Super Bowl 60 Odds: Seahawks vs. Patriots Moneyline, ATS, & Total Picks

Super Bowl 2026 Over Under Odds and Prediction

• • Over 45.5 (-107)
  • Under 45.5 (-113)

The Super Bowl total has been around this number, dipping a little to 45.0, but it is back at 45.5 points. It has moved back up a half-point. Expect the betting public to back the over and under fairly evenly.

Defensively, both sides were all over the field and made plays to finish No. 1 and No. 2 in points allowed per game. They are well-coached units, with defensive specialists Mike Macdonald and Mike Vrabel as head coaches. The Seahawks led the NFL, with 17.1 points allowed per game.

New England finished slightly behind Seattle, allowing an average of 17.3 points per game through the AFC Championship. That said, I’d argue that the Seahawks and Patriots had two of the most underrated offenses in the league this season.

7 catches
115 YDS
1 TD

JSN 🔥pic.twitter.com/M4giDiqDTx

— The Sports Geek (@TheSports_Geek) January 26, 2026

They didn’t have as much flash as the Ravens, Rams, or Lions, but they consistently moved the ball and put points on the board.

Led by QB Sam Darnold, the Seahawks finished second in the NFL, scoring 29.2 points per game. He and Offensive Player of the Year favorite WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba will keep Mike Vrabel up at night.

The Patriots are razor sharp against the run but have been more vulnerable in the secondary. They’ve allowed 97.2 rushing yards per game, the fourth‑best mark in the NFL. Against the pass, New England ranks eighth, yielding 185.3 passing yards per game.

I’m confident the Patriots will shut down Seattle on the ground, but Darnold should still find plays over the top. Patriots’ CB Christian Gonzalez is a tough matchup for Smith-Njigba, yet I still expect the dynamic receiver to make his share of impact plays. The Seahawks are even better against the run and still solid versus the pass, ranking 11th in passing defense.

It took time for pundits to fully buy into Patriots’ QB Drake Maye, but there’s no denying his skill set now. Like Seattle, New England is well balanced, pairing a reliable ground game with an efficient passing attack. The Patriots have averaged 27.2 points per game, putting both offenses comfortably inside the league’s top 10. Maye was also a full participant in practice on Wednesday. This is good news for the Patriots as Maye was battling a shoulder injury after the AFC title game.

Drake Maye is the 1st QB to win 3 playoff games against top 5 total defenses in a single postseason 😮‍💨@Patriots | #NEPats pic.twitter.com/fUivHS8ekD

— NFL+ (@NFLPlus) January 25, 2026

Despite their reputations as defensive juggernauts, both teams have quietly trended toward the over in betting markets this season. The Patriots are 12‑8‑0 (60%) to the over, while the Seahawks are 11‑8‑0 (57.9%) to the over, including the postseason. At 45.5 points, this total is a sharp number, so it could come down to a few key drives.

Even so, I project 47-49 total points, which should be enough to clear the number. I recommend backing over 45.5 points as one of your 2026 Super Bowl best bets!

Super Bowl 60 Spread Line and Betting Pick

• • Seahawks -4.5 (-110)
  • Patriots +4.5 (-110)

The Seahawks have the edge as -4.5 point favorites, but should you back them as one of your best Super Bowl picks? They’ve struggled to gain respect this season, with the consensus being that Darnold isn’t clutch enough to lead the Seahawks this far.

Well, now they’re here, and Darnold has come up with the big play time and time again. Undoubtedly, I believe he’s the most motivated player on the field at Levi’s Stadium. He still has something to prove, and confident Darnold shuts down the doubters once again.

Sam Darnold becomes the first QB in NFL history to win at least 30 games in a two-season span with multiple different teams, including the playoffs. pic.twitter.com/oPjygkIkiR

— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 26, 2026

Darnold has an array of weapons to work with in this offense, including experienced WR Cooper Kupp, who could be the X-factor in Super Bowl LX.

Kupp has been here before and knows what it takes to win. With the Patriots’ secondary likely to give special attention to Smith-Njigba, Kupp and WR Jake Bobo should have space to operate.

Darnold has passed for 470 yards and four touchdowns on roughly 70% completions in two playoff games. He wrapped up the regular season with 4,048 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions in a steady campaign, and those early-season turnover issues appear to be behind him.

The 28-year-old USC product hasn’t thrown an interception in six of his last nine games and has been clean so far in the playoffs. The Seahawks averaged 29.2 points per game, with only Matthew Stafford’s Rams scoring more in 2025-26. While I don’t expect Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III to post a huge stat line, he’s a physical runner who is difficult to bring down.

Defending Walker for four quarters takes a toll. He averaged only 3.3 yards per carry against the Rams but delivered multiple clutch runs to move the chains. He’s powerful enough to keep the Patriots honest against the run, which helps open up throwing lanes downfield for Darnold.

Complementing their second-ranked offense, the Seahawks also lead the NFL in points allowed per game. That dominance fits the identity of head coach Macdonald, the former Michigan and Baltimore Ravens’ defensive coordinator who has brought his hard-nosed philosophy to Seattle with great success.

Big plays, big moments. @DevonWitherspo1 pic.twitter.com/BgtnCl3umx

— xz* – Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) January 26, 2026

The Seahawks’ defense isn’t going to completely shut down Maye and the Patriots, but much like their performance against the Rams, they’re likely to come up with a few more key plays than New England’s defense.

Maye is at his best when the ground game is cooking, and that’s where Seattle’s strength matches up well. The Seahawks should be able to keep RB Rhamondre Stevenson in check, as they ranked third in the league this season with just 93.7 rushing yards allowed per game.

Seattle was also one of the most reliable teams away from home in 2025-26. The Seahawks went 8-1-0 against the spread (ATS) away from Lumen Field and consistently handled the pressure when favored. They are 12-4-0 ATS as betting favorites and 12-3 ATS following a win a week earlier in the 2025-26 campaign. Overall, their 14-5-0 ATS record made them the best bet in the NFL, cashing at an impressive 73.7% clip.

For my Super Bowl 60 betting picks against the spread, I’m laying the points with the Seahawks at -4.5 in a predicted final score of 27-21.

Super Bowl 2026 Moneyline Odds and Predictions

• • Seattle Seahawks (-245)
  • New England Patriots (+195)

I have bet on the Seahawks’ Super Bowl 2026 winner odds multiple times this season. My first wager was in early November when they had a juicy price of +875. I added to that bet on the Seahawks at +425, and then finally, +155 last week before the NFC Championship.

So, it comes as no surprise that I am going to continue backing the Seahawks. If you aren’t confident in laying -4.5 points on the point spread, which I admit, is fairly sharp, the Super Bowl moneyline odds are an option at -245. The line was -225 two weeks ago, and at the beginning of Super Bowl week, it was -235.

In my estimates, the Seahawks should be closer to -275 favorites. At -245, there appears to be some value on the board at Lucky Rebel. In short, I suggest betting on the Seahawks to win outright on the moneyline as one of the best Super Bowl picks.