickly play away in the first half, but it could be a scenario of death of a thousand cuts. Pittsburgh should grind away and wear out the Dolphins, who are playing back-to-back games on the road.
Credit to McDaniel for turning the Dolphins’ season around, though this looks like a prime position for a bit of regression. Along with the Steelers covering the spread, they should pull away to win by 7-12 points. At +340, this is one of the best MNF prop bets tonight!
Best Monday Night Football Player Props This Week
Now, let’s delve into the best MNF player prop bets to consider locking this week for Week 15. There are a handful of appealing picks on the board, available at Lucky Rebel:
Total Passing Yards: Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Over 209.5 (-120)
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- Over 209.5 (-120)
- Under 209.5 (-110)
It has been an up and down campaign for Rodgers, but I think he got some of his confidence back in the win over the Ravens. The 284-yard outing was a season-high for Rodgers, who looked composed in the pocket in the 27-22 victory.
Along with a score on the ground, it was one of the most Rodgers’ Packers-esque effort we’ve seen in a while. Overall, the quarterback has passed for 2,370 yards with 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He’s tossed at least 210 yards in four games this season, for an average of less than 200 per game.
That’s not particularly inspiring, but Rodgers is on track to finish this year strong and should pick on a Miami defense not looking forward to playing in an ice palace in Pittsburgh. DK Metcalf has been feeling good recently, and he should stay in solid form in Week 15.
DK Metcalf 7 REC, 148 YDS vs BAL Today.pic.twitter.com/2iY4eFyqvI https://t.co/18uRmkEkBE
— Football Performances (@NFLPerformances) December 7, 2025
I expect a 230-yard+ showing for Rodgers, so consider siding with the over as one of the best MNF player props this week.
Longest Reception: Malik Washington (MIA) Over 13.5 Yards (-120)
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- Over 13.5 (-120)
- Under 13.5 (-110)
Dolphins’ WR Malik Washington has flown under the radar recently. Washington has been a solid option for Tagovailoa in the offense. The 24-year-old is seeing plenty of targets as of late, which includes nine and seven receptions over the last two games.
Washington has been a solid deep ball threat for the Dolphins. He’s stretched the field with at least one catch of 14 yards in five of his previous seven games. One of the matchups that he didn’t was against the Jets in a blowout. The passing game wasn’t needed, but they’ll rely on Washington against the Steelers.
In short, back Washington’s longest reception over 13.5 yards for your best Monday Night Player props in Week 15.
Anytime Touchdown: Jaylen Warren (PIT) (+125)
The Steelers are likely to feed RB Jaylen Warren in the red zone often in this one. Warren has been their most consistent touchdown scorer recently. He’s tallied a touchdown in two of his last three games and has recorded four touchdowns in the Steelers’ previous six.
Almost too easy for Jaylen Warren pic.twitter.com/JSXjxWxlJL
— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) November 23, 2025
Additionally, Warren is a threat to score in the passing game out of the backfield after scoring two touchdowns from Rodgers’ throws. At plus odds, Warren’s anytime touchdown prop bet is a wager to consider for your MNF betting picks.
Monday Night Football Parlay for Week 15
For my Monday Night Football parlay, I will combine all three prop bets on one ticket. So, the best MNF parlay includes Rodgers over 209.5 passing yards, Washington longest reception over 13.5 yards, and Warren anytime TD.
On a $100 wager, bettors can bank a whopping $656 at +656 odds with a winning bet! Considering this monster return, it’s certainly a wager that should be on your radar for your MNF picks this week.
- Rodgers: Over 209.5 Passing Yards
- Washington: Longest Reception Over 13.5 Yards
- Warren: Anytime TD
Monday Night Football Summary: Dolphins vs. Steelers
The Sports Geek is excited to close out the Week 15 card with our best Monday Night Football bets! Do you like the MNF predictions?
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