Finding the Thursday Night Football best bets this week can be tricky, but our team is here to help! We will share our analysis and expert predictions throughout the entire NFL season, including recommended TNF player props.
The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers get Week 15 started in a crucial primetime matchup for both clubs. Check out our Thursday Night Football predictions and top picks in Tampa at Raymond James Stadium.
TNF Best Bets This Week: Falcons vs. Buccaneers (Snapshot)
Thursday Night Football Odds and Betting Lines for Week 15
The best NFL betting sites have a slew of Week 15 Thursday Night Football odds available for wagering in the Falcons vs. Buccaneers matchup. The main markets, including the point spread, are on the board at most major sportsbooks.
Let’s delve into the Falcons vs. Buccaneers lines and best Thursday Night Football bets below! The following TNF odds for Week 15 are courtesy of Lucky Rebel:
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEYLINE | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | +4 (-110) | +185 | Over 44.5 (-110) |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -4 (-110) | -235 | Under 44.5 (-110) |
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-235) are favored to bounce back after an ugly loss to the New Orleans Saints last week. As -235 favorites on the moneyline, the Buccaneers have a 70.1% implied probability to win outright.
They have the edge at home, but the Falcons are looking to respond after struggling last week, too. This is a must-win for the Falcons’ incredibly slim playoff hopes. With the point spread beyond a field goal, oddsmakers aren’t optimistic that they will prevail.
If you are interested in alternative lines and unique TNF prop bets tonight, Lucky Rebel has a wide selection of options. You can find the most up-to-date TNF betting odds at Lucky Rebel by navigating to Sports > Football > NFL > Falcons vs. Buccaneers.
Thursday Night Football Betting Trends
There are some key betting trends to keep in mind before placing your best Thursday Night Football bets!
I’ve dug through several trends for this matchup and have isolated the best to consider for the Falcons vs. Buccaneers matchup:
- The Atlanta Falcons are 1-7 outright in their previous eight games.
- The Atlanta Falcons are 1-5 in their previous six games on the road.
- The Atlanta Falcons are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in their previous six games versus the AFC South.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 9-3 overall in their previous 12 games in December.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their previous nine Week 15 games.
- The OVER is 5-1 in the Atlanta Falcons’ previous six games.
- The OVER is 14-5 in the previous 19 games between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
TNF Football Prediction and Betting Pick: Falcons vs. Buccaneers
Amid a cold streak with four losses in their last five games, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are hoping for a healthier roster this week. The team has relied on a patchwork offense for much of the year. Nevertheless, at 7-6, they are first in the NFC South and remain in a good spot in the postseason hunt.
Pro Bowl left tackle Tristan Wirfs has been in and out of the lineup but is trending towards playing in Week 15. Alongside Wirfs, wide receiver Mike Evans could also return. Chris Godwin recently made his way back after playing only two games from September to October.
Evans and Godwin haven’t shared the field together this season, so their joint availability would be a significant boost. Although Evans has been limited in practice this week, he seems to be on track to start.
Buccaneers’ QB Baker Mayfield desperately needs help, and a healthy group of Wirfs, Evans, and Godwin could provide just that.
BREAKING: Mike Evans playing next week is in play, per Todd Bowles
— BakerMuse (@MuseBaker) December 8, 2025
DEMON BACK 🔥 pic.twitter.com/8Q0QsFQc42
Despite the injuries, Mayfield has put up solid numbers: 2,722 passing yards, 20 touchdowns, and six interceptions with a 61.6% completion rate. Considering adversity, these are quality stats. The Falcons’ run defense has struggled on the road, so Mayfield may also benefit from a productive backfield.
Opposing teams have rushed for 140.6 yards per game on the road against Atlanta, ranking them among the bottom five in the league. Overall, the Falcons are 25th in the NFL, surrendering 125 rushing yards per game. Expect Tampa Bay to run the ball to open up opportunities for Mayfield in the passing game.
On the other side, Falcons’ QB Kirk Cousins has been mediocre since replacing Michael Penix Jr. Cousins has passed for 845 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions with a 60.9% completion rate. In a 37-9 loss to the Seahawks, he managed just 50% passing with two interceptions. In six games, Cousins has topped 200 passing yards only once.
Kirk Cousins gets picked off.
— SM Highlights (@SMHighlights1) December 7, 2025
Nick Emmanwori was credited with his first career interception, Falcons gonna lose another game 💀 pic.twitter.com/Jd3aDKvCT0
While the Buccaneers can be vulnerable to the pass, the Falcons lack the weapons to take full advantage. Tampa Bay’s defensive strength is against the run, allowing just 100.6 yards per game for a top-10 ranking. Though Atlanta will try to lean on RB Bijan Robinson, the Bucs likely have an answer.
Overall, the Buccaneers are a solid play against the spread for your best Thursday Night Football picks.
Team TNF Prop Bets: Falcons vs. Buccaneers
Leading online bookmakers Bovada and Lucky Rebel have various Thursday Night Football prop bets for the Falcons vs. Buccaneers. Let’s delve into my top team props to open Week 15:
Winning Margin: Buccaneers by 7-12 Points (+340)
The Buccaneers are unlikely to run away with a win here, but I foresee them edging ahead in the fourth quarter. Cousins will most likely make a mistake that sinks the Falcons, allowing the Buccaneers to chip away and build their lead.
As I mentioned, Mayfield is in line for one of his best performances in a while. The offense is expected to be healthier than it’s ever been this season. If reports are true, Evans and Godwin on the field are game changers for the Buccaneers at home.
Atlanta is playing with little to no confidence right now, and on a short week, I don’t expect the locker room to suddenly find a jolt. I expect something like a 26-18 win for the Buccaneers, so 7-12 points at +340 is a true value play as one of the best TNF props this week.
Both Teams Score 17 Points: Yes (-135)
-
- Yes (-135)
- No (+105)
The Buccaneers should be in much better shape this week. With Evans and Wirfs likely returning on Thursday night, Mayfield and the offense should finally display some consistency. It’s been a frustrating stretch for Buccaneers fans, but I expect Mayfield and company to get back on track in this game.
Despite injuries and recent struggles, the Buccaneers have averaged 23 points per game through Week 14 and have scored at least 17 points in five of their last six games. Expect them to put up a solid offensive performance.
I’m not confident Cousins will rack up big yardage against the Buccaneers, but the Falcons should still reach 17 points against a defense that’s not elite. They have scored at least 23 points in five of their last six games, so they consistently hit this mark as well.
In summary, both the Falcons and Buccaneers are likely to score at least 17 points.
Best Thursday Night Football Player Props This Week
In addition to team props, consider adding a few TNF player prop bets to your Falcons vs. Buccaneers card! There are a few plays that have caught my attention, so let’s analyze these Thursday Night Football picks below.
Anytime Touchdown: Tyler Allgeier (ATL) (+185)
Falcons’ RB Tyler Allgeier has been a red zone hawk this season. He’s doing the majority of damage near the goal line, and that should continue in Week 15.
Allgeier leads the Falcons with eight touchdowns. All eight of his scores have come on the ground as a runner. Also, note that four of Allgeier’s touchdowns were scored in the last five games.
Tyler Allgeier opens up the scoring with authority 😤
— NFL (@NFL) October 13, 2025
BUFvsATL on ESPN
Stream on @NFLPlus and ESPN App pic.twitter.com/1zwXODTz1P
The 25-year-old former BYU Cougar has had a knack for finding six points, and with Cousins struggling, the Falcons will lean on the ground in the red zone. At +185 odds, Allgeier’s anytime touchdown bet is worth considering as one of the best Thursday Night Football player props this week.
Total Passing Yards: Baker Mayfield (TB) Over 212.5 (-115)
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- Over 212.5 (-115)
- Under 212.5 (-115)
Mayfield has put together solid numbers in the wake of several injuries to the Buccaneers’ offense. His star left tackle has been injured, along with WR1 and WR2.
There aren’t many quarterbacks in the NFL who would be able to lose those weapons and throw for 20 touchdowns and six interceptions. While his numbers haven’t been so hot recently, I expect Mayfield to come alive at home at Raymond James Stadium.
Baker Mayfield turned a 3.7% chance into pure magic on this 15-yard scramble 😳🔥 @NextGenStats | #WeAreTheKrewe pic.twitter.com/vTIeEq3fJ2
— NFL+ (@NFLPlus) October 13, 2025
With Evans due back in the lineup, this is a low total at 212.5 yards. Mayfield is a different quarterback when a full cast of playmakers is at his disposal. All factors considered, the over 212.5 is a top option for your TNF player prop bets tonight.
Longest Reception: Kyle Pitts (ATL) Over 20.5 (-120)
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- Over 20.5 (-120)
- Under 20.5 (-110)
TE Kyle Pitts has developed into a downfield threat for the Falcons. The wide receiver depth is thin right now, and Pitts is the primary target for Cousins. He has caught 62 receptions for 631 yards this season.
He isn’t the weapon that the Falcons have been looking for in the red zone but is stretching the defense in the secondary. Pitts has recorded at least a 21-yard reception in six of his previous seven matchups.
KP 👉 FIRST DOWN
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) December 7, 2025
FOX | NFL+#ProBowlVote x @kylepitts__ pic.twitter.com/uVEqljlMUU
The 25-year-old is typically good for a catch of 20-30 yards at least once. Like I said, Mayfield should have some success, so Cousins will likely have to force the ball downfield. In short, over 20.5 longest reception on Pitts is a top Thursday Night Football player prop.
Thursday Night Football Parlay for Week 15
To wrap up your TNF betting card, consider adding a parlay to your selections because there is strong value on the three player props at Lucky Rebel.
In short, I recommend including Allgeier anytime TD, Mayfield over 212.5 passing yards, and Pitts over 20.5 longest reception in a parlay. If all three bets hit, there is a huge payout awaiting at +877 odds!
- Allgeier: Anytime Touchdown
- Mayfield: Over 212.5 Passing Yards
- Pitts: Longest Reception Over 20.5 Yards
Thursday Night Football Betting Summary: Falcons vs. Buccaneers
The Sports Geek is excited for the Week 15 card with our best Thursday Night Football bets for the Falcons vs. Buccaneers! Do you like the TNF predictions?
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